中通快递 (ZTO.US、02057.HK) 2026年第一季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
A financial results conference call discusses ZTO Express's Q1 2026 performance, marked by a 13.2% year-over-year increase in parcel volume and 5.2% growth in adjusted net income. Success attributed to macroeconomic conditions, policy adaptation, operational efficiency, and innovation. Future strategies focus on policy alignment, cost reduction, service quality, network optimization, and AI integration. Cost management, fuel price impacts, and social security policies are addressed, emphasizing balanced growth and stakeholder value.
会议速览
This conference call announced ZTO Express's financial results for the first quarter of 2026. The CEO outlined the company's operations and highlights. The CFO explained the financial data and future prospects in detail, and then opened a question-and-answer session to answer investors' questions.
The meeting reviewed the express delivery industry in the first quarter of 2026 in the context of macroeconomic stability and improvement, the overall growth trend, business volume increased by 5.8. The company seized the opportunity of the industry, completed 9.67 billion pieces of business, an increase of 13.2 over the same period last year, and increased its market share by 1.4 percentage points. Adjusted net profit was 2.38 billion billion yuan, up 5.2 year on year. The company has achieved a steady improvement in profitability by optimizing product structure, reducing costs and improving operational efficiency. Looking ahead, the company will focus on high-quality development, deepen network management, protect the rights and interests of practitioners, continue to improve shareholder returns, and pursue long-term value with the market, shareholders win-win situation.
In the first quarter of 2026, China's express delivery industry maintained its overall growth trend under the background of stable progress of micro economy and continuous growth of consumer demand. The volume of express delivery increased by 5.8 year-on-year, prices returned to stability, and the quality of industry operations improved significantly, creating favorable conditions for the high-quality development of leading enterprises. During the period, the company seized industry opportunities and achieved strong performance in the team matrix. The parcel volume reached 9.67 billion, an increase of 13.2 year-on-year, and the market share expanded by 1.2 percentage points, further consolidating its leading position. Adjusted net profit rose 5.2 percent YoY, and adjusted operating profit rose 22 percent YoY, reflecting improved profitability. Retail parcel volume increased by 65% year-on-year, the product portfolio continued to be optimized, the unit cost of transportation and sorting was reduced by 6 cents, and the digital and link management achieved substantial results, further strengthening the cost advantage. Strong corporate performance, thanks to a favorable policy environment, strategic focus, operational efficiency improvements and product innovation. In the future, the company will continue to prioritize high-quality development, deepen core business capabilities, optimize network management, protect the well-being of frontline employees, continuously improve shareholder returns, and strive to become a value-driven industry leader.
In the first quarter, the company achieved revenue 1.33 billion, up 22% year-on-year, ASP of core express delivery business increased by 8.2, unit cost was optimized, gross profit margin decreased slightly, operating cash inflow 0.28 billion, up 18%, capital expenditure 0.18 billion, capital expenditure forecast 0.6 billion for the whole year, maintaining the 10%-13% package volume growth rate predicted for the whole year last year.
This paper discusses the reasons why cost optimization exceeds the target at the beginning of the year and the adjustment of the target for the whole year, paying special attention to the impact of diesel price increase on the cost, and analyzes the continuity of the anti-inward policy and the prospect of industry price level, and discusses whether the industry price change can absorb the cost pressure brought about by oil price.
In the first quarter, the cost of transportation and decomposition was effectively reduced through automation, deepening the application of digital tools and fine management. The anti-roll policy significantly reduces low-price competition, protects the profitability of outlets and the rights and interests of couriers, and promotes the development of the industry in the direction of healthy and orderly competition. Costs are expected to fall further throughout the year, with network optimization and automation equipment investment continuing to reduce end-of-line costs.
This paper discusses the initiatives of Zhongtong Express in the AI era, including electronic face sheets, intelligent customer service, end-of-line scheduling optimization, and the construction of the future multi-intelligent architecture, which aims to consolidate the leading edge of technology, realize cost and timeliness optimization, and create long-term value for shareholders.
Discussed the express industry under the influence of anti-roll policy, the industry growth rate is expected to shift from extensive scale expansion to high-quality development, the competitive landscape accelerated differentiation, market share to the head of the enterprise concentration. At the same time, it shared the development of bulk business, especially reverse logistics business, and pointed out that although price competition led to price decline, through scale effect and fine cost control, the profit contribution of single ticket was higher than that of ordinary e-commerce lines, effectively improving the overall profitability.
This paper discusses the progress of legislation to promote the protection of the rights and interests of distribution workers in Guangdong, Shandong and other places, and looks forward to the pace of social security policy landing in the second half of the year and its impact on the cost of the whole network. Emphasize that social security payment is consistent with the anti-roll policy, aiming to protect the rights and interests of the grassroots and promote the healthy and stable development of the industry. In the long run, although the cost of single ticket is increased, the establishment of a stable employment system will help reduce the turnover rate and improve the quality of service. Head companies will play an exemplary role in responding to the government's call to help implement policies, while helping network partners comply and reduce costs.
要点回答
Q:What is the overall situation of the express delivery industry in a good environment of steady macroeconomic progress and continuous release of consumer demand?
A:Under the good environment of steady progress in the macro-economy and continuous release of consumer demand, the express delivery industry as a whole maintained growth, with business volume increasing by 5.8 compared with the same period last year.
Q:What is the adjusted net profit and year-on-year growth? What is the performance of the company's main business and other aspects?
A:Adjusted net profit amounted to RMB 2.38 billion, up 5.2% year on year. Breakbulk operations grew 65% year over year, with continuous optimization of the product mix. Per‑shipment road transport and sorting costs declined by six cents year over year, and digitalization and lean operations have delivered substantial results, further strengthening cost advantages.
Q:What will the company focus on in the next phase?
A:The company will focus on the deployment of five aspects of work, including the implementation of national policies and industry regulatory requirements, continue to lead the industry's anti-roll work, deepen the main industry to strengthen internal strength, implement the principle of fairness and transparency in network management, and effectively protect and enhance the rights and interests of front-line employees.
Q:How does the company achieve long-term value pursuit and move forward with investors and network-wide partners?
A:The company will adhere to the long-term doctrine, with high-quality share, high-quality service, low full-link cost and stable profitability as the core, so as to ensure the steady growth of network partners, to ensure the continuous improvement of the income of the salesman, to ensure that the development of the company is stable and far-reaching, and through continued excellent operating results to return to the market and shareholders.
Q:What factors contributed to the healthy and sustainable growth of the express delivery industry?What are the company's commitments to the industry and market?
A:The healthy and sustainable growth of the express delivery industry was supported by improvements in the microeconomic and consumer environment, steady growth in online consumption, clear regulatory guidance, effective policy measures, and the company's alignment with policy direction.The company committed to supporting anti-evolution policies to maintain market order, promoting value-driven competition, and working with the broader industry to build a healthy environment.
Q:How did the company manage to stay focused on long-term strategies and improve its competitiveness?
A:The company stayed focused on its long-term strategy without short-term aggressive expansion, strengthening infrastructure, deepening digitalization, and enhancing end-to-end management capabilities, which built long-term competitiveness.
Q:How did the company optimize its product mix and respond to market demand?
A:The company optimized its product mix with focused efforts on higher value retail parcels, reverse logistics, and other differentiated offerings to respond to market demand, shifting from a single-channel e-commerce volume to a more diversified and improved value, which strengthened profitability and resilience against business cycles.
Q:What are the company's priorities for the next phase of development?
A:The company's priorities for the next phase of development include fully implementing national policy and industry regulatory requirements, leading industry anti-evolution efforts, safeguarding a healthy competitive environment, and driving high-quality development.
Q:What measures will the company take to solidify its service and brand premium?How will the company integrate fairness and transparency into network management?
A:To solidify its service and brand premium, the company will advance cost initiatives for efficiency gains, enhance timeliness and customer satisfaction, and deliver long-term value through discipline and sound execution.The company plans to integrate fairness and transparency into network management by continuing to optimize network policies and improving network management capabilities, making policies more equitable, and management more efficient, while also enhancing network stability and resilience.
Q:What steps are being taken to protect the welfare of frontline staff?
A:To protect the welfare of frontline staff, the company is optimizing incentive mechanisms, strengthening care and recognition, ensuring steady income growth, and continuously enhancing their sense of fulfillment and professional pride.
Q:What are the company's plans for shareholder returns?
A:The company plans to enhance shareholder returns by refining cash dividend and share repurchase mechanisms, optimizing capital return structure, and delivering consistent returns to shareholders.
Q:How is the company committed to maintaining profitability and service quality?
A:The company is committed to maintaining high-quality market presence, high-quality service, low-end-to-end cost, and sound profitability, and is relentlessly delivering on its key commitments to steady earnings growth, continuous wage improvements, and healthy longevity for the company.
Q:What were the financial results for the first quarter?
A:For the first quarter, the company grew parcel volume by 13.2%, with total revenue increasing 22% to 13.3 billion, adjusted operating profit up 22% to 2.6 billion, adjusted net income up 5.2% to 2.4 billion, and core express delivery up 11 cents or 8.2% due to a positive impact from volume mix and other factors.
Q:How did the company's unit costs perform and what factors contributed to this?
A:The company's unit costs for the core express delivery business increased 8.8%, which includes a cost increase of 8.5 cents. This was consistent with the strategic expansion of the company's LTV volume. Unit sorting and transportation costs decreased by 8%, driven by economies of scale and improvements in route planning and load efficiency.
Q:What was the impact on gross profit and margins, and other financial metrics?
A:Gross profit increased 20.3% to 3.2 billion with a slight decrease in gross profit margin to 24.4%. SG&A expenses, excluding stock-based compensation, increased 14.9% to 594.5 million with a decline in the percentage of revenue to 4.5%, reflecting strong corporate cost efficiency. Income from operations increased 5.8% to 2.5 billion with a decrease in the margin rate to 19.2%, and operating cash flow was 2.8 billion, an 18% increase.
Q:The second question is, what is the outlook for the industry's price level under the influence of the anti-roll policy? Going forward, will the industry's price changes absorb the cost impact of oil prices?
A:Oil prices have been influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East; since March, domestic diesel prices have risen sharply. However, as the international situation has eased somewhat, prices had begun to decline by late April. Overall, the price increases resulting from efforts to combat over‑competition have largely offset the rise in fuel costs, so fluctuations in oil prices in the second quarter are expected to have only a limited impact on network-wide costs.
Q:In the AI era, how to consolidate and expand technological leadership? What are the AI-related initiatives that have been implemented and the outlook for future AI and express delivery enablement?
A:Our core idea is to make AI deeply integrated into the whole link, from cost-effective to business empowerment. The results that have landed include three aspects: intelligent sorting, intelligent customer service and end scheduling. Intelligent sorting covers 25 centers through 3D digital twin and machine vision technology, reducing the error rate by more than 60% and saving labor costs. Intelligent customer service realizes automatic processing of over 70% of full-link work orders, 80% of daily consultation at intelligent body coverage outlets such as Xiaotong, and the labor rate of online volume in the first quarter is reduced by another 5 percentage points. In terminal scheduling, the application of high-precision maps in scenarios such as station display and distribution path planning helps large outlets reduce the increase cost by more than 20% and supports accurate scheduling of tens of millions of orders per day. In addition, our online intelligent question counting system has been applied to many fields, and the time limit for decision analysis has been shortened from a few days to an hour. In the future, it will build a multi-agent architecture, provide optimization suggestions for all aspects of operation, and complete the voice customer service AI upgrade within half a year, covering nearly 6000 online stores across the network.
Q:What is the development and profit of the bulk business?
A:The rapid development of the bulk business, especially the reverse embedded business, is an important achievement of Zhongtong in the context of high-quality development of the industry, practicing the strategy of both scale and quality, and building a product layering system. In the first quarter of this year, we achieved an average daily processing of about 9.7 million orders, a significant growth rate. After entering the second quarter, the scale of reverse parts further increased, with an average daily processing capacity of more than 9.4 million orders. Although the price of reverse parts has fallen due to market competition, its single-ticket cost continues to be optimized thanks to economies of scale and refined cost control. At present, the single-ticket profit contribution of reverse pieces is higher than that of ordinary e-commerce pieces, effectively improving the company's overall single-ticket profitability.
Q:What are the strategies Zt o is pursuing for growth?
A:Zt o is pursuing both volume and quality growth by solidifying its leading position in parcel volume and sustaining its brand premium, which is based on service reach and stability, as well as further strengthening its cost advantage and widening the service quality gap versus peers.
Q:What has been the impact of Zt o's strategies on its retail parcel business?
A:The retail parcel business has seen rapid development, with average daily retail parcel volume reaching approximately nine point seven million and reverse logistic parcel volume exceeding nine point four million, despite a slight decline in price due to competition. Unit cost has optimized through economies of scale and refined cost management.
Q:How is Zt o anticipating the implementation of social security for delivery workers?
A:Zt o has welcomed the early implementation of social security policies for delivery workers. While acknowledging that it may lead to a short-term increase in single parcel cost, Zt o believes that establishing a stable and secured用工体系有助于 enhance network凝聚力 and reduce人员流失率, thereby reinforcing末端服务质量。 The company will continue to play a leading role in promoting high-quality industry development and compliance with government social security measures.
Q:What measures is Zt o taking to assist network partners with compliance and cost management?
A:Zt o is supportive in helping network partners become compliant with new social security policies and is working on implementing measures that generate results to help partners cope with any additional cost increases. These measures are expected to reduce costs and ensure that network partners can manage the transition smoothly.






