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微软公司 (MSFT.US) 2025财年第四季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Microsoft reported a robust fiscal year 2025 with $281 billion in revenue, up 15%, driven by cloud and AI growth. Azure revenue surged 34% to $75 billion, and Microsoft Clouds reached $168 billion. Looking ahead, the company anticipates double-digit revenue and operating income growth in FY26, fueled by continued investments in AI, security, and product innovation.
会议速览
Microsoft 2025 fiscal year fourth quarter financial report conference call.
During the earnings conference call for the fourth quarter of Microsoft's fiscal year 2025, company executives presented the performance, discussed non-GAAP financial metrics, and reminded investors to pay attention to risks and uncertainties. The conference also mentioned the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on performance, as well as how to assess the performance of the underlying business. Meanwhile, the conference emphasized that all growth comparisons are based on comparisons with the same period last year, and provided growth rates in constant currency.
Microsoft's annual performance and innovation progress in cloud computing business.
Microsoft's cloud computing business hit a new high in the past fiscal year, with annual revenue exceeding $168 billion, a 23% year-on-year increase. Among them, Azure business performed particularly well, with annual revenue surpassing $75 billion, a 34% increase, and continued to lead in the field of AI infrastructure. Microsoft has expanded its data centers globally, now owning more than 400 data centers in 70 regions, making it the world's largest cloud service provider. In addition, Microsoft has made large-scale innovation in AI products and technology stack, including the launch of Microsoft Sovereign Cloud and progress in quantum computing. Furthermore, Microsoft Fabric, as a data and analytics platform for the AI era, achieved a 55% annual growth rate, serving over 25,000 customers and becoming the company's fastest growing database product. Azure AI Foundry helps enterprises design, customize, and manage large-scale AI applications and agents, serving 80% of the Fortune 500 companies and handling over 51 trillion AI model inference requests. Microsoft's Copilot series of applications has over 100 million monthly active users, demonstrating the widespread use of AI in daily work.
Comprehensive Upgrade and Extensive Application of Microsoft 365 Copilot
Microsoft has made significant updates to its 365 Copilot this quarter, integrating chat, search, note creation, and agent functions, significantly improving work efficiency and user adoption speed. Many large enterprises, including Barclays Bank, UBS Group, Adobe, KPMG, Pfizer, and Wells Fargo, have deployed Copilot on a large scale, with some companies purchasing over 25,000 seats. In addition, Copilot has made significant progress in specific fields such as development, healthcare, and security, for example, GitHub Copilot has reached 20 million users, Dragon Copilot in the medical field has recorded 13 million doctor-patient interactions, and AI agents in the security field have automated the handling of high load tasks. Additionally, Microsoft has integrated Copilot functionality into browsers and the Windows operating system, strengthening the practicality of AI in daily applications. In terms of security, Microsoft has introduced several new features to ensure the security of AI infrastructure and agents, including data lake integration, identity access management, application security, and data protection.
Microsoft Annual Financial Summary and Outlook
In the past year, Microsoft has achieved significant growth, with total revenue reaching $281 billion, a 15% year-on-year increase, thanks to its wide range of products and services. Among them, the number of LinkedIn members reached 1.2 billion, with significant growth in video uploads and comments; the gaming department also performed well, with monthly active users reaching 500 million, the successful release of games such as "Forza Horizon 5" and "Oblivion Remastered", as well as the continued strength of the "Call of Duty" series, driving the growth of the gaming business. Microsoft's cloud services revenue reached $46.7 billion, a 27% year-on-year increase, demonstrating the company's strong momentum in AI infrastructure and cloud services. In addition, the company mentioned its investments and prospects in the field of AI, showing a high level of confidence in future development.
Financial performance analysis of Microsoft's various business departments
Microsoft's revenue for the productivity and business processes department was $33.1 billion, a year-on-year growth of 16% and 14% respectively, exceeding expectations, primarily driven by strong performance of M365 commercial products and cloud services, as well as M365 consumer products and cloud services. M365 commercial cloud revenue also exceeded expectations, growing by 18% and 16%, boosted by two revenue recognition adjustments. Commercial trends remained relatively stable, with ARPU growth primarily driven by E5 and M365 Copilot. M365 commercial product revenue grew by 9% and 7%, benefiting from high transaction purchases of Office 2024. Consumer cloud revenue grew by 20%, primarily driven by ARPU growth and an 8% increase in subscription users. LinkedIn revenue grew by 9%, driven by all businesses, despite a soft recruitment market impacting talent solutions. Office 365 revenue grew by 23% and 21%, with core annual sales growth driving growth across all workloads. The Intelligent Cloud division's revenue was $29.9 billion, a year-on-year growth of 26% and 25% respectively, exceeding expectations, primarily driven by strong growth in Azure and online services business, as well as Azure and other cloud services.
Detailed Analysis of Microsoft's Financial Performance and Outlook
The financial report of Microsoft shows significant growth in the areas of enterprise and partner services, personal computing, including strong performance in various business units such as enterprise support services, Windows, and Xbox content services. Although some areas, such as industry solutions and Windows OEM revenue, have seen a decline, overall growth momentum is good. In addition, the report also mentions the impact of the expansion of cloud computing and artificial intelligence infrastructure on the company's financial data, as well as outlook for future fiscal years, including expectations for capital expenditure, operating costs, and revenue growth.
Excellent performance of the company and discussion on future platform development strategy.
In this conversation, the focus is on the company's recent outstanding performance and the outlook for future platform development strategies. The speaker expressed satisfaction with the company's performance and emphasized the importance of product and platform development, as well as mentioning long-term development plans and optimism for the future.
Software companies explore strategies to achieve profitability through AI technology.
The conversation discussed how software companies can effectively profit from artificial intelligence technology, especially in terms of the differences in AI applications for different types of software (such as generic software and industry-specific software) and long-term profit margin considerations.
Integration and Commercialization Strategy of Cloud Computing and Artificial Intelligence Technologies
The conversation delved deep into the transformation from servers to cloud computing, and how this transformation has lowered the barriers to use, promoting efficient utilization of computing resources and intelligent development. Further discussions were had on the changes in infrastructure, data layers, application servers, particularly in the introduction of artificial intelligence and autonomous agents, such as the example of GitHub Copilot, demonstrating how AI technology can be embedded into software development and enterprise applications, leading to business model innovation and potential commercial opportunities.
Analysis of Azure cloud service migration and growth drivers.
The conversation discussed the recent growth of Azure cloud services, especially the accelerated migration activities of enterprises from on-premises deployment to Azure. Several key factors were mentioned, including enterprises like Nestle migrating SAP instances to Azure, the expansion of cloud-native applications, and the increasing demand for AI workflows, all of which are driving Azure's growth. At the same time, it was pointed out that this migration trend may still be in the mid-term stage and is sustainable.
The rapid development and increasing complexity of AI application platforms.
In the discussion, the rapid progress of AI applications and platforms at the current stage was emphasized, as well as how their complexity exceeds expectations. It was pointed out that the past simple API call pattern has evolved into a more complex and stateful application pattern, which requires a rethink of the application stack. Particularly in the areas of storage and index building, improving the quality of complex engineering through preprocessing demonstrates the acceleration and maturation of AI application development. Additionally, the importance and technological advancements of products such as Azure Search Fabric and Cosmos DB in building complex applications were mentioned. Overall, this discussion reflects the rapid development of AI application and platform technologies, along with the associated technological challenges and learning curves.
Exploring the importance of Copilot technology in AI and data applications.
The conversation discussed Copilot as the starting point of AI technology, and how to understand the central role of data in AI applications during customer interactions. It further explored the evolution from Copilot to data-driven agents, emphasizing the importance of UI in guiding and monitoring asynchronous work. Even when dealing with asynchronous tasks, operations and monitoring still need to be done through the user interface. In addition, it mentioned the widespread application of GitHub Copilot in code reviews, demonstrating how Copilot technology goes beyond simple request-response patterns and extends to more complex application scenarios.
Discussion on Microsoft's capital expenditure and growth in cloud services.
In the discussion, Microsoft emphasized the close relationship between its capital expenditures (CapEx) and the growth of cloud services, especially Azure cloud services. Microsoft noted that although capital expenditures have accelerated in the short term, this is closely related to the company's large contract backlog ($368 billion), indicating a positive expectation for cloud service demand. In addition, Microsoft also mentioned the increase in infrastructure demands due to AI technology, as well as the focus on continued investment to meet the growing market demands, rather than overly focusing on the intersection of capital expenditures and revenue growth, emphasizing the importance of market share and business growth.
Strategy to improve hardware performance through software optimization
The discussion focused on how to optimize hardware performance through software skills, as well as the application of this optimization in the past cloud transformation and future faster transformation strategies. It mentioned maximizing efficiency through parallel processing rather than serial processing, and emphasized the key role of software in improving hardware performance.
Microsoft discusses the role of AI technology in improving operational efficiency and product innovation.
During Microsoft's earnings conference call, the company discussed the application of AI technology in internal operations, as well as how to respond to market changes by enhancing product competitiveness and innovation. It emphasized the importance of delivering excellent products, increasing revenue, and continuing to invest efficiently to maintain and increase operating profit margins. At the same time, it pointed out that excellent talent and focusing on major market opportunities are crucial to achieving these goals.
要点回答
Q:What are the key financial results for Microsoft's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025?
A:Microsoft Clouds surpassed $168 billion in annual revenue, up 23%. Specifically for the fourth quarter, the company saw strong growth across its products and services.
Q:How has Microsoft's cloud business performed in terms of revenue and growth?
A:Microsoft Cloud, including Azure, surpassed $75 billion in annual revenue, with a growth rate of 34%. Growth was driven by all workloads and was supported by new data centers across six continents, resulting in over 400 data centers in 70 regions.
Q:What are some of the key data center and AI innovations by Microsoft?
A:Microsoft has opened new data centers across six continents, supports liquid cooling in all regions, and has scaled its data center capacity faster than any other competitor. Additionally, the company introduced the Microsoft Sovereign Cloud, which is the industry's most comprehensive solution for data residency and sovereignty requirements.
Q:How did migrations contribute to Microsoft's cloud success?
A:Migrations contributed to the cloud success with Nestle migrating more than 200 SAP instances, 10,000 servers, and 1.2 TB of data to Azure with near 0 business disruption. This was one of the largest and most successful migrations in business history.
Q:What is the significance of Microsoft Fabric in the context of data and AI?
A:Microsoft Fabric is becoming the complete data and analytics platform for the AI era, spanning from SQL to NoSQL to analytics workloads. With year-over-year revenue growth of 55% and over 25,000 customers, it is the fastest-growing database product in Microsoft's history and is integral for AI applications and context engineering.
Q:How has Azure AI Foundry impacted AI development and usage?
A:Azure AI Foundry has been instrumental in helping customers design, customize, and manage AI applications and agents at scale. It features best-in-class tools, management, observability, and built-in controls for trustworthy AI. With Foundry, customers can provision inferencing throughput across more models than any other hyperscaler, and it supports state-of-the-art models from OpenAI and others. It has seen rapid adoption, with over 80% of Fortune 500 companies using it, and processed over 5,100 trillion tokens through its APIs, indicating widespread platform diffusion.
Q:Which organizations have successfully implemented Microsoft 365 Copilot, and how many employees are being rollout to?
A:Barclays plans to roll out Microsoft 365 Copilot to 100,000 employees globally following a successful initial deployment of 15,000. UBS is expanding its deployment to all employees after an initial rollout to 55,000, and other companies like Adobe, KPMG, Pfizer, and S&P all purchased over 25,000 seats this quarter.
Q:How are group level agents and facilitator agents in Microsoft 365 Copilot being utilized?
A:Group level agents and facilitator agents in Microsoft 365 Copilot are generating real-time translation notes in meetings. These AI agents help with organizational tasks and integrate with third-party agents built by partners like Adobe, SAP, ServiceNow, and WorkDay, as well as with Copilot Studio used by customers to extend Copilot and build their own agents.
Q:What are the key developments in Microsoft 365 Copilot for developers?
A:Copilot has experienced great momentum in the IDE with agent mode and new form factors like Coding Copilot, which can synchronously execute developer tasks. GitHub Copilot users increased 75% quarter over quarter as companies tailor Copilot to their code bases, and the use of AI in GitHub projects more than doubled over the last year.
Q:What are the significant accomplishments of Microsoft 365 Copilot in healthcare and security?
A:In healthcare, customers documented over 13 million physician-patient encounters with Dragon Copilot, up nearly 7x year over year, with Mercy Health System seeing significant administrative burden reduction and planning to expand to all five providers. In security, Microsoft was the first in the industry to introduce autonomous agents to handle high volume security and IT tasks, with Dynamics 365 gaining share and winning customers across industries.
Q:How is Microsoft Copilot enhancing consumer applications and Windows PCs?
A:Microsoft Copilot is being integrated into consumer apps like Edge, bringing together Copilot, composer, chat, discover, search, and actions for the AI age. It continues to see strong engagement growth and will be available on every Windows PC with Copilot vision allowing real-time insights and assistance on the screen.
Q:What security measures and AI capabilities has Microsoft introduced to protect its services and customers?
A:Microsoft has launched over 100 new capabilities, including a modern data lake in Microsoft Sentinel, with over 350 connectors. The company extended identity permissions, policies, and access controls to agents, with Defender securing nearly 2 million AI apps, and Purview used by three quarters of Microsoft 365 Copilot customers for data protection. There are nearly 1.5 million security customers, and Microsoft continues to take share across major categories.
Q:What achievements have been made in the LinkedIn and Xbox consumer businesses?
A:LinkedIn has 1.2 billion members with four consecutive years of double-digit growth, and Xbox has 500 million monthly active users across platforms. LinkedIn introduced agents in hiring and sales, and Xbox had successful game launches and franchise strength, with Call of Duty seeing significant engagement.
Q:What was the financial performance of Microsoft in the recent quarter and year?
A:Microsoft delivered over $281 billion in revenue, up 15% year over year, with operating income over $128 billion, up 17% year over year. The company significantly exceeded expectations with strong execution across core annuity sales motions and substantial growth in Azure and Microsoft 365 bookings.
Q:What is the impact of Azure on overall company revenue and margins?
A:The gross margin percentage was 69%, which is down one point year over year, primarily driven by a sales mix shift to Azure and the lower Microsoft Cloud gross margin mentioned earlier. Operating expenses increased 6% and 5% in constant currency, while operating margins increased two points year over year to 45%, driven by revenue growth and a focus on operating efficiencies.
Q:How did headcount change at the end of June compared to the previous year?
A:Headcount at the end of June was relatively unchanged year over year.
Q:What are the results for the productivity and business processes segment?
A:Revenue from productivity and business processes was $33.1 billion and grew 16% and 14% in constant currency, better than expected, primarily driven by Microsoft 365 commercial products and cloud services and Microsoft 365 consumer products and cloud services.
Q:What are the drivers of revenue growth in the intelligent cloud segment?
A:Intelligent cloud segment revenue was $29.9 billion and grew 26% and 25% in constant currency, ahead of expectations, primarily driven by Azure and the on-premises server business. In Azure and other cloud services, revenue grew 39% significantly ahead of expectations, primarily from accelerated growth in the core infrastructure business, especially from the largest customers.
Q:What is the general impact of foreign currency assumptions on revenue growth in the upcoming fiscal year and quarter?
A:For the upcoming fiscal year (FY 26), assuming current rates remain stable, foreign currency is expected to increase full year revenue growth by approximately two points and operating expense growth by one point. For the first quarter, FX is expected to increase total revenue growth by two points, with three points in productivity and business processes and one point in intelligent cloud. The guidance also includes expectations for capital expenditures, revenue and operating expense growth, and the effective tax rate.
Q:What are the expected revenue figures for the M365 commercial cloud?
A:The expected revenue growth for the M365 commercial cloud is between 13 and 14% in constant currency.
Q:What is the expected revenue growth for intelligent cloud and how much is the forecasted revenue?
A:The expected revenue growth for intelligent cloud is 25 to 26 percent, with a forecasted revenue of $30.1 to $30.4 billion.
Q:What is the projected revenue decline for gaming?
A:Gaming revenue is expected to decline in the mid to high single digits against a strong prior year comparable.
Q:What is the expected effective tax rate for the quarter?
A:The expected effective tax rate for the quarter is between 19 and 20%.
Q:What does the speaker indicate about the build-up of Tier II applications?
A:The speaker indicates that there is a broad diffusion of workloads which shapes the platform and leads to the build-up of Tier II applications, which is beneficial for both product and platform evolution.
Q:What are the characteristics of autonomous agents in SaaS apps and how is GitHub Copilot evolving?
A:Autonomous agents in SaaS apps are like applications that run inside user interaction. GitHub Copilot started as a code completion feature in an IDE, then added a chat interface and later agent mode to become an autonomous agent that works asynchronously. It is an example of a tool that is enhancing its capabilities through AI integration.
Q:What trends are emerging in terms of monetization for GitHub and similar platforms?
A:GitHub is exploring monetization opportunities by potentially charging for GitHub Enterprise, as well as considering different pricing models for GitHub Copilot based on usage and tiers of consumption. This is similar to how Microsoft 365 and Dynamics 365 are structured, suggesting a focus on tiered usage and flexible pricing for AI and data-intensive services.
Q:What factors are driving the migration of on-prem to Azure and how sustainable is this trend?
A:Three main factors are driving the migration from on-prem to Azure: 1) Successful migrations such as those from Nestle and SAP instances to Azure, 2) Growth of cloud-native applications that are scaling and bringing customers to Azure for AI and other needs, and 3) New AI workflows that further drive demand. These factors indicate that the migration trend is substantial and possibly in the middle innings of a significant shift.
Q:What emerging patterns in AI applications surprised the company?
A:The company was not surprised by any specific outcome but observed the maturing of AI applications, leading to stateful app patterns that require rethinking of the application stack, including the storage tier. This indicates a shift in the sophistication and complexity of AI integration within applications.
Q:How does the company view the importance of data in addition to AI, and what are the customer discussions regarding this?
A:The company recognizes that while AI is important, data is becoming increasingly significant. There is a transition from viewing Copilot as just an AI tool to understanding it as the starting point for leveraging data within broader applications. This is evidenced by customer discussions about the expanding use of AI agents and the ongoing importance of UI for asynchronous work and monitoring. The need for a UI, even when working with AI, was highlighted as essential for instructing and inspecting asynchronous tasks.
Q:What is the relationship between the growth in Azure and CapEx mentioned by the speaker?
A:The growth in Azure is correlated with the $368 billion of contracted backlog that needs to be delivered across the breadth of the Microsoft Cloud. The speaker asserts that executing at the best of their capacity to meet this demand is critical for a good return on investment.
Q:Why does the speaker believe focusing on specific dates for financial pivots is not their focus?
A:The speaker believes focusing on specific dates for financial pivots is not their focus because it can lead to being too conservative in terms of market share gain and winning. Instead, they emphasize the importance of building backlog, focusing on products, and delivering capacity.
Q:What is the difference between a 'holder' and a 'hyper' in the context of the speaker's statement?
A:The speaker suggests that the difference between a 'holder' and a 'hyper' is software. They believe that GCPs and similar platforms will be driven by software optimizations that improve hardware performance. This software focus is where the yield will come from.
Q:What strategies are in place to offset the mix shift towards Azure and AI-focused offerings?
A:To offset the mix shift towards Azure and AI-focused offerings, the company plans to focus on delivering great, competitive, and innovative products. This approach is expected to drive revenue growth, which in turn leads to margin improvement. Additionally, the company will apply its skill set to deliver efficiencies across the stack and continue investing while maintaining a focus on great talent and products with the highest likelihood of success. These strategies are aimed at ensuring margin delivery and are centered around product focus.
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