名创优品 (09896.HK、MNSO.US) 2025年第三季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
The Q3 financial report of Miniso shows that revenue increased by 28.2% compared to the same period last year, and adjusted operating profit broke 1 billion for the first time, with a year-on-year growth of 14.8%. Overseas business grew by 28%, with same-store sales in the US market exceeding expectations. Top Toy's revenue increased by 111% year-on-year. The company plans to respond to changes in the consumer environment by optimizing store layout, strengthening IP strategy, and improving supply chain efficiency, while also advancing globalization, shifting from growth in scale to focusing on both quality and scale, and achieving high-quality growth. Management is confident in achieving a 25% increase in revenue for the whole year and expanding into overseas markets, emphasizing the importance of channel upgrades and the company's own IP strategy.
会议速览
The conference call announced that the third quarter financial report for 2025 has been released, and investors can access it through the website. The conference will provide simultaneous English translation and remind participants to review the safe harbor statement. Discussions will involve financial indicators that are not in accordance with international financial reporting standards, and adjustments with international financial reporting standards have been explained. A PPT presentation with financial and operational information will be shown during the conference, which can be previewed later.
In the third quarter of 2025, the Miniso Group's performance was remarkable, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 28.2%, and adjusted operating profit exceeding 1 billion for the first time, reaching 10.2 billion yuan. Both domestic and international markets performed well, with steady growth in domestic same-store sales and a more than 65% year-on-year increase in revenue in the U.S. market. The company, through optimizing store opening decisions, creating differentiated store models, precise product matching, and end-to-end marketing, has strengthened its operational stability, and plans to replicate successful experiences in more countries and regions to unleash global market potential.
Top toy achieved significant revenue growth in the third quarter, with store expansion to 307, with outstanding performance from the independent IP Romeo. Miniso global stores have exceeded 8000, with quarterly revenue exceeding 5 billion RMB for the first time, and net profit exceeding 1 billion RMB. In terms of channel upgrade, the first Mi store opened in Shenzhen, positioned as light luxury, strengthening cooperation with shopping malls. 16 artists signed with their own IP, the first artist street in Guangzhou landed, creating extraordinary sales performance through scene transformation. Facing uncertainty, Miniso relies on a diverse IP portfolio and flexible channel management, continuously upgrading strategies, anchoring in the interest consumption track, and driving high-quality growth.
The quarterly earnings call reviewed the Q3 performance, with indicators such as revenue, same-store sales, and adjusted operating profit all exceeding expectations. Global same-store sales growth was significant, with Miniso China and overseas, as well as Top Toy brands, achieving strong growth. Group revenue surpassed 5 billion for the first time, and Q4 revenue growth is expected to be between 25% and 30%. The annual target is within reach.
Through the optimization and adjustment of overseas markets, refined cargo operation, and scientific decision-making and management of direct stores, significant improvements in same-store sales and stable gross profit margins have been achieved. Faced with challenges in the Southeast Asian market, the plan is to promote the successful experiences of China and the United States in order to achieve a breakthrough in the second entrepreneurial market. The growth rate of expenses has slowed down, direct store revenue growth has remained high, and the significant effects of refined operation and strict cost management have been evident.
The conversation mainly revolves around the interpretation of the financial report, analyzing in detail the reasons for the abnormal fluctuations in effective tax rates this quarter, including the impact of non-operating factors such as stock incentives and investment losses, pointing out the actual situation of the adjusted effective tax rate and operating profit. It emphasizes the short-term dilution effect of the increase in the proportion of revenue from overseas direct operations on the overall profit margin, but expects it to improve with the localization of operations in the future. At the same time, it reports robust inventory turnover, cash flow status, and optimistic expectations for future performance, including annual revenue growth and operating profit targets.
The dialogue revolves around the optimization of Miniso stores and the outlook for overseas markets, mentioning the counter-trend growth in performance against the background of slowed consumption since the second quarter, the accelerated launch of new store types such as IP friends, plans to reopen 80% of domestic stores, optimization strategies including relocation and expansion, aiming to improve store efficiency and rent-to-sales ratio, achieving a win-win situation for the company and franchisees. In terms of overseas markets, Miniso demonstrates strong creative output and IP cooperation capabilities, with a focus on stocking up for the peak season in the fourth quarter, marketing strategies emphasizing channel and product matching, creating single store records through deep cooperation, the overseas market is seen as long-term growth potential, systematic recognition and operational frameworks will gradually be promoted globally.
Discussed the role of non-IP products in company growth, emphasized the importance of interest consumption and the dual-wheel driving strategy of IP and core categories, demonstrated how to enhance product design and brand premium through IP empowerment, and achieve full scene coverage and healthy growth structure.
The conversation focuses on the seasonal operating strategies of Miniso in the American market, as well as the cultivation time and profitability impact of Chinese IP going global. By pre-arranging, accurate stocking, and scene display, the company effectively utilizes seasonal dividends, while also accelerating the overseas promotion of Chinese IP through global store resources. It is expected to reduce the impact of seasonal fluctuations and promote performance growth.
Facing the weak U.S. consumer market, Miniso is adopting a strategy of early layout, full stocking, and precise matching to cope with the peak holiday season sales. It is expected that same-store sales in the fourth quarter will achieve double-digit growth, and revenue will be maintained in the range of 50% to 55%, despite the slowing pace of store openings, with healthy profit growth expectations.
Discussed the future development plan of the company's in-house designer IP for the next three years, including the growth in the number of signed designers, the construction of the IP ecosystem, the hosting of trendy exhibitions, the establishment of communities, and potential investments in the secondary market. Pointed out the potential of in-house IP in the trillion-dollar interest consumption track, as well as the strategy of ensuring safe growth of IP through small-scale trial sales and data iteration models, emphasized the strong purchasing intention of young consumer groups for emotional, value, and emotional resonance.
Discussed the advantages of MCM, including full category coverage, multichannel penetration, global layout, and full-chain operation, emphasizing stores as the core of the IP ecosystem, enhancing IP value through product innovation and marketing activities, such as the successful cases of the Jeep Hyatt family conflict series and the second generation Love God series.
The conversation revolved around the expansion plan of domestic business, explaining that future store models will be divided into two major types: Leyuan series and regular electric core, each corresponding to different VI and logo applications. It emphasized the optimization and expansion of the flagship store and old store location selection, as well as the layout of regular stores. It highlighted the use of brand momentum and high-frequency consumer feedback from 8,000 global stores to promote product development and channel upgrades, while planning various store types including super mix super names, aiming to provide consumers with a better shopping experience through clear IP strategy and merchandise concepts.
The dialogue discussed the high-quality growth goals of Minshiwei in the Chinese market, emphasized the importance of same-store sales growth and internal management adjustments. At the same time, the analysis of the overseas retail environment, especially the challenges in Southeast Asia and Latin America, including macroeconomic fluctuations and currency exchange rate changes, but pointed out that the terminal GNV growth rate is better than shipment revenue, and inventory is healthy. The company is responding through cargo adjustment and channel adjustment, and is confident in different management strategies for overseas direct sales and agency markets.
Discussed the setting of KPIs for equity incentives and their sustainability, explained the correlation between high costs and incentives for the Top 2 teams. At the same time, elucidated the progress of the Top Toy listing plan, emphasizing its benefits to shareholders as a fully consolidated subsidiary of Miniso. Finally, supplemented with an explanation of the accounting treatment of SBC expenses and future amortization plans.
要点回答
Q:What growth did the group achieve in terms of the same store?
A:The group's same-store sales posted a mid-single-digit growth, with Miniso China achieving a high-single-digit growth, and Miniso overseas seeing significant changes in a year-on-year comparison with low-end growth. Meanwhile, Top Toy achieved growth from mid- to high-end. Among over 3,000 stores globally, maintaining low-end positive growth in same-store sales is very challenging. After adjustments, operating profit saw a double-digit growth, reaching 15%.
Q:How does the adjusted operating profit margin actually perform?
A:The adjusted operating profit margin is actually 17.6%, a year-on-year decrease from the previous quarter's 2.3 percentage points to 2.1 percentage points, better than expected.
Q:How is the situation regarding the group's revenue?
A:The group's revenue continues to grow, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23.7% from the beginning of the year to the third quarter, and it is expected that the revenue growth in Q4 will be in the range of 25% to 30%. Among them, revenue in mainland China increased by 19.3% year-on-year, overseas revenue grew by about 28% to 2.3 billion, Top toy revenue increased by 111% year-on-year to 0.57 billion, all exceeding previous expectations and guidance.
Q:How is the performance at the brand level?
A:As a brand approaching a GMV of around 350 to 400 billion, Mini brand achieved a 23% revenue growth this quarter; Top toy brand achieved a growth of 111%. The performance of each business segment in the same store was excellent, especially in the mainland of China where Mini's same-store year-on-year growth reached a high-end level, with an overall scale growth close to 20%.
Q:What are the reasons for the improvement of the same store?
A:The store's growth is benefited from timely grasping strategic product categories and high-potential multi-sales opportunities, optimizing shelf space in overseas markets, and improving supply chain capabilities and product data capabilities through direct procurement. At the same time, strengthening the linkage between products and frontline business, refining the operation of shelf space, creating regular hot-selling products, and attaching importance to holiday operations.
Q:How is the performance of the direct-operated market?
A:In the direct sales market, both mainland China and overseas store growth rates have maintained a good momentum, especially in important direct sales markets such as the United States and Canada. Through refining store models, scientific decision-making, strict selection of store openings, and cluster-based store openings, the operating profit margin of overseas direct sales stores has significantly increased year-on-year. The plan is to expand the China-US experience to the Southeast Asian market by 2026.
Q:What are your views on changes in profit margins and future planning?
A:The gross profit margin has increased from around 27% in year 21 to the current level of 44%, thanks to the execution of overseas business, the increase in overseas income ratio, and the upgrading of the brand and solid implementation of the IP strategy. In the future, we will focus on balancing product quantity and price, adhere to innovation, cost-effectiveness, scarcity, quality-price ratio, and practicality, maintain the stability of the gross profit margin, and achieve better sales performance on this basis.
Q:What are the cost rate situation and influencing factors?
A:Total expenses in this quarter increased by 33.7% year-on-year, with an expense ratio of 27.6%, mainly due to significant growth in Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) caused by factors such as equity incentives. Sales expenses increased by 36.5% year-on-year, mainly due to increased investment in direct-operated stores, especially overseas stores. With refined operations and strict expense management, the growth rate of expenses for direct-operated stores has slowed down, but still exceeds the growth rate of income.
Q:What is the impact and effective tax rate situation of Yonghui Investment?
A:Yonghui Investment had an impact of approximately 146 million on net profit this quarter, which has been excluded in non-IFRS financial indicators. The effective tax rate for this quarter is 33.9%, compared to 24.8% in the same period last year, mainly due to the impact of equity incentives and losses from Yonghui Investment. If non-operating related items are excluded, the adjusted effective tax rate decreases to 22.8%. In addition, adjusted operating profit increased by 15% year-on-year, net profit increased by 11.7% year-on-year, and EPS earnings per share increased by 12.7%.
Q:Mr. Ye, could you please share the progress and goals of the current store renovation strategy or the User Experience (UE) situation of the stores, as well as the focus of next year's strategy, mainly the thoughts on the domestic Miniso stores?
A:Currently, we are actively promoting store optimization work by expanding store areas, enhancing display spaces, and improving consumer experiences. The large store model not only provides a better shopping environment, but also can showcase more products and increase sales per square foot and revenue due to its larger size. For store renovations, we plan to gradually promote them, focusing on selecting suitable locations and implementing them based on lease agreements and new store locations. In addition, in the first three quarters of this year, we have successfully optimized over 200 stores, with significant sales growth, improved sales per square foot, and reduced rental costs, achieving a win-win situation for both the company and franchisees.
Q:Regarding the outlook for the overseas market, can you provide a detailed explanation of the fourth quarter goals and next year's strategic planning?
A:In the fourth quarter, we saw several key initiatives, such as the very successful ordering meeting in September, with record high order amounts and several categories breaking the billion mark for single products. All special zones achieved their best performance in history. In addition, through deep cooperation with IP partners, we innovatively launched multiple scarce and differentiated products that were warmly welcomed by the market. For overseas markets, we are confident, as our practice in the Chinese and American markets over the past year has proven our systematic understanding and effective strategies. We will continue to optimize store opening decision-making mechanisms, create differentiated store models, and replicate and promote these validated operational frameworks to more countries and regions through precise acquisition of matching and full-chain marketing resonance, in order to achieve long-term sustainable profitability and tap into the huge potential of the global market.
Q:In the first three quarters of this year, how has the optimization of domestic stores through relocation or expansion been?
A:In the first three quarters of this year, through relocation or expansion optimization, our domestic store optimization work has achieved positive results, successfully optimizing more than 200 stores. The optimization samples of these stores show that their sales have significantly increased, the efficiency level has been maintained at a healthy level, and at the same time rental costs have decreased, achieving double growth in both company and franchisee revenue and profit. Therefore, store optimization will become a regular work in our channel expansion.
Q:The question I want to ask is, how does the company view the sustained growth of non-IP products, especially for categories from old suppliers?
A:We believe that interest-driven consumption is currently the most trending and potential race track, where consumers not only pursue the practicality of products, but also value the aesthetic identity, social labels, and experience and spiritual satisfaction behind them. Based on interest-driven and emotionally connected consumer demands, there is stronger stickiness and premium space, which will become the core lever for brands to cross cycles and build differentiated competitiveness. The transformation to IP is not about giving up the original category advantages, but driving the dual wheels of AP and core categories, allowing the core capabilities accumulated over the years to unleash greater value. Miniso covers a variety of core supply chain resources in daily department stores, beauty stationery, aroma toys, and other categories, as well as mature multi-category product development capabilities, which is the scarcity barrier supporting the implementation of the IP strategy. The uniqueness of our business model lies in the ability to achieve full-scene penetration of IP empowerment, allowing the heat of IP to contribute to the sales of core categories, forming a healthy growth structure of essential categories, IP-driven categories, and profits.
Q:In overseas business, how long does it take for Chinese IP to be cultivated in overseas sales and how long does it take compared to existing overseas business? Will it have a negative impact on profits?
A:Based on past experience, the average sales of single stores in the US market during the slow season of Q1 will be 10 to 20 percentage points lower than during the peak season of Q4, with corresponding decreases in average transaction value and order quantity. By implementing a strategy of opening stores throughout the year, completing the opening of all stores before the peak season, and operating with precise leverage, utilizing retail industry trends such as holiday peak spending, early planning, adequate inventory, and precise adaptation, we are able to transform seasonal fluctuations into growth opportunities, ensuring that even during peak retail periods like Q4, we can actively leverage seasonal advantages to achieve growth in performance.
Q:When Chinese IPs go abroad, how does MINISO empower Chinese IPs and avoid starting from scratch?
A:Miniso will leverage its unique strengths, utilizing past experiences with authorized IPs and a vast IP matrix to empower each other. For example, the successful opening of the Canada flagship store is a key step in the global IP strategy, driving sales through high-quality stores and IP activities (such as the Yu Yu automotive surprise parade). The Mickey Ford bear family also made their overseas debut, breaking sales records for new stores opening in North America. With the help of global store resources, Miniso is successfully expanding its IPs overseas and steadily growing.
Q:In the next three years, what kind of scale can Miniso's own designer IP achieve? Will it establish a designer ecosystem like IP companies, host trendy exhibitions, build communities, and invest in resale markets?
A:As of the end of June, 9 designer IPs have been signed, with another 16 to be signed in Q3. We are actively exploring highly potential original toy artists IPs globally to create a IP landscape for creative toys. Through small-scale trial sales and data iteration mode, adjusting design styles and categories based on market feedback, MINGCHUANGYOU can safely achieve steady growth of free IPs within the framework, avoiding the high input and high risk issues of traditional IP incubation. At the same time, MINGCHUANGYOU has built an IP ecosystem through store layout, IP image display, themed activities, etc., and the product itself is also an important part of strengthening IP value.

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