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MicroStrategy (MSTR.US) 2025年第二季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
The dialogue highlights a pioneering company's approach to accelerating institutional Bitcoin adoption, leveraging Bitcoin for exponential growth, encouraging diversification and innovation, and navigating regulatory challenges. Key strategies include increasing leverage to amplify Bitcoin investment returns, improving credit conditions, and focusing on transparency and digital transformation in investor relations. The company's significant holdings and financial milestones underscore its leading role in the Bitcoin Treasury Company space.
会议速览
Company Q2 performance and overview of Bitcoin holding strategy.
The company held a total of 628,791 bitcoins in Q2 and as of July 29th, accounting for 3% of the total bitcoin supply, becoming a leader in the field of bitcoin national treasury companies. Its market value exceeds 112 billion US dollars, ranking it as the 96th largest listed company in the United States. This year, it has successfully launched four listed preferred stock products and raised 18.3 billion US dollars in capital within seven months, accounting for 81% of the total capital raised last year, demonstrating a significant improvement in the speed and efficiency of capital raising. Earnings per share (EPS) results also show progress, demonstrating significant progress in the company's capital raising and bitcoin holding strategy.
Bitcoin Wealth Effect: Company Performance Reaches New Highs with Increased Bitcoin Holdings
The company achieved record GAAP operating revenue and net income in the second quarter, reaching the highest point in the company's history, due to the significant appreciation of Bitcoin and the adoption of new fair value accounting rules. Bitcoin per share earnings (BPS) as a new key indicator, reflects the significant growth in the value of Bitcoin accumulated by the company over the past few years through strategic management and maximizing Bitcoin inventory operations. As of the end of July, the company's cumulative Bitcoin earnings per share had reached 198,543, demonstrating significant value growth of Bitcoin as a strategic asset for the company and increasing shareholder value.
Company's Bitcoin assets growth impact due to changes in accounting standards
Since August 2020, the company has been adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet every quarter, with the current value of Bitcoin held exceeding $74 billion, at a cost of $46 billion. With the adoption of FASB fair value accounting standards on January 1, 2025, the company recorded a one-time adjustment, increasing total shareholder equity by $12.7 billion. Under the new accounting rules, the first quarter reported $5.9 billion in unrealized losses, but the second quarter realized $14 billion in unrealized fair value gains due to a significant increase in Bitcoin prices. As of the current quarter, the total fair value of Bitcoin has increased to $74 billion, with fair value gains of approximately $6.2 billion for the quarter. Additionally, the company holds $12.3 billion in convertible bonds and $6.3 billion in perpetual preferred stock, providing stable funding for long-term strategic assets.
Analysis of Bitcoin holdings and company financial health.
The company ensures robust asset support for its debt and priority securities with its large holdings of Bitcoin and solid equity base. With a Bitcoin holding of $74 billion, far exceeding $8 billion in convertible debt and preferred equity obligations, and total annual interest and dividend obligations accounting for only 1.6% of total capital raised in the past 12 months, the company demonstrates ample liquidity management and capital raising capabilities. Furthermore, the Bitcoin holdings are sufficient to cover annual preferred stock dividend requirements for over 120 years, showcasing its strong financial cushioning capabilities.
Support and development trends of cryptocurrency by the US government and Wall Street.
The White House in the United States has shown strong support for cryptocurrency, especially Bitcoin, including establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve and releasing a positive cryptocurrency policy report. This policy shift is conducive to improving the taxation of crypto assets, increasing acceptance of digital currency, and encouraging more companies to include them in their balance sheets. With the launch of 80 ETFs and a large influx of funds, publicly traded companies have also begun to buy Bitcoin in large quantities, showing a rapid adoption and growth trend of Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Analysts have an average year-end Bitcoin price forecast as high as $168,000, reflecting the industry's optimistic outlook for the future of cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin as an emerging force of technological change and digital disruption.
Technology investors are now turning their attention to Bitcoin, seeing it as the next big thing alongside artificial intelligence, which has attracted a large number of investors into the Bitcoin space. Financial regulatory agencies are increasingly supportive of Bitcoin, including the SEC's positive attitude towards Bitcoin ETFs, relaxing options trading restrictions, and support for the digital assets industry. In addition, guidance from the Federal Housing Administration will promote the institutional adoption of Bitcoin as collateral in the banking industry. The US Congress has passed relevant laws to promote the legalization of Bitcoin, and various states and international governments have also shown a positive attitude towards Bitcoin, promoting its adoption on a global scale.
The integration of Bitcoin and the crypto economy, along with financial product strategies.
The encryption industry has been focused on Bitcoin, seeing it as the foundation of the entire encryption economy, driving industry growth. The company's strategic positioning is between traditional finance and the encryption economy, by extracting the asset value of Bitcoin, developing low-risk and high-risk financial products to meet different market demands. For example, ibit, as a packaged product of Bitcoin, provides the investment community with a secure investment form.
Bitcoin structured product strategy: balancing risk and return
The conversation discussed a structured financial product strategy for Bitcoin, aiming to provide balanced investment options for different types of investors in terms of risk and return. By offering diversified products including convertible bonds, preferred stocks, fixed-income stocks, etc., the strategy aims to reduce the volatility of Bitcoin investments while ensuring a certain rate of return. In particular, a product called "Strike" was mentioned, which attracts investors seeking stable income and some growth by providing partial upside potential of Bitcoin and a fixed dividend of 8%. The target market includes growth-seeking investors, commercial real estate investors, hedge funds, and Bitcoin investors, with the overall goal of achieving high returns on Bitcoin investments while controlling risks.
Introduction to Strife and Stride: Market Positioning and Advantages of High-Yield Long-Term Credit Products
The dialogue provides a detailed introduction to two financial products, Strife and Stride, targeting income and high-yield investors respectively. Strife, as the highest-level long-term high-grade credit product, offers a return rate of 8.7% and high-level payment protection, targeting the $40 trillion capital market. Stride, on the other hand, is positioned as a long-term high-yield credit product with a return rate of 11.9%, suitable for investors seeking long-term high returns, targeting markets such as the $2 trillion high-yield corporate bond market. Both products ensure investors' returns and protection through high-level over-collateralization strategies, demonstrating their competitive advantage in the market.
Design concept and target market of high yield short-term credit products for Bitcoin
The conversation discussed a new IPO product called 'Stretch', which is a short-term, high-yield Bitcoin credit product aimed at investors who are willing to take on short-term interest rate risks (one month) and are seeking stable value and returns higher than money market. The product is designed with higher BTC ratings and 6 times excess collateral compared to other products, currently yielding 9.5%. The target market includes $18 trillion in bank accounts and $7.4 trillion in money markets, as well as cryptocurrency companies and investors who believe in Bitcoin but need short-term liquidity. The product, supported by Bitcoin, offers higher returns than regular savings accounts, while meeting the needs of investors who do not want to take on long-term interest rate risks.
Building the yield curve of BTC credit and analyzing its term structure
The conversation discussed the yield curve of building Bitcoin credit, particularly analyzing BTC credit instruments with different terms, such as short-term instruments with one-month terms and permanent instruments like Strife, Stride, and Strike. With the improvement of company credit and Bitcoin prices, the terms of permanent instruments may be extended, while the terms of one-month instruments remain unchanged. This change reflects the impact of credit spreads on the term structure.
Create high liquidity perpetual preferred stock and variable monthly dividend mechanism
The discussion focuses on issuing perpetual preferred shares with different maturities ranging from 1 to 10 years, as well as utilizing AI technology to create preferred shares with variable monthly dividends, in order to access a capital opportunity of up to 30 trillion US dollars in the medium-term corporate credit market. This new financial instrument not only offers higher than market returns but also significantly improves liquidity and credit strength, with daily trading volumes reaching millions of dollars, increasing liquidity by 50 to 100 times compared to traditional preferred shares.
Analysis of the advantages created by using digital capital and AI to develop financial tools.
The company has created innovative digital security financial tools based on digital intelligence and digital capital. These tools offer high yields, liquidity, and over 5 times the amount of high-quality collateral compared to traditional credit instruments, showcasing a significant competitive advantage. It was mentioned in the discussion that even the worst-performing products have a 5x collateral ratio, while the best products can reach up to 9 times, which is extremely rare in traditional credit portfolios.
Competitive Advantage Analysis: Market positioning with high returns, zero fees, and flexible terms.
In the competition with ETFs, we stand out with high yields of 7%-12%, while not charging any fees and providing higher liquidity. We also offer products with different terms to meet diverse needs, showcasing the huge opportunities in the mid-market.
Explanation of Digital Capital Transformation and Bitcoin Doubling Investment Strategy
The conversation discussed the role of Bitcoin Doubling (MS Tr) as an investment tool in a portfolio with different levels of liquidity and collateral. The strategy aims to provide investors who believe in the digital capital transformation with 2 to 4 times the return on Bitcoin and volatility, disrupting the traditional business model of the capital market. By comparing the performance of bonds, real estate, gold, and the S&P index, it demonstrated the significant performance of the Bitcoin Doubling strategy in the past five years, with an annual return rate of up to 101%, emphasizing its sustainability and non-accidental nature.
Leveraging and credit strategies amplify Bitcoin investment returns.
By comparing the investment returns of Bitcoin at different leverage ratios, it is explained how to amplify the rate of return on Bitcoin investments through strategies such as issuing preferred stocks. With an increase in leverage ratio, even if Bitcoin appreciates, the magnification effect on investment returns will also increase. Additionally, improvements in credit conditions and lower interest rates can further increase the magnification effect on returns. Through this strategy, investors can gain higher multiples of returns in the fluctuations of Bitcoin prices.
Optimize Bitcoin investment risk and return through intelligent leverage structure.
The dialogue delves into how to optimize the risk and return of investments by adjusting capital structure and utilizing smart leverage under the assumption of zero growth or different growth percentages of Bitcoin. The discussion covers the possibility of theoretically converting Bitcoin debt into equity, as well as how to increase leverage ratios by issuing more preferred equity to achieve 2 to 6 times the performance of Bitcoin under different market outlooks and volatility. Furthermore, the dialogue also addresses how to adjust capital structure to maintain the stability of investments and maximize returns in response to changes in Bitcoin volatility.
Capital Plan and Bitcoin Strategy of MicroStrategy, Inc.
MicroStrategy Incorporated (Msgr) plans to attract the largest capital base in the world, including equity investments and debt markets, by converting Bitcoin into strategic securities, providing high returns and profits. In the company's capital structure, the proportion of convertible bonds is small, while preferred securities are targeted at a market worth $90 trillion. It is expected that over the next three years, the company will gradually convert convertible bonds into equity and ultimately build a Bitcoin-backed, tiered capital structure that includes multiple levels of preferred securities, aiming to become the world's largest treasury company. Bitcoin will remain unrestricted, and the company's total capital is expected to reach $112 billion.
Achieving capital structure optimization through bitcoin and priority market strategies
The conversation discussed the strategy of optimizing the company's capital structure through holding Bitcoin and utilizing the priority market. The company currently ranks fifth in terms of Bitcoin holdings and is expected to surpass many well-known companies in the future, possibly becoming the largest enterprise in the world in terms of capital base. This goal is primarily achieved through the issuance of high-yield, high-collateral short-term debt, namely preferred equity. Recent successful cases, such as Stretch's IPO, have shown market demand for this product, especially with a significant increase in interest from the retail market. Additionally, the company plans to gradually reduce overall exposure to senior convertible debt, maintain a reasonable collateral coverage ratio, become a leading issuer supporting Bitcoin credit, while ensuring the responsible and transparent implementation of the strategy.
The company is offering BTC and GAAP guidance for the first time.
The company has provided guidance for the first time on Bitcoin (BTC) and Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), based on a conservative assumption that the price of Bitcoin will reach $150,000 by the end of 2025. It is expected that by the end of 2025, the BTC yield will reach 30%, with BTC revenue of $20 billion, and GAAP operating income is projected to be $34 billion, with a net profit of $24 billion and earnings per share of $80. The company will also use equity issuance more cautiously, especially considering using credit to repurchase shares when the price of Microstrategy falls below its net asset value, in order to increase transparency and shareholder value.
Detailed explanation of MicroStrategy's equity issuance and Bitcoin acquisition strategy.
MicroStrategy plans to not issue more equity to purchase Bitcoin when the market-to-net-value (MNV) is below 2.5 times, instead using the funds to pay debt interest, convertible notes, or fund preferred stock dividends. When MN reaches 2.5 to 4 times, the company will issue equity at the right time to acquire Bitcoin, with an expected price between $600 and $1000. When MN exceeds 4 times, meaning the stock price exceeds $1000, the company will more actively issue equity to purchase Bitcoin, ensuring that the equity value does not fall below $1000.
Detailed explanation on Stretch credit guidance and interest rate structure.
At the end of each month, a recommendation for adjusting the interest rate structure for the following month will be made based on the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) of Stretch for five days. Specific guidance includes: if VWAP is below $95, a suggestion to increase the interest rate by 50 basis points or more; if VWAP is between $95 and $99, a recommendation to increase by 25 basis points; if VWAP is within the target price range of $99 to $101, no changes will be made unless there is a change in the federal funds rate; if VWAP is above $101, consideration will be given to lowering interest rates or issuing future discounts. This is aimed at increasing transparency and reducing uncertainty in interest rate decisions.
In-depth analysis of a company's financial performance and market valuation.
A company's GAAP operating revenue target guidance is set at $34 billion, making it the ninth largest operating revenue company in the United States, surpassing well-known companies such as Walmart, AT&T, and Pfizer. However, it is ranked 96th in terms of market capitalization. Despite being ranked 13th in net income in the S&P 500, its price-to-earnings ratio is only 4.7 times, making it possibly one of the most misunderstood and undervalued stocks in the U.S. and even globally. Compared to financial services companies, its projected net income ranking for 2025 is fourth, but its market capitalization ranking is much lower than its net income ranking, indicating the potential undervaluation of its market value.
Analysis of Bitcoin Holdings Company Valuation and Market Performance
The conversation delved into a Bitcoin custody company's leading position in the market, demonstrating superior performance compared to competitors through indicators such as BTC/USD revenue. At the same time, it discussed how to reasonably value such companies based on factors such as Bitcoin revenue growth, company size, liquidity, capital management, product innovation, capital structure, management team execution, and investor relations. While the company believes it is currently misunderstood and undervalued by the market, it is hopeful that by increasing transparency and investor relations activities, it can achieve a more accurate market valuation.
Comparison analysis of company valuation and market potential with S&P 500 companies.
The company's current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is 4.7 times, far below the average of 24 times for S&P 500 companies, and its potential market is much larger than that of Bitcoin and traditional markets. If the company were to use the same valuation model as the top-performing companies, it could be severely undervalued, with its valuation potentially between 40 billion and nearly 100 billion US dollars. In addition, the company further enhances its market potential and investment value through strategies such as intelligent leverage, options advantages, passive fund inflows, and institutional access, advantages that Bitcoin and Bitcoin ETFs do not possess.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin strategy and long-term value creation.
MicroStrategy emphasizes its focus on long-term holding and secure storage of Bitcoin (BTC), refusing to diversify into other cryptocurrencies, while prioritizing long-term value creation and respect, consistency, and transparency for all investors. The company continues to acquire Bitcoin through intelligent leverage mechanisms to achieve positive Bitcoin yields, and leverages innovative fixed income securities to support global adoption of Bitcoin, while maintaining a healthy balance sheet. MicroStrategy is also committed to innovating traditional capital and priority markets through digital transformation and capital tools generated by artificial intelligence.
Exploring the impact of concentrated Bitcoin holdings on corporate strategies and global adoption.
In this discussion, the main issue raised is whether a single company holding a large amount of Bitcoin will hinder the global adoption of Bitcoin as a store of value and for its other functions as a currency (such as a medium of exchange and unit of value). The discussion also touches on when this situation may come to fruition, and whether it is a question worth considering, leading to a deep exploration of the long-term strategies for companies.
The institution's adoption and outlook on the value growth of Bitcoin.
The conversation explored the phenomenon of Bitcoin adoption by accelerating institutions, especially how big institutions like BlackRock are guiding new forms of capital into the Bitcoin ecosystem, thereby increasing the value of Bitcoin. The discussants believe that as the percentage of Bitcoin in the total system increases, its value will grow exponentially, with the price of Bitcoin expected to reach millions or even tens of millions of dollars when it reaches a certain proportion. At the same time, this centralized adoption will also promote the decentralization of Bitcoin, igniting innovative activities in other parts of the world.
Widespread adoption of the Bitcoin treasury model in public companies and its potential risks.
The conversation discussed the application of promoting the Bitcoin treasury model in public companies, as well as the potential for success and risks that this strategy may bring, including the impact on capital acquisition and preventing potential malicious actors.
Impact of Bitcoin Vault Company on the digital transformation of the financial market and the competitive cooperation situation
The conversation discussed the impact of more companies holding Bitcoin as a reserve asset on the financial market, emphasizing that this practice can enhance market understanding of Bitcoin and its valuation, thereby driving up the price of Bitcoin. In addition, it also pointed out the cooperation and competition relationships of these Bitcoin treasury companies in different global markets, as well as how they collectively promote the digital transformation of credit assets, counteracting traditional 20th-century credit tools, ultimately forming a global credit ecosystem based on the Bitcoin standard.
Discussion on the impact of 2022 beer market strategy and Bitcoin bear market on capital structure.
The discussion focuses on the successful experiences of the beer market strategy in 2022, and further explores how to deal with the adverse effects that the Bitcoin bear market may bring to the capital market when designing capital structure and leverage ratios, especially considering the restrictions on capital issuance and the pressure of asset-backed products.
Bitcoin and bank capital structure and risk management
The conversation delved into the application of Bitcoin in the capital structure of banks, particularly as a replacement for $500 billion in debt or equity, and how to increase the resilience of capital structure through the structure of preferred shares. In addition, the discussion touched on the impact of extreme price fluctuations of Bitcoin on bank liabilities and dividend payments, as well as comparisons with traditional bank leverage ratios, highlighting the risks and advantages that Bitcoin may bring to the capital structure. Finally, it was mentioned that bank credit ratings may change due to accepting Bitcoin as high-quality collateral.
Analysis of the advantages of Bitcoin volatility and credit models.
The discussion focuses on the importance of the volatility of Bitcoin on its equity impact, and how to adjust credit models to adapt to the fluctuations in Bitcoin prices. When the price of Bitcoin stabilizes, increasing leverage can enhance returns, thereby providing more attractive returns in competition with traditional banking. The key lies in educating the traditional financial market to understand the superiority of the credit model supported by Bitcoin, which is far more important than short-term price fluctuations.
The Trump administration's positive changes in regulating Bitcoin and future improvement directions.
The Trump administration has made positive changes in the regulation of Bitcoin. Experts recommend that the next step should be to clarify the classification of digital assets, including when assets can be converted into security tokens, digital commodities, and issuer-less assets, to reduce confusion in the market. In addition, the discussion focused on the time and cost gap between ideal and reality, emphasizing the need to address uncertainty issues in order to realize the industry's potential.
Company innovation financial products: Market feedback and future plans for perpetual preferred stocks and Bitcoin national bonds.
This year, the company successfully launched its first perpetual preferred stock, which received a warm market response, demonstrating continued growth demand from institutions to retail and high-net-worth individuals. Recently, the company's Bitcoin bonds were also listed on Nasdaq, considered one of the most innovative products in the market, indicating further increase in retail and institutional demand in the future. In addition to continuing to deepen its presence in the existing preferred stock market, the company also plans to expand its existing structure to international markets, while building a yield curve for Bitcoin bonds covering products of various maturities to provide the market with more innovative financial instruments and investment opportunities.
Bitcoin Strategy and Education Challenges: The Game of Company Growth and Market Perception
The discussion is focused on a company's strategy of achieving growth by leveraging the difference between Bitcoin's annualized return rate and market expectations. This strategy has propelled the company to outperform Nvidia in terms of performance and has garnered wide attention in the market. However, the biggest challenge faced by the company is educating institutional investors to understand the peculiarities of the Bitcoin market and the effectiveness of the company's strategy, especially when Bitcoin prices fluctuate, leading to potential misunderstandings and concerns in the market. The company is taking measures to address this educational burden in order to overcome common cognitive barriers in the Bitcoin sector.
Driving the development of the preferred stock market supported by Bitcoin through education and innovation.
The discussion in the dialogue focused on the importance and challenges of educating investors and bankers on the importance of preferred stocks in supporting Bitcoin since the beginning of this year. By utilizing innovative marketing strategies such as digital content dissemination and participating in investment conferences, the team is committed to increasing people's understanding and acceptance of this new financial product. Furthermore, the discussion also touched on how to develop and package products tailored to different investor groups, and enhance market trust through open-source code and credit models. Ultimately, by providing high returns and educational outreach, the goal is to attract a broader range of investors and drive rapid growth in this field.
Exploration of Bitcoin trust mechanism and proof of reserve strategy
The discussion focused on the advantages of Bitcoin as a trustless system, as well as the role of proof of reserve strategies in enhancing investor trust and capital strategy development. Some have suggested that incorporating proof of reserve as part of Bitcoin asset management strategy can increase investor trust.
Discuss handling large-scale digital currency transfers while ensuring security and audit transparency.
The conversation revolved around how to transparently handle large-scale digital currency transfers without causing significant market fluctuations and ensuring security. The discussion mentioned a specific case where the transfer of 80,000 Bitcoins caused a huge market fluctuation, emphasizing the importance of trust audits, management, board of directors, and procedures. At the same time, the speakers expressed their willingness to explore more transparent solutions after resolving operational security issues.
The US-listed companies behind Bitcoin: Balancing transparency and innovation.
The discussion focuses on a US-listed company that offers Bitcoin-related services and products through smart leverage and high-quality dividends, while emphasizing its transparency and internal control system as a long-term operating company. While facing demands for proof of Bitcoin reserves, the company is seeking ways to increase transparency without adding excessive costs or security risks. In addition, the company emphasizes its stability and reliability through quarterly and annual audits, with internal and external data reviews conducted by two major international auditing firms.
Bitcoin and Strategic Transformation: The Impact of Leverage Ratio and Volatility
The discussion focused on how the strategy team should adjust their thinking on future leverage ratios, especially with Bitcoin and market volatility at multi-year lows. This includes potentially increasing leverage from the traditional range of 20% to 30% to a higher range of 30% to 50%, depending on the shift from bonds to preferred stocks. Additionally, the impact of Bitcoin volatility on strategies was discussed, as well as the company's plans to increase equity market volatility and performance through stock market operations and credit strategy transformations.
Explore the market potential and risks of new financial products.
In the conversation, a new type of financial product, likened to an 'iPhone moment', was mentioned. This product aims to provide higher returns than a bank account while maintaining lower volatility. The discussants analyzed the advantages and challenges of this product compared to traditional financial instruments such as convertible bonds, emphasizing its potential market demand and unlimited sales potential. They also mentioned the impact of Bitcoin price volatility and institutional investor acceptance on the success of the product.
Discussion on Bitcoin Business Strategy and Application Prospects: Analyst Q&A and Closing Remarks.
At the two-hour online seminar, analysts and viewers discussed in depth the application and prospects of Bitcoin in enterprise software strategies. The organizers thanked Bitcoin Magazine and the Bitcoin Enterprise Alliance for co-hosting the event, and expressed gratitude to the thousands of real-time viewers who watched and participated in the discussion. The conference ended with a positive outlook for the future, hoping to meet again soon to explore the potential of Bitcoin in enterprise strategies.
要点回答
Q:What are the key highlights from Q2 and year to date?
A:The key highlights from Q2 and year to date include the company's Bitcoin holdings of 628791 coins, accounting for 3% of all Bitcoin ever to be in existence, and positioning the company as the most dominant player in the Bitcoin Treasury company space. The market cap of the company has equips it over $112 billion, making it the 96 largest public company in the US. The company has launched four listed preferred equity offerings and raised $18.3 billion in capital year to date.
Q:What transformational event occurred in Q2 and what factors drove it?
A:Q2 was transformational for the company, driven by the substantial appreciation in the Bitcoin price between the end of Q1 and Q2, in conjunction with the adoption of FASB's fair value accounting rule. This resulted in a record $14 billion in GA operating income and $10 billion in net income, with a fully diluted EPS of $32.60 per share for the quarter, the highest in the company history.
Q:What is Bitcoin per share (BPS) and how has it performed?
A:Bitcoin per share (BPS) is a metric that measures the accretion of Bitcoin on a per-share basis by calculating the ratio between the company's one-in holdings and the assumed diluted shares outstanding. The company's BPS performance shows how the Bitcoin Treasury model is consistently accumulating more Bitcoin per share, with a massive increase in bittain per share of 67730 in 2023, up from 26752 in 2021. As of July 31, the year to date bitcoin per share is 39716, close to 1660% of the achievement in the previous year.
Q:What are the company's BTC yield and BTC dollar gain achievements?
A:The company has achieved a BTC yield of 25% year to date, meeting its initial full year target in the first seven months of the year. The BTC gain year to date is 111894 Bitcoin, fueled by strong performance in Q1 and Q2, as well as through disciplined activation of common stock. In terms of BTC dollar gain, the company's Treasury operations have generated $13.2 billion so far this year, closing in on the initial $15 million full year target.
Q:What is the composition and value of the company's digital assets?
A:The company's digital assets consist of over $74 billion of Bitcoin purchased at a cost of $46 billion, or just over $73000 per Bitcoin. The total stockholders' equity stands at $47.5 billion after the adoption of FASB Fair Value Accounting Standard on January 1, with a deferred tax liability of $5.9 billion and current long-term debt. The fair value of the company's total digital assets grew to over $64 billion as of June 30.
Q:How is the company's balance sheet positioned with respect to Bitcoin and capital raised?
A:Since August 2020, the company has added Bitcoin to its balance sheet in every single quarter, with 100% of Bitcoin remaining fully unencumbered. The company's balance sheet is positioned robustly with Bitcoin holdings adding value. The company has raised a significant amount of capital efficiently and is on track to meet its full-year targets. As of the end of July, the cumulative Bitcoin per share is 198543, with a positive growth around BTC yield contributing to this performance.
Q:What are the company's financial obligations and access to liquidity?
A:The company's total annualized interest and dividend obligations stand at $614 million, including $35 million in interest expense on converts and $459 million in dividend obligations against cumulative preferreds. The company has more than sufficient access to liquidity to manage these obligations through proven track records of capital raising activities. The current ratio of Bitcoin holdings over out-of-the-money converts is 15 times, providing a cushion to manage maturities if needed.
Q:What is the macro overview of the Bitcoin universe and recent supportive actions from the White House?
A:The macro overview of the Bitcoin universe indicates very supportive White House actions, including the establishment of the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve and having 12 cabinet members who are pro-Bitcoin. The White House released a Crypto Policy Report that expresses strong support for the crypto industry and Bitcoin, particularly in areas of taxation. The administration provided relief for certain digital asset transfers and guidance on unrealized capital gains taxes, which is positive for the entire crypto industry and Bitcoin.
Q:How has the support from Wall Street and public companies for Bitcoin evolved?
A:Wall Street has embraced Bitcoin with over 80 ETFs launched, with $170 billion of value flowing into these ETFs. Public companies are increasingly compromising on Bitcoin, with 950,000 Bitcoin acquired by 160 different listed companies, indicating an extraordinary move towards Bitcoin as a Treasury reserve asset. The adoption is in a phase of rapid growth, with a rising trend in the number of companies acquiring Bitcoin.
Q:What is the average end of the year price forecast for Bitcoin according to equity analysts?
A:According to the consensus of the analyst community that tracks the company's stock, the average end of the year price forecast for Bitcoin is 168,000.
Q:What are the reasons technology investors are turning their focus towards Bitcoin?
A:Technology investors are focusing on Bitcoin because it is considered the next great investment opportunity, lumped as a transformative technology in the face of digital disruption, drawing significant investor interest.
Q:How are financial regulators impacting the Bitcoin market?
A:Financial regulators are embracing Bitcoin with positive announcements and easing of regulations. For instance, the SEC has allowed the creation and redemption of Bitcoin ETFs and loosened options trading restrictions, which are expected to accelerate the development of the industry.
Q:What is the significance of Paul Atkes' comments on the digital assets industry?
A:Paul Atkes' speech signified a supportive stance towards innovation, the crypto economy, and individual custody rights in the digital assets industry, representing a welcome development from the SEC.
Q:What legislative developments are influencing the institutional adoption of Bitcoin?
A:Legislative developments like the passage of the Genius Act, the pending Clarity Act, and the Bitcoin Act, which allows the government to acquire up to one million Bitcoin, are creating momentum for institutional adoption of Bitcoin as collateral in the banking industry.
Q:How are international governments reacting to Bitcoin?
A:International governments are showing enthusiasm towards Bitcoin with various politicians in countries like Ireland, the UK, Pakistan, UAE, and Ukraine making pro-Bitcoin moves, demonstrating a global trend of support.
Q:How is the crypto industry's perception of Bitcoin evolved?
A:The crypto industry has coalesced around Bitcoin, viewing it as the foundation of the entire crypto economy. Previously there were conflicts between the crypto and Bitcoin industries, but now they have united, reinforcing Bitcoin's role in driving growth for the entire industry.
Q:What is the company's strategic position in the crypto and traditional finance economies?
A:The company's strategy is to operate between the crypto economy and traditional finance, refining and providing low-volatility financial products based on the primary asset, Bitcoin.
Q:What financial products does the company offer based on Bitcoin?
A:The company offers a range of financial products based on Bitcoin, including structured Bitcoin like convertible preferred stock (Strikes), long-duration senior credit (Strive), long-duration high-yield credit (Stride), and short-duration high-yield credit (Stretch).
Q:Who are the potential investors for the company's financial products?
A:Potential investors for the company's financial products include growth investors seeking yield and protection, income-focused investors looking for seniority and enhanced payment protection, Bitcoin investors wanting guaranteed yield and downside protection, and short-duration investors seeking higher yields than traditional money markets.
Q:What is the opportunity presented by the perpetual preferred instruments mentioned?
A:The opportunity presented is in the form of issuing perpetual preferred instruments with varying maturities ranging from one year to 10 years, based on the stretch rate, providing an alternative to the existing medium duration corporate credit with a total capital of $30 trillion.
Q:What is the significance of the higher yields offered across the duration curve?
A:The higher yields offered across the duration curve suggest that the credit quality of the instruments is strong, with the longest duration tenor receiving the highest yield, indicating stronger liquidity and creditworthiness.
Q:How do the new perpetual preferred instruments compare to typical preferred stocks in terms of liquidity?
A:The new perpetual preferred instruments are much more liquid than typical preferred stocks, with daily trading volumes in the hundreds of millions, compared to typical preferred stocks which trade in the hundreds of thousands.
Q:What innovation has been made with respect to variable monthly dividends?
A:The speaker claims to have created a truly variable monthly dividend for the perpetual preferred stock, an innovation not seen before, as all other preferred stocks either have a fixed credit spread or are fixed.
Q:How do the new digital securities compare to traditional securities in terms of yield, liquidity, and collateral?
A:The new digital securities are expected to have superior yield, superior liquidity, and superior collateral, with a range of collateralization from 5 to 9 times, which is significantly higher than the best credit portfolios.
Q:What is amplified Bitcoin and what is the aim of the speaker's company in this context?
A:Amplified Bitcoin refers to a Bitcoin-backed equity that allows investors to get leveraged exposure to Bitcoin, with returns and volatility scaled according to the leverage level. The speaker's company aims to be the 'Amazon' of digital capital markets.
Q:What is the performance record of the speaker's company in relation to Bitcoin investments?
A:The speaker's company has achieved a 101% annualized performance over five years, and is aiming to be the Amazon of capital markets, disrupting the business model related to Bitcoin investments.
Q:How does leverage affect the performance and risk of the Bitcoin Treasury company?
A:Leverage increases the potential performance and risk of the Bitcoin Treasury company. Higher leverage can amplify both the growth and the volatility of Bitcoin. As leverage increases, the performance and volatility factors increase, meaning that even a small percentage change in Bitcoin's price can lead to a more significant percentage change in the equity's value.
Q:What is the credit model used to assess the risk of these instruments?
A:The credit model used assesses the theoretical credit spread of convertible bonds and the preferreds, assuming different levels of Bitcoin return and volatility. It helps to understand the risk profile of the instruments under various potential future scenarios, indicating that even under a skeptical view, the instruments still maintain significant spread premiums and hence are considered to be underpriced by the market.
Q:How does leverage affect Bitcoin performance?
A:As leverage increases, the potential for Bitcoin performance to increase also rises. With 50% leverage, Bitcoin factors could move from 4 to over 20, enabling the possibility of generating 2 to 6 times Bitcoin performance with intelligent leverage.
Q:What is the impact of capital structure adjustments on Bitcoin's investment-grade potential?
A:Adjustments to the capital structure are necessary to accommodate evolving Bitcoin volatility. For example, reducing the amount of convertible bonds can lead to a more investment-grade capital structure with instruments like 'Stride' and 'Stretcher' achieving investment grade equivalents over time.
Q:What are the components of the capital plan presented?
A:The components of the capital plan include guidance for 2025, comparison to MicroStrategy (Msgr), future valuation of Msgr, and strategies for the capital structure and preferred markets.
Q:What is the goal of the capital plan mentioned in the speech?
A:The goal of the capital plan is to wrap Bitcoin in strategy securities, bring it to the largest possible capital base, including those interested in equations and debt, with the objective of achieving premium returns and yields.
Q:How does the speaker describe the addressable markets for converts and preferreds?
A:Converts represent a relatively small addressable market of $500 billion, whereas preferreds represent markets of 90 trillion, 40 trillion to trillion, and 30 trillion. The plan is to reduce the overall exposure to senior convertible debt over time.
Q:What are the BTC ratings and investment grades for Stride and Stretcher?
A:Stride is rated as decent grade mezzanine, Stretcher is rated as investment grade equivalents, Stride has a BTC rating of 6x plus (mezzanine equivalent), and Stretcher has a BTC rating of 3x plus (high yield equivalent).
Q:What is the company's objective concerning its Bitcoin holdings?
A:The objective is to have unencumbered Bitcoin, which currently stands at $74 billion, and to be the largest treasury company in the world, not just the largest Bitcoin treasury company.
Q:How has the company been able to add capital to its structure?
A:The company has been able to add $22.6 billion in capital to its structure through preferred equity and four IPOs in the first seven months of the year.
Q:What are the company's plans for its convertible bonds?
A:The company plans to equitize and retire some convertible bonds in about three years and maintain reasonable collateral coverage for its preferred. The goal is to not exceed the senior convertible debt outstanding and to manage capital structure responsibly.
Q:What is the company's goal in relation to Bitcoin-backed credit?
A:The company's goal is to become the leading issuer of Bitcoin-backed credit in a responsible and clear manner.
Q:What is the company's approach to issuing BTC guidance and GAAP guidance?
A:The company is providing BTC guidance and GAAP guidance for the first time due to changes in FASB rules. The BTC guidance is based on a price assumption of $150,000 by the end of 2025, which drives the BTC and GAAP guidance.
Q:What is the company's guidance for end of year 2025 in terms of BTC yield and dollar gain?
A:The guidance for the end of year 2025 is a 30% BTC yield and a $20 billion BTC dollar gain, starting from a 25% BTC yield and $13.2 billion in BTC dollar gain as of the end of the first seven months of the year.
Q:What factors contribute to the company's conservative approach to its BTC targets?
A:The company has conservative BTC targets because it has more than doubled its initial targets seven months into the year, starting with a BTC yield percentage target of 15% and a BTC dollar gain target of $10 billion.
Q:How does the company plan to manage its equity and preferred issuance?
A:The company plans to manage its equity and preferred issuance by being disciplined about Microstrategy ATM usage, issuing below 1.0x Mnv to repurchase shares, issuing credit to buy back Microstrategy means trading below net asset value, and issuing equity between 2.5x and 4x MN to acquire Bitcoin and pay interest and dividends.
Q:What is the company's stretch credit guidance and how does it propose to handle it?
A:The company's stretch credit guidance includes adjusting the rate structure based on the five-day Vwap. It plans to handle Stretch by issuing guidance or proposing a rate structure at the end of each month and taking action based on the Vwap and the overnight rate changes.
Q:How does the company's market capitalization compare to other companies in the SP 500?
A:Despite having the 9th largest operating income, the company's market capitalization is number 96 in the SP 500, meaning it is smaller than 95 other companies in the index.
Q:What is the company's P/E multiple compared to the SP 500?
A:The company's P/E multiple is 4.7x, which is lower than that of the SP 500 and only five SP 500 companies have a lower P/E multiple.
Q:What are the company's rankings in terms of digital asset and stablecoin companies?
A:In terms of estimated net income for 2025, the company's $24 billion target is nearly double that of Tether and far exceeds other digital asset and stablecoin companies like Block, Coinbase, Circle, and Riot.
Q:How does the company's BTC dollar gain target compare to other Bitcoin treasury companies?
A:The company's $13 billion target for BTC dollar gain in 2025 is more than 13 times that of the number two Bitcoin treasury company, and it is far and away above other companies in the space.
Q:What performance metrics does the company rank number one in?
A:The company ranks number one in performance metrics such as annualized return, BSE return, the size of the options market, or options open interest.
Q:Why does the company believe it is still misunderstood and undervalued?
A:The company believes it is still misunderstood and undervalued due to its focus on innovative technology and capital assets, as well as the lack of understanding of Bitcoin treasury companies.
Q:How could the company's valuation change if it were better understood?
A:If the company and Bitcoin treasury companies were better understood, traditional valuation models would likely value the company much higher, potentially reaching $600 billion to $960 billion or more.
Q:What are the company's strategies for utilizing preferred equity, options markets, and passive flows?
A:The company's strategies include utilizing intelligent leverage through preferred equity, creating an options market due to the volatility of its equity and the leverage created through convertible bonds and preferred notes, and obtaining passive flows through inclusion in major indexes like the Nasdaq 100 and MSCI Russell 1000.
Q:What is the company's approach to capitalizing on passive flows and institutional access?
A:The company aims to capture passive flows by being included in major equity and credit indexes and has institutional access to large markets that cannot invest in spot Bitcoin or Bitcoin ETPs due to regulatory constraints.
Q:What are the company's BTC principles and strategic priorities?
A:The company's BTC principles include buying and holding Bitcoin exclusively, prioritizing long-term value creation for shareholders, and treating all investors with respect, consistency, and transparency. The company's strategic priorities are to buy and hold Bitcoin, issue MSdr and utilize MSdr ATM, maintain a healthy balance sheet, and promote global adoption of Bitcoin as a Treasury reserve asset.
Q:How does the company's structure and commitment to Bitcoin differ from competitors?
A:The company's structure is designed to outperform Bitcoin through intelligent leverage and continually acquire Bitcoin with the goal of achieving positive BTC yield. Unlike competitors, the company's commitment to Bitcoin includes buy and hold strategy, focus on value creation for long-term shareholders, and transparency in the ecosystem, which includes all investors.
Q:What is MN, and how is it calculated?
A:MN, or Market Value of the Company, is based on the company's enterprise value, which includes Bitcoin net asset value, outstanding debt, and outstanding preference. It is calculated by adding these values together and is a key metric for issuing equity.
Q:How does the company plan to issue innovative fixed income securities backed by Bitcoin?
A:The company plans to issue innovative fixed income securities backed by Bitcoin by leveraging AI to create new, disruptive capital instruments that address market needs and improve the current market for fixed income securities.
Q:What is the company's strategy for balance sheet management and credit ratings?
A:The company's strategy for balance sheet management and credit ratings involves maintaining a pristine balance sheet and creating new credit metrics for the Bitcoin world, with a focus on achieving a healthy and robust balance sheet and seeking a strong BTC rating.
Q:How does the company view the increasing number of Bitcoin Treasury companies in the market?
A:The company views the increasing number of Bitcoin Treasury companies as beneficial for the market, seeing them not as competitors but as peers. The company aims to work with nation-states, companies, and investors globally to advocate for better understanding and adoption of Bitcoin.
Q:What are the characteristics of the new perpetual preferred that was launched?
A:The new perpetual preferred launched early this year involved a lot of analysis and price discovery to understand the innovative instrument. Since then, there has been a track record of growing demand from institutional, retail, and high net worth individual investors.
Q:What is being done to build a Bitcoin treasury yield curve?
A:A Bitcoin treasury yield curve is being built by offering long and short duration securities with maturities in between.
Q:What steps are being taken to educate institutional investors about the new products?
A:To educate institutional investors, a two-month process involved working with investment bankers, convertible note bankers, and preferred bankers. Additionally, the company engages in public speaking and utilizes digital platforms for outreach and education.
Q:What has the company's approach been to sell its preferred stocks to various types of investors?
A:The company is selling preferred stocks not only to people who have never heard of a preferred but also to those who are new to Bitcoin and possibly afraid of it. The strategy involves packaging the product and building a distribution channel with banks while creating digital education content.
Q:What is the strategy for building a distribution channel and educating investors about the product?
A:The company is building a distribution channel with banks and creating digital education content. This includes uploading video content, running conferences, and engaging with the banking community and retail investors.
Q:What marketing strategies are being used to reach different types of investors?
A:Marketing strategies include outreach to credit rating agencies and the creation of credit models, prent would be outreach to investors at conferences, and the evolution of presentations to identify the total addressable market for different types of investors.
Q:What is the stance of the company regarding proof of reserves for its Bitcoin Treasury strategy?
A:The company is studying proof of reserves and considering it in the context of its audits, security issues, controls, and the scale of its operation. While acknowledging the importance of transparency, the company is cautious about introducing operational security risks and is exploring ways to provide transparency without compromising security.
Q:What is the strategy team's opinion on future volatility and leverage in the convertible bond era, considering Bitcoin's volatility near record lows?
A:The strategy team historically targeted a 20% to 30% leverage ratio during the convertible bond era. However, as they still hold $8.3 billion of convertible bonds, it is not appropriate to change the target range now. Over time, as they transition to a preferred credit strategy, they can take on more leverage, which will be a function of the type of credit instruments used.
Q:How does the elimination of bonds and replacement with preferred equity affect the leverage strategy?
A:Eliminating bonds from the balance sheet and replacing them with preferred equity allows for the possibility of leveraging beyond the traditional 20% to 30% range, potentially reaching 30% to 50% leverage.
Q:What factors will influence the strategy team's decisions regarding volatility and leverage in the coming years?
A:The strategy team will consider the volatility of Bitcoin and the characteristics of the credit instruments when deciding on volatility and leverage. They anticipate evolving year by year and expect to see increased performance and volatility in the stock due to changes in equity guidance and the acceleration of their credit strategy.
Q:What impact does the transition from bonds to preferred have on the company's leverage strategy and equity volatility?
A:The transition from bonds to preferred and the acceleration of their credit strategy are expected to have positive impacts on the leverage strategy and equity volatility, making the equity more volatile due to more in-and-out of the money calls and options.
Q:Why is Strive considered a revolutionary instrument, and what challenges does it present for retail investors?
A:Strive is considered a breakthrough revolutionary instrument because it offers a 5% yield plus an additional 5% spread over the bank account rate, but it is also complicated and has a long duration, making it challenging for retail investors to manage, especially when there are large fluctuations in its price.
Q:What is the potential advantage of a short-duration, Bitcoin-backed instrument over a more volatile equity investment?
A:A short-duration, Bitcoin-backed instrument, with a one month duration and a 500 basis point spread over the bank account rate, is intended to be more stable and less volatile than a typical equity investment. This type of instrument could be more appealing to consumers as it provides a steady return and is expected to trade within a certain range, offering a predictable and potentially attractive alternative to traditional high-yield bank accounts.
Q:How might the performance and volatility in the equity affect the strategy for future offerings?
A:The performance and volatility in the equity will influence the strategy for future offerings by potentially bringing more volatility into the equity, resulting in more opportunities for options trading and impacting the company's overall leverage strategy. They have plans and multiple ways to manage and potentially mitigate this volatility.
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