百事可乐公司 (PEP.US) 2025年第四季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
PepsiCo accelerates affordability initiatives, invests in product innovation, and enhances operational efficiency to drive sales growth, expand margins, and adapt to market trends, aiming for accelerated organic sales in 2026.
会议速览
Announcement of PepsiCo's fourth quarter earnings call, highlighting review of press release, cautionary statements on forward-looking data, explanation of non-GAAP measures, and request to limit questions to one per participant.
The company is accelerating affordability initiatives, focusing on low and middle-income consumers, to drive category growth. Investments in price reductions, innovation, and functionality enhancements are being funded by productivity gains, aiming to balance growth and profitability in the pfma business.
Discussed strategic pricing investments, brand restaging, and anticipated sales growth, emphasizing early-year volume and net revenue increases, double-digit space gains, and a balanced EPS outlook for the year.
The dialogue discusses the strategic emphasis on affordability through targeted price investments, highlighting successful volume returns and positive ROI. It reassures optimism for future aggressive actions, indicating a promising outlook with initial year success.
Discussed significant cuts in advertising expenses, attributing savings to efficiency gains. Anticipates future ad spend increase to support sales growth, emphasizing value and innovation messaging.
The dialogue discusses key drivers for accelerated organic sales in the second half, highlighting mid-single-digit growth in international markets, improved performance in North America's food and beverage segments, and a mechanical boost from recent acquisitions in high-growth categories.
The dialogue highlights the advancements and positive outcomes associated with naked Pep cdpd Iota, emphasizing its innovative aspects and market success.
Discusses early learnings from innovation, highlighting its impact on shaping future strategies for North America, emphasizing adaptability and foresight.
Investing in rebranding global staples and introducing innovative products to attract new consumers and increase category frequency, focusing on health-conscious and younger demographics.
A discussion on leveraging portion control and fiber innovation to enhance brand growth, emphasizing multi-pack strategies in foods and beverages to boost category growth and brand penetration.
Discusses PepsiCo's approach to addressing the growing adoption of GLP-1 medicines, focusing on portion control, hydration, fiber, and cooking method innovations to maintain category relevance and capitalize on new opportunities.
Discussion on significant shelf space gains across various store sections, emphasizing increased capacity to support higher volume and improved affordability in the snack category.
A discussion on transforming major brands like Lays, Gatorade, and Quaker by emphasizing simplicity, natural ingredients, and eliminating artificial components, aiming to shift consumer perception towards healthier, more authentic products.
Discussion highlights strategic focus on enhancing competitiveness and margin improvement in the beverage sector, emphasizing energy portfolio growth through Celsius brand and Alani integration, with promising early returns.
Discussion revolves around how acquisitions transitioning to organic status will contribute to full-year growth, with specific timelines for CTE and Alani, emphasizing their positive impact on organic growth metrics.
The dialogue discusses Pepsi's successful growth in 2025, attributing it to strong advertising, increased availability in food consumption spaces, and a no-sugar product that consumers prefer. It also outlines plans to maintain this momentum. For Mountain Dew, which has seen sluggish growth, the focus is on local marketing, innovation, and segmented strategies to reinvigorate the brand, with progress noted but a longer timeline expected for significant improvement.
A strategic update on the ongoing test merging food and beverage distribution in Texas and Florida, highlighting initial successes in integrated delivery and inventory, as well as challenges in technical systems and transport innovations. The initiative aims to enhance efficiency and customer service, with plans to scale successful solutions while considering regional nuances for a tailored US approach.
A discussion on macroeconomic conditions influencing various markets, with a focus on consumer behavior and regional performance. Guidance for the year is based on continuous trends, highlighting positive developments in Mexico, China, and the Middle East, while noting weaker trends in Western Europe. The conversation concludes with appreciation for audience participation and anticipation of future interactions.
要点回答
Q:How is PepsiCo planning to manage the impact of increased pricing on affordability?
A:PepsiCo is planning to manage the impact of increased pricing by making targeted investments in areas where the biggest friction for higher frequency is price. These investments are expected to have a good return on investment and should be considered alongside net revenue growth and large space gains, which are anticipated to be double-digit for Frito-Lay. The company believes that these targeted investments will result in volume growth and net revenue growth early in the year.
Q:What is the expected impact of productivity on funding the new initiatives?
A:Productivity is expected to play a crucial role in funding new initiatives. The company has seen productivity gains in the fourth quarter, which are expected to carry over and help fund the investments. The investments in affordability and innovation are being managed within the business's guidance and are integral parts of the productivity progress.
Q:What is the anticipated volume and sales growth trajectory for PepsiCo in the near term?
A:PepsiCo anticipates volume growth and net revenue growth early in the year, with a focus on targeted pricing investments in specific brands, channels, and formats. The company also expects significant space gains, with an average space gain for Frito-Lay in the new reset of both the main aisle and the perimeter being double-digit. This growth is expected to contribute positively to the company's results in the near term.
Q:How does PepsiCo expect the sales growth and earnings per share (EPS) to evolve throughout the year?
A:PepsiCo expects sales growth to strengthen in the second half of the year as more initiatives are put in place and gain traction, and as certain prior-year acquisitions are included in organic growth. From an EPS perspective, the company expects the year to be pretty balanced between the first and second halves, with updates as the year progresses. The company aims to provide a balanced performance throughout the year.
Q:What are the strategies for restaging Gatorade and Quaker, and what are the expectations for Tostitos?
A:The strategies for restaging Gatorade and Quaker involve global relaunches with new positioning and a focus on growth. The expectations for Tostitos are that they will be a big brand contributing to the relaunches in the second half of the year.
Q:How is the affordability and price investment strategy being implemented, and what is the expected return?
A:The affordability and price investment strategy is being implemented very surgically and is based on tested, scaled execution, which means that the investments are targeted and efficient. The expected return includes a good impact on consumers, business, and brand, as well as volume increases that have significant leverage for the company's flow-through of additional volume.
Q:What actions have been taken in response to retail trends, and what has been the level of payback?
A:The company has taken actions in response to retail trends, although the specific details of these actions and the level of payback are not provided in the transcript. The focus is on the fact that these actions have led to very good ROI and a volume return that's beneficial for the consumer, business, and brand.
Q:What factors have contributed to the decline in advertising expenses, and what is the outlook for next year?
A:The decline in advertising expenses is attributed to increased efficiency in both working and non-working advertising. The outlook for next year suggests that advertising expenses will go up, which is beneficial from a cost of sales standpoint. The company plans to invest in sales growth for the year.
Q:What are the growth expectations for the company's international and North American businesses?
A:The company expects its international business to continue performing at mid-single-digit growth levels, similar to the performance of the past few quarters. The growth is supported by good performance in larger markets such as Mexico, China, and South Africa. In North America, the expectation is for acceleration in the beverage business and continued improvement in the food business, leading to the majority of the growth in the second half of the year.
Q:What is the anticipated impact of acquisitions on the company's organic sales growth?
A:The anticipated impact of acquisitions on organic sales growth is a mechanical acceleration throughout the year as these acquisitions turn into organic growth. These acquisitions are in high-growth segments of the category, which is why they were made, and they are integrating well into the company's distribution systems. The brands are expected to continue growing and will contribute to an acceleration of the portfolio in the second half.
Q:Can you discuss the innovation strategies and recent successes, specifically with Naked and Tostitos?
A:The innovation strategies involve expanding core brands through relocations and new product offerings. The recent successes include the relaunch of Tostitos and plans for global relaunches of Gatorade and Quaker, as well as the addition of 'naked' products without artificial ingredients, which have been popular with younger households. These innovations are aimed at attracting consumers to the categories and increasing their frequency of purchase.
Q:What are the key innovations Gatorade is focusing on for next year?
A:Gatorade is focusing on a low sugar, no artificials variant as a key innovation for next year.
Q:What consumer trends are driving the need for portion control in Gatorade's products?
A:The need for portion control is driven by consumers seeking reasons to engage with large brands, looking for fiber innovations, and wanting to maintain health while enjoying products like Gatorade.
Q:How is PepsiCo responding to the potential increased adoption of GLP-1 medicines?
A:PepsiCo is reacting to the potential for broader adoption of GLP-1 medicines by working on multiple levers and being optimistic about its role in the new consumer reality, seeing more opportunities than threats.
Q:What are the strategies being implemented to keep Gatorade relevant in the market?
A:To keep Gatorade relevant, PepsiCo is focusing on portion control, smaller portion sizes, and enhancing the product's functionality, such as through hydration and fiber content, as well as cooking methods that align with consumer preferences.
Q:How is the new shelf space gained by Gatorade reflected in store setups?
A:The new shelf space for Gatorade is reflected in the store setup with presence in both the main shelf and the perimeter, contributing to the brand's visibility and capacity to handle increased units and consumer demand.
Q:What is different in the marketing and innovation approach for Gatorade's biggest brands?
A:For Gatorade's biggest brands, such as Lays, the approach involves a relaunch focusing on simplicity, nature, freshness, and removing artificial ingredients. This is applied globally and includes investment in better-for-you options and ingredients like avocado oil and olive oil.
Q:How is the energy portfolio expected to contribute to the segment's progress?
A:The energy portfolio is expected to contribute to the segment's progress through a combination of distribution margin and ownership in Celsius, which is engineered to participate in the fast-growing profit pool of the energy category.
Q:What are the strategies for enhancing the competitiveness of the beverage business?
A:The strategies for enhancing the competitiveness of the beverage business include execution, affordability, and brand building, particularly in the softer drinks and parts of the functional hydration portfolio.
Q:What is the current status and future outlook for the Celsius brand and its integration?
A:The Celsius brand is growing and the integration of the Alani new portfolio into the business has been positive so far. However, the full impact is expected to be seen in the coming months as not all distributors have been completed. The company is seeing improvements in execution metrics and should benefit positively from this going forward.
Q:How will recent acquisitions impact the organic growth in the coming year?
A:Recent acquisitions such as CTE, which will be in the March time frame, and Alani, which will be in the July time frame, are expected to help organic growth. The exact impact of these acquisitions is not quantified but will be reported on as the quarters evolve.
Q:What is the current status of the Pepsi brand and what initiatives are driving its volume growth?
A:Pepsi is a brand that is very important for the portfolio and is seeing improvements both in the US and globally. Initiatives driving volume growth include a focus on no-sugar Pepsi, increasing advertising investment to communicate the brand's presence and taste, and increasing availability in restaurants and food consumption spaces away from home.
Q:What is the outlook for Mountain Dew and what strategies are in place to improve its growth?
A:Mountain Dew has faced a more challenging project but is making good progress with teams iterating on innovation. The brand has a very local marketing model with different messages, innovation, and product portfolios in different parts of the country. Strategies to improve growth include continued innovation and local marketing approaches, which are expected to take some time to show significant results.
Q:What are the findings and future plans for the test merging food and beverage distribution in Texas and Florida?
A:The test merging food and beverage distribution in Texas and Florida is showing positive initial numbers in integrated delivery and inventory points, making the company more cost-efficient and flexible to provide better customer service. Specific details on plans going forward are expected to be updated later in the year, and the company is learning from this process to scale solutions and implement innovations in IT systems and transportation.
Q:How is the macroeconomic backdrop influencing the company's guidance for the year?
A:The macroeconomic backdrop is influencing the company's guidance for the year with a focus on the middle and low-income consumer who continues to be price-sensitive. The company's guidance is based on observable trends and data from different parts of the world, with some markets showing positive trends and others neutral or weaker. Overall, the company's guidance is based on the data and continuous improvement from the first quarter.

PepsiCo, Inc.
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