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Twilio, Inc.(TWLO.US) 2025年第三季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Twilio forecasts 8-9% Q4 organic revenue growth, driven by AI, voice, and international messaging. The company highlights strong performance across products, channels, and industries, with a focus on AI-driven sales efficiency and cross-selling. Twilio's strategy includes capital return through buybacks and targeted investments in identity and AI to enhance platform value.
会议速览
Twilio's Q3 2025 Earnings Call: Results and Forward Outlook
Twilio's leadership team discusses Q3 2025 financial results, including non-GAAP measures, forward-looking statements, and future goals, followed by a Q&A session. Participants are reminded of the call's recording and procedures for asking questions.
Twilio's Q3 Growth: Record Revenue, AI Integration, and Strategic Acquisitions
Twilio reports record-breaking Q3 financials with 1.3 billion in revenue, attributing success to strong customer engagement across segments, growth in AI-driven solutions, and strategic acquisitions. Highlights include voice business acceleration, conversational AI adoption, and the acquisition of Stitch for enhanced digital interactions. Twilio continues to innovate and expand its platform, aiming to be the customer experience layer of the internet.
Record-Breaking Q3 for Twilio: Revenue, Profit, and Cash Flow Milestones
Twilio reported record Q3 revenue of $1.3B, 13% organic growth, $235M income from operations, and $248M free cash flow. Accelerated voice and software add-on growth, strong Isv and self-serve sales, and 109% net expansion rate were highlighted. Guidance for Q4 includes revenue of $1.31B-$1.32B, non-GAAP income from operations of $230M-$240M, and full-year free cash flow of $920M-$930M, reflecting strategic cost management and share repurchases.
Analysis of Stitch Acquisition, Customer Growth, and Price Impact
Discussion covers Stitch acquisition's strategic alignment, minimal financial impact, and customer growth drivers post-free tier removal, with no churn linked to recent price increases.
Voice AI Adoption Surges: Accelerated Growth and Encouraging Trends
Discussed significant year-over-year growth in voice AI customer cohorts, with top 10 startups seeing a 10x increase. Highlighted healthy performance across various industries and use cases, expressing optimism about future trends in voice AI and related products like Conversation relay.
Analysis of Non-Messaging Business Growth and Gross Margin Improvements
The dialogue explores the factors behind the significant sequential increase in non-messaging business, attributing growth to email customer conversions and voice services. It discusses the positive impact of cross-selling and upselling high-margin products on gross margins. Additionally, the conversation highlights the role of ISV relationships and self-service growth in driving new customer acquisitions, particularly in voice services, and mentions a large cloud service provider deal as a key revenue driver.
Q4 Revenue Growth Guidance: Holiday Season Impact and EDQM Performance Insights
Discussion revolves around Q4 revenue growth guidance, focusing on holiday season volume impacts and emerging area growth contributions. Also covers unexpectedly strong EDQM performance, highlighting areas that outperformed expectations.
Q3 Sales Growth and Holiday Season Guidance
Discussed broad-based sales growth across channels and industries, highlighting acceleration in software add-ons and mid to high teens growth in core products. Acknowledged a challenging holiday season comparison due to last year's strong performance, yet expressed confidence in guidance and portfolio strength.
Adoption Trends of Conversational AI Products Among Traditional Enterprises and ISVs
Discussed traction of conversational intelligence and relay among traditional customers, highlighting unified agent productivity solutions. Expansion, not pricing, drove net dollar retention increase, with durable growth seen despite churn stability.
AI Voice Start-Ups: Accelerating Production and Growth in the AI Value Chain
The dialogue explores the evolving landscape of AI voice start-ups, highlighting their progression from experimentation to production. While acknowledging the acceleration in growth, the speaker notes the current small contribution to overall volumes, emphasizing optimism about trends aligning with the AI value chain. Integration into complex offerings is identified as a key growth driver, positioning the company favorably in the emerging AI ecosystem.
International Messaging Market Growth and Competitive Advantage
The company experienced significant international messaging market growth, attributing success to multi-product capabilities and integrated communication solutions, which differentiated them from competitors and allowed for strategic positioning in customer relationships.
Investment Priorities and Potential Industry Fee Adjustments for Future Growth
Discussion focused on strategic investments for growth, highlighting AI, RCS adoption, and identity solutions. Concerns raised about potential fee increases by industry players impacting gross margins, emphasizing proactive measures for maintaining profitability.
Balancing Enterprise Growth and New Customer Acquisition in Voice AI
Discusses the balance between existing enterprise customers expanding voice AI usage and attracting new customers through voice AI offerings, highlighting strong sales and marketing capacity to capitalize on growth opportunities.
Leveraging AI for Enhanced Go-to-Market Efficiency and Customer Service
The organization discusses how implementing AI technology has streamlined their sales and customer service processes, leading to significant productivity gains and scalable growth. By utilizing AI assistants for lead handling, customer onboarding, and service ticket management, the company has optimized its go-to-market strategy and post-sales operations, enabling efficient expansion without compromising service quality.
Exploring RCS Growth, Business Strength, and Steady-State Profit Profile
Discussions centered on RCS technology's early adoption, marketing efficacy, and branded communication benefits, alongside the company's strategic focus on innovation, financial discipline, and capital returns, hinting at a promising, albeit nascent, growth trajectory and a commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
Optimizing Global AI Adoption and Market Expansion Strategies
Discusses enhancing self-service experiences with AI, international market penetration, selective regional investments, and AI-driven growth acceleration, highlighting strategic initiatives for global expansion and market leadership.
Driving Cross-Sell Growth: Twilio's Sales Motion and Customer Penetration Update
Twilio's sales strategy focuses on product innovation and integrated solutions to enhance cross-selling. Marketing programs and compensation plans support these efforts, aiming to increase customer consumption of Twilio services, with early signs of success noted.
Leveraging AI and Self-Service for Accelerated Customer Acquisition and Expansion
The dialogue highlights how AI and self-service have expedited new customer onboarding and expansion, enhancing value realization and fostering strategic relationships, thereby driving enterprise-scale growth.
要点回答
Q:What notable achievements have been made in customer growth and revenue?
A:Twilio's ISV and self-serve customers have driven growth with revenue more than 20% year over year. The company also saw growth in cross sell and solution selling, with notable wins and a 9 figure renewal across multiple products with a leading cloud provider.
Q:What new capabilities have been added to Twilio's platform?
A:Twilio's innovation bets on new capabilities like conversational AI and branded communications have started to pay off, enhancing the Twilio platform's offering to businesses.
Q:What is Twilio's potential as identified in the speech?
A:Twilio is seen as having the potential to be the customer experience layer of the internet, bringing together essential capabilities like multi-channel communications, contextual data, and AI-driven orchestration to enable stronger and more meaningful business-customer relationships.
Q:What are the outcomes of go-to-market execution?
A:Go-to-market execution was a key driver of results, leading to several notable customer wins including a 9 figure renewal and the largest deal in the company's history, as well as other notable wins with companies like Gens, Par-K AI, and Paychex.
Q:What is the impact of Twilio's self-serve model?
A:Twilio's self-serve model experienced a year-over-year usage growth of more than 20%, with customers like a leading AI model company scaling from a single product use to a six-figure multi-product customer.
Q:What is the first quarter's agent productivity solution in market performance?
A:The first quarter's agent productivity solution performance was positive, with the signing of the first set of deals, notably by Inhabit, a leading property management software company, to transform their customer experience.
Q:How are Twilio's investments in voice, conversational AI, and RCS progressing?
A:Twilio's investments are paying off with strong customer demand for voice, conversational AI, and RCS, resulting in a mid-teens revenue growth year over year in the voice business, and significant growth in call volume and conversation relay usage.
Q:What are the key developments and performance indicators from the Q3 transcript?
A:In Q3, RCS became generally available worldwide with a more than doubling of messaging volume. Branded experiences helped consumers trust communicating brands, with companies likeParticle using RCS for event invitations and reminders. Twilio's Verify product grew over 25% year over year, indicating rising demand for trusted communication. The acquisition of Stitch, an identity platform for AI agents, was announced to enhance digital interactions with next-generation authentication capabilities. Twilio was recognized as a Best Workplace for Innovators by Fast Company. Financially, Twilio reported record revenue, income from operations, and free cash flow. The dollar-based net expansion rate was 109%, and non-GAAP gross profit and income from operations grew. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded by 190 basis points to 18%. Twilio also completed $350 million in share repurchases.
Q:What is the strategic rationale behind acquiring Stitch and how is it expected to impact financials?
A:The acquisition of Stitch was made to augment Twilio's ability to enable amazing digital interactions by delivering next-generation authentication capabilities tailored for the era of generative AI. The rationale is that authentication is a critical and foundational step in the customer journey, enhancing customer engagement. Financially, the acquisition is not expected to have a material impact on Twilio's financials going forward, as the revenue and profitability in the P&L from Stitch are considered immaterial in the context of Twilio's overall scale. The acquisition was made for less than $100 million, indicating a relatively small tech and talent acquisition.
Q:How did Twilio's revenue, operations, and cash flow perform in the third quarter?
A:Twilio had a record third quarter with record revenue of $1.315 billion, up 13% year over year on an organic basis. Income from operations was $235 million, and free cash flow was $248 million. The company drove top line performance through broad-based go-to-market execution. Messaging revenue grew in the high teens, and voice revenue growth accelerated to the mid-teens, the fastest in over six years, supported by strong growth from voice AI customers. Software add-on revenue growth also accelerated, led by Verify. Non-GAAP gross profit and income from operations were up, and non-GAAP operating margin expanded. GAAP income from operations was $41 million. Twilio generated free cash flow of $248 million, completed $350 million in share repurchases, and had year-to-date share repurchases of $657 million.
Q:What is the forecasted revenue and profitability guidance for Q4 and how does it compare to previous estimates?
A:For Q4, Twilio has initiated a revenue target of $1.31 to $1.32 billion, indicating 9.5% to 10.5% reported growth and 8% to 9% organic growth. Q4 revenue guidance includes $22 million in pass-through revenue from incremental U.S. carrier fees, compared to $20 million in Q3. This resulted in an increase to full-year 2023 organic revenue growth guidance to 9% to 10%, up from 9% to 10%, and reported revenue growth to 12.4% to 12.6%, up from 10% to 11%. The Q4 non-GAAP income from operations is expected to be between $230 to $240 million. Full-year non-GAAP income from operations guidance has been raised to $900 to $910 million, from $850 to $875 million previously. The full-year free cash flow guidance has been raised to a range of $920 to $930 million, from $875 to $900 million previously, reflecting strong cash generation year-to-date.
Q:What caused the strong net customer addition number and was there any churn related to the price increase?
A:The strong net customer addition number was primarily due to the ending of free tiers for email and marketing campaign APIs, which led to many small accounts becoming active accounts and driving a big part of the quarter-over-quarter growth. There has not been any churn associated with the price increase over the last quarter.
Q:What contributed to the strength in the self-service business and the enterprise new business team?
A:The self-service business showed particular strength, generating a lot of new customer logo acquisitions, with the voice AI capabilities proving to be quite attractive and driving business growth. The enterprise new business team also had a very strong quarter, suggesting encouraging signs overall on customer acquisitions.
Q:What are the recent trends in voice adoption, especially with voice AI, and what is the projected trajectory?
A:Voice adoption has shown strength with a mid-teens growth rate, which is the company's fastest in over three years. The cohort of voice AI customers grew nearly 60% year over year, and the top 10 largest voice AI startups experienced a 10x increase. The company is excited about this accelerated growth and its impact on the self-serve business, with the sales channel growing significantly.
Q:How is the voice AI segment performing within the company's overall business?
A:The voice AI segment is still relatively small within the company's overall business, but it has shown a healthy performance across the entirety of the voice business. The voice business encompasses a wide variety of customers, industries, and use cases, which the company is encouraged by, especially given its position at the center of the AI value chain.
Q:What drove the sequential growth in the non-messaging business and when can one expect to see the benefits from it?
A:The sequential growth in the non-messaging business was primarily driven by email customers, as the company removed its free tier and saw smaller customers convert onto the platform as active accounts. Even adjusting for this, there was a quarter-over-quarter growth in gross margins. The positive gross margin benefits from the voice segment are expected to be sequential, with the company focusing on cross-selling and upselling its software and add-on products, which have high margins.
Q:What partnerships and ISV relationships are driving growth, and what is the significance of the new deal mentioned?
A:The company has been successful in growing its ISV cohort, with many customers starting in self-serve and then expanding through these partnerships. ISV relationships have been a key driver for the recent large deal mentioned, which was a material renewal with a customer the company had been working with for some time. The details of this financial deal were not disclosed, but the renewal signifies a significant and positive outcome for the company.
Q:What are the signs of performance expected in the holiday season and how could it contribute to the revenue growth guidance?
A:The performance in the holiday season is expected to be tied to trends in 4 Q, where volumes are typically influenced by the holiday season. Early signs suggest a solid guide for 8 to 9% organic revenue growth. The performance is expected to be broad-based with specific mentions of sales channel performance and product growth. Factors such as accelerated sales through ISVs and software add-on products, along with strong growth in the messaging and voice products, are anticipated to contribute to the revenue guide. Industries such as tech, healthcare, professional services, retail, and e-commerce are also showing healthy volumes.
Q:What were the standout performance areas within the company's business?
A:Within the company's business, standout performance areas include broad-based growth with ISV self and software add-on products, notably products like verified. Sales have been driven by the go-to-market team and the sales team, with particular acceleration noted in the voice AI startup customer volume. The company's biggest products in messaging and voice grew in the mid to high teens, with much of the voice growth attributed to the aforementioned voice AI startup customer volume.
Q:How does the adoption of new products like conversational intelligence and conversational relay among traditional non-AI parts of the customer base look?
A:The adoption of new products such as conversational intelligence and conversational relay among traditional non-AI parts of the customer base has been positive. There has been solid traction with enterprise and ISV customers, resulting in multi-product growth, especially with add-ons. The company's agent productivity solution has seen early traction, integrating core capabilities of voice, SMS, email, and chat into a unified experience, powered by conversational relay to create virtual agents for customer care and pre-sales use cases.
Q:What factors contributed to the recent net dollar-based retention uptick?
A:The recent net dollar-based retention uptick was primarily due to underlying expansion, rather than pricing. The price increase in June around Business Messaging did not have a material impact on the quarter. Although there was a contraction in churn, the one impact from ISVs in Q2 was noted to have a 100 basis point impact quarter over quarter. However, even adjusting for that, DBN or dollar-based net expansion was up slightly.
Q:What is the impact of AI voice startups on the company's business and how is it expected to drive additional growth?
A:The impact of AI voice startups on the company's business is increasing as more voice AI agents are going into production. Although still a relatively small contributor, the company is encouraged by the adoption trends and is positioned at the center of the AI value chain. The integration of AI into the company's multi-product offerings, like conversation relay and agent productivity solutions, is anticipated to drive additional growth. However, this growth remains relatively small in the broader context of the company's operations.
Q:Has there been a change in the competitive landscape for international messaging in Q3, and what is driving the momentum?
A:The momentum for international messaging continued in Q3, and the competitive landscape appears to be favorable. The company is winning more market share with international messaging, and it seems that the market is becoming less price-sensitive. The exact factors driving this may share are not specified in the provided text, but the company's ability to leverage its offerings in a growing AI value chain is expected to contribute to this positive trend.
Q:What are the areas of investment that the company plans to focus on to drive growth?
A:The company plans to focus on investments that align with their current operational expenses (OPEX) envelope. Specific investments include advancements in identity, with an inorganic investment announced today in Stitch, an identity company. The emphasis is on delivering platform value in an authentic experience through the platform in a more agency-focused future.
Q:Are the new customers that are adopting voice AI completely new to Twilio, or are they existing messaging customers?
A:The new customers adopting voice AI are a mix of both. Some are existing enterprise customers who have strategic relationships with Twilio and have been using a little bit of voice, which has led to an acceleration in their use of voice AI. The other segment consists of new customers who are engaging with voice AI and are doing more with voice, contributing to the company's growing self-service business.
Q:How does the company plan to manage its capacity as it expands its product offerings and sales?
A:The company is running the Go to Market organization more efficiently, which has helped scale up operations. They've been able to use their own technology effectively, with an AI assistant powering pre-sales motion, handling the majority of inbound leads, customer onboarding, and upgrades. This has allowed for productivity gains and the ability to scale without needing to significantly increase capacity. Going forward, they'll continue to invest in capacity as needed, ensuring an efficient growth trajectory.
Q:What are the encouraging signs for RCS in terms of a longer-term view?
A:The encouraging signs for RCS in the long term include its branded nature, which is considered higher efficacy and more trusted compared to other communications platforms.
Q:What are the key drivers of the business's strength and how should one think about its steady state prefa per share growth profile?
A:The key drivers of the business's strength include durable top line growth, a mix shift, an AI story, margin expansion, cost discipline, and capital returns. To think about the steady state prefa per share growth profile, one should consider a framework of financial discipline, operating rigor, and strategic investments that drive ongoing leverage and free cash flow.
Q:How are the company's AI and identity investments expected to affect future performance?
A:The company's investments in AI and identity are expected to improve efficiency and drive cost discipline, while also providing a foundation for future growth. These investments include tech and talent acquisitions to enhance existing capabilities and increase leverage and cash flow going forward.
Q:What is the company's strategy for stock buybacks?
A:The company's strategy for stock buybacks is to increase activity when the stock is deemed a good value, using a framework that guides these decisions. Investments in AI, automation, and stock buybacks are expected to drive ongoing leverage, free cash flow, and support the company's growth trajectory.
Q:How is the company making the self-serve experience easier for customers?
A:The company is investing in its operations to simplify the self-serve experience continually, making compliance hurdles easier to overcome, and embedding AI capabilities into the console for a more fluid and simpler customer experience.
Q:What is the company's approach to international markets, specifically in relation to AI adoption?
A:The company is enhancing the self-serve experience internationally to make it even simpler for customers to get up and running. This approach is expected to position the company as a preferred vendor globally. The company selectively invests in countries like Australia, Japan, and Singapore and is encouraged by the customer excitement and trends in AI adoption both with and without Twilio's services.
Q:What efforts are being made to improve cross-selling to existing customers?
A:Efforts to improve cross-selling to existing customers include a sales motion that leverages innovation in products, which are designed to work together with various primitives and channels. This enables the go-to-market team to offer compelling solutions and business outcomes. Marketing programs and compensation plans are aligned to drive this performance, and there is significant upside potential to get a broader set of customers to consume more Twilio services.
Q:What is the impact of self-service on customer acquisition and growth?
A:Self-service has been an effective tool for customer acquisition and growth by increasing efficiency in managing the customer funnel, utilizing AI for faster onboarding and upgrades, and improving the value and ROI for customers. This leads to quicker realization of benefits, faster expansion, and a stronger growth flywheel that aids in scaling into the enterprise and developing strategic relationships over time.
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