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名创优品(09896.HK,MNSO.US)2025年第一季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
In the first quarter of 2023, Miniso exceeded expectations with total revenue reaching 4.43 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 19%. The mainland China and overseas markets grew by 9% and 30% respectively. The company improved domestic store performance significantly by optimizing operational quality, strengthening department collaboration, deepening IP strategies and interest-driven consumption, as well as focusing on channel upgrades and growth in large stores. In the overseas market, Miniso adopted a diversified strategy, especially in the North American market, by implementing a centralized store opening strategy, optimizing logistics distribution and inventory management to improve store operational quality and control cost rates. In terms of finances, the gross profit margin in the first quarter increased to 44.2% year-on-year, and the adjusted operating profit margin was 16.6%. In the future, Miniso will continue to advance refined operation strategies, strengthen IP strategic cooperation, optimize store layout and supply chain management, enhance brand influence, and implement shareholder feedback policies to balance business growth and shareholder returns.
会议速览
MINISO 2025 Q1 financial report conference call summary.
In the first quarter of 2025, Miniso achieved a total revenue of 4.43 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 19%. Among them, domestic revenue increased by 9% year-on-year, and overseas revenue increased by 30%. The company emphasized the continuous optimization of operational quality in the domestic market, especially the significant improvement in performance during the May Day peak season. By breaking the vertical management model, strengthening departmental coordination, and building an integrated organizational framework, Miniso achieved faster and more flexible decision-making and actions. In the future, the company will continue to deepen fine management operations, improve the alignment of products and channel management to meet diverse consumer demands, and work together with franchisees to promote high-quality development.
Miniso: Focusing on IP strategy, product innovation, and channel upgrade.
Miniso emphasizes the importance of sticking to IP strategy and interest consumption, increasing product development investment, closely following global trends, and launching high-quality, innovative products such as the G-Card Bar Youth Series and the G-Kai Fa Cherry Blossom Season Series, which have received good market responses. At the same time, the company focuses on channel upgrades, promotes the big store strategy, significantly improves the average store performance of new stores, and pays attention to the transformation of existing stores to improve overall operational efficiency and brand market influence. By deepening IP cooperation, optimizing store layout, Miniso is committed to becoming a globally renowned brand.
Miniso's Q1 2025 Performance and Overseas Expansion Strategy
In the first quarter of 2025, Miniso achieved a continuous increase in the proportion of overseas market revenue, with a year-on-year growth of three percentage points. The company has adopted a diversified strategy, especially in the North American market, focusing on improving store operation quality and cost control. It plans to open stores in all 24 states in the United States, optimize product structure, improve inventory and logistics efficiency. At the same time, it strengthens deep cooperation with agents through flexible cooperation models and seeks new growth opportunities in Europe, Southeast Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East markets. The company has also optimized supply chain management, strengthened IP strategic cooperation, enhanced brand influence to achieve annual performance goals. Additionally, the company has committed to return value to its shareholders through dividend and repurchase policies to ensure maximization of shareholder interests.
Miniso Group's Q1 2025 Financial Review
In the first quarter of 2025, Miniso Group's total revenue reached 4.43 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 19%, exceeding expectations. Among them, Miniso brand revenue was 4.09 billion RMB, an increase of 16.5%, with overseas revenue showing a particularly significant growth of 30%. Top Toy brand revenue increased by 59% year-on-year. Domestic same-store sales experienced a slight decrease in the high base number, and the trend continued to improve. Overseas same-store sales also showed positive signs. In addition, the group made progress in strategic channel upgrades and high-quality expansion, with improvements in the average store size and store efficiency of new stores.
Financial Analysis for Q1 2025: Increase in Gross Profit Margin and Cost Control.
In the first quarter of 2025, the company's gross profit margin increased by one percentage point compared to the same period last year, reaching 44.2%, mainly due to the increase in the proportion of overseas income and effective IP strategy. Although the gross profit margin may fluctuate due to seasonal factors, the structural changes in the proportion of overseas income and IP sales have provided momentum for the increase in gross profit margin. Sales and management expenses increased by a total of 45%, with sales expenses increasing by 51% and management expenses increasing by 22%, the increase in sales expenses mainly related to the opening of direct-operated stores. The revenue contribution of direct-operated stores increased from 14% to 22%, with revenue growth exceeding the growth rate of related expenses. The company's investment in direct-operated stores aims to expand sales opportunities, especially in the important overseas market of the United States. The proportion of management expenses has decreased, demonstrating the company's effective cost control. The adjusted operating profit margin is 16.6%, a decrease of 4.2 percentage points from the same period last year, mainly due to the decrease in the proportion of high-profit franchise and agency business, and the increase in the proportion of direct-operated stores business. The group expects a medium to long-term operating profit margin target of around 20%, but short-term investment in new business will cause fluctuations in the profit margin. The increase in financial expenses mainly comes from convertible bonds, bank loan expenses for Yonghui investment, and financial expenses for leasing of direct-operated stores. Although the profit margin is under pressure in the short term, a long-term investment strategy will lay the foundation for future revenue and profit growth. The effective tax rate for the first quarter is 26.6%, with the actual operating tax rate after excluding non-operating items being 21.2%, and it is expected that the effective tax rate for daily operations in the future will remain stable.
Outlook on Capital Allocation and Financial Strategy in 2025
The company reiterated its capital allocation strategy in 2025, including the 740 million RMB dividend distribution announced in March 2023 and the dividend payment in 2024. In addition, since March 2025, the company has repurchased 260 million RMB of shares, accounting for 0.7% of the total share capital. In the future, the company will firmly implement a dynamic share repurchase policy to balance rapid business growth with the commitment to providing stable returns to shareholders. It is expected that revenue growth will accelerate in the second half of 2025, operating profit will see healthy growth, benefiting from stricter cost control. However, the improvement in operating profit margin will depend on the profitability of directly operated stores, especially overseas ones, and investments. Despite the currently low profit margins of directly operated stores, there is significant room for optimization in the medium to long term, and it is expected that the operating profit margin can return to around 20%. The financial strategy will continue to focus on prudent budgeting, cost control, and capital allocation to achieve stable and sustainable profit growth and healthy cash flow.
Interpretation of MINISO's performance and strategic planning for the first quarter of 2024.
In the first quarter of 2024, MINISO achieved a significant improvement in its domestic business, with same-store sales showing a mid-single-digit decline. However, this number has improved significantly compared to the previous quarters and is expected to achieve positive growth for the full year of 2024. The company emphasized that despite the overall poor consumption market in China, MINISO has shown a good recovery trend through enhancing business resilience and optimizing management. In addition, the company also discussed the gradual improvement in the return on investment for franchisees, as well as strategies for store adjustments and opening guidelines. For overseas markets, especially the U.S. market, MINISO is actively responding to tariff fluctuations by strengthening U.S. domestic stocking, adjusting supply chain layout, and increasing the proportion of local sourcing in order to reduce dependence on the Chinese market and improve gross profit margins. At the same time, the company also shared adjustments to its IP product strategy, including deepening cooperation with top IPs, incubating its own IPs, and balancing third-party product sales to maintain stable gross margins while meeting diverse consumer demands. Finally, regarding the integration of Yonghui Supermarket, the company stated that Yonghui's adjustment progress is in line with expectations, and is expected to achieve a significant reduction in losses by 2025.
Miniso's procurement strategy and inventory management
Discussed was the Miniso's return policy for purchased products, emphasizing the company's use of data, insights, and experience to reduce procurement risks, as well as managing inventory through rhythmic and phased procurement to demonstrate the ability of its over four thousand stores to absorb inventory.
Miniso Group's Performance Discussion on China Store Growth Strategy
At the performance meeting, Miniso Group discussed its store growth strategy in China, emphasizing the importance of channel upgrades and the recovery of same-store sales, rather than simply pursuing an increase in the number of stores. The group stated that although the original target for new store openings for the year was 200 to 300, this target would be dynamically adjusted according to market conditions. Even if the number of openings does not meet expectations, domestic business is still expected to achieve a double-digit growth. In addition, the meeting clarified that closing stores does not directly help same-store sales, and emphasized that whether through same-store or new store openings, the goal is to ensure revenue growth in scale and quality.
要点回答
Q:In the North American market, what strategies have you adopted to respond to market development and improve the quality of store operations?
A:In the North American market, our strategy includes focusing on opening stores in a planned manner in 24 states where 76% of the population resides in the United States, leveraging economies of scale, and reducing logistics costs and improving inventory efficiency through rapid replenishment between warehouses and stores. In addition, we have strengthened the operation of goods financing, and the product headquarters has established a special product research and development group to tilt products according to the form and positioning of American stores, creating regular best-selling products.
Q:How can companies proactively prepare to safeguard their business operations in response to changes in tariff policies?
A:We have strengthened our inventory and storage reserves in the United States, despite incurring certain upfront costs, to ensure immediate supply during periods of tariff uncertainty and fully exploit sales potential. At the same time, we have increased local procurement in the US market and procurement in other overseas regions, enhancing product competitiveness, cost competitiveness, product development competitiveness, and store competitiveness.
Q:What are the highlights of the new product carnival event and what impact does it have on the brand?
A:In April of this year, the 2025 New Product Carnival held in Guangzhou showcased over 6,000 new products. Through headquarters' AP and explosive product strategic deployment, it improved the differentiation and competitiveness of the product market. This event helped us create a more efficient and innovative store model, providing consumers with an interesting shopping experience, further deepening the brand image. We believe there is great potential in overseas markets and will continue to refine and localize operations to promote high-quality development.
Q:In which areas will the company continue to exert efforts in order to achieve the annual performance target?
A:We will continue to advance our refined operational strategy, strengthen IP strategic partnerships, promote channel upgrades, optimize store layout, enhance supply chain management and brand influence. At the same time, we will continue to implement shareholder feedback policies, including parallel risk control and repurchase, having paid out 740 million in dividends and completed a 300 million Hong Kong dollar buyback. In the future, we will continue to drive dynamic repurchases to ensure maximization of shareholder interests.
Q:How is MINISO's financial performance in Q1 2025?
A:In the first quarter of 2025, the overall revenue of Q1 Group was 44.3 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 19%. Among them, the revenue of the Miniso brand in mainland China was 24.9 billion RMB, an increase of 9% year-on-year; overseas revenue was 15.9 billion RMB, a high year-on-year increase of 30%. The revenue of the Top Toy brand in the first quarter was 3.4 billion RMB, an increase of 59% year-on-year. In terms of revenue structure, domestic revenue accounted for 56% of the group's revenue, while overseas revenue accounted for 36%, an increase of three percentage points compared to the same period in 2024. In addition, in terms of store performance, domestic Miniso stores have significantly improved, while overseas Miniso stores have maintained steady growth. In terms of store expansion, 95 new stores were opened overseas, while domestic stores are undergoing strategic channel upgrades, focusing on opening high-quality stores, closing underperforming ones, and expanding larger stores, while also achieving double-digit growth in offline revenue. The gross profit margin in the first quarter of 2025 increased by 1 percentage point to 44.2% compared to the same period last year, mainly benefiting from the increase in the proportion of overseas revenue and the effective implementation of the IP strategy. In terms of expenses, total sales and management expenses increased by 45%, with sales expenses increasing by 51% and management expenses increasing by 22%.
Q:Can you please share the main sources of improvement for the domestic Miniso stores in recent months, as well as the status of franchisees' recovery cycles? Furthermore, are there any changes regarding store adjustments and opening guidelines?
A:Domestic same-store sales experienced a mid-single-digit decline in the first quarter, showing significant improvement compared to the third and fourth quarters of last year. The internal evaluation of this is positive. It is expected that domestic same-store sales will achieve profitability for the full year 2024 and resume positive growth.
Q:Has the company formulated relevant strategic planning and focus in response to the current tariff fluctuations? Can you introduce the situation of supply chain adjustment? Can you also share the impact of Yonghui's profit loss on Miniso PNL this year, as well as Yonghui's internal reform direction and effectiveness?
A:Regarding the US business, the company is developing strategies and plans based on different tariff assumptions, and is monitoring the progress of supply chain adjustments. Specific details and outcomes will be provided in future updates. The impact of YHPL was felt in the second quarter, but it is still too early to assess the specific profit and loss impact of YHPL on MCPF. The company will continue to monitor the progress of YHPL and provide updates as appropriate. At the same time, YHPL is implementing a series of reform measures, and its direction and initial results will also be gradually announced.
Q:How is the domestic consumption data and same-store performance?
A:Domestic consumption data has not yet recovered, and macro consumption flow performance is poor. Miniso's positive growth reflects the resilience of its business. Analysis of same-store QEE breakdowns shows that the average customer unit price is the same as last year, with the decrease mainly coming from overall customer volume. Traffic compared to last year has decreased by low single digits or low double digits, but has improved in Q2. By region, same-store improvements in first and second-tier cities in East and South China are more noticeable. There is pressure in the northeastern and northwestern regions of the north, but management improvement measures have been taken and followed up regularly. Currently, same-store performance is showing a positive growth trend, and is expected to approach the level seen in Q2 by the end of June.
Q:How is the performance of franchisees and their confidence in the brand?
A:Franchisees as a whole will gradually improve their return on investment in 2025 with the improvement of same-store sales. The five Miss Land stores that opened this year and 43 flagship stores are all opened by franchisees, indicating that franchisees still have a strong emotional attachment to the Miniso brand and are optimistic about future development. At the same time, many franchisee stores are also preparing to open the IP Land flagship store, showing a high level of interest and confidence in new concepts.
Q:What is the guide and plan for opening a store domestically?
A:In the first quarter of this year, despite the adjustment of the number of domestic stores, domestic performance still achieved double-digit growth, relying on same-store sales and increasing output per store from stores opened within the past 12 months. This year, we have confidence in maintaining double-digit growth domestically and optimizing the layout of our store network on this basis.
Q:What are the customs tariff policy and response strategies?
A:Compared to 2018, the company has taken proactive measures, such as strengthening stocking and inventory preparations in the United States, to prepare for the upcoming overseas sales peak season. Although this may bring short-term cost pressures, it can effectively support sales for 3 to 6 months. In addition, actively adjusting the supply chain layout, reducing reliance on the Chinese mainland market, increasing direct sourcing in the United States, ensuring the stability of commodity supply and cost control. Through close cooperation with overseas suppliers, improve gross profit margins, and use tax planning methods to reasonably reduce U.S. tariffs, leaving more profit space for the company's products in the United States.
Q:What are the impacts and annual goals after the merger of Yonghui Supermarket into the company?
A:Yonghui was incorporated into the company in the second quarter of this year, with the goal of reducing losses significantly, mainly through improving efficiency, performance, gross margin, and reducing costs and expenses. Yonghui's profits have seasonality, with Q1 being the peak profit for the year, and Q2 to Q4 confirming investment gains and losses. Yonghui's adjustment progress is in line with expectations, the team is strong, 78 stores have been adjusted, with plans to close 250 to 350 stores this year, adjust more than 200 stores, and these adjusted stores have performed well with profits exceeding 1 billion. Future profit growth will come from cost efficiency, management efficiency improvement, and optimization.
Q:What is the recent trend in overseas markets? What are the same-store expectations and strategies for the US market for the whole year?
A:Regarding the overseas market same-store trends, due to the base difference, same-store growth in the first quarter was relatively high, but since April, markets such as the United States and Mexico have seen improvements compared to the previous month, giving confidence in overall same-store growth overseas. As for IP development, it is currently not disclosed whether there will be attempts to incubate or acquire other IPs, but the strategy of advancing existing third-party IPs will continue.
Q:What is the growth situation of the overseas store network in the past few years and how does it affect the overall store coverage rate of the same store?
A:In the past few years, the overseas retail network has experienced rapid growth, for example, the number of directly operated stores has increased from 900 points before 2024 to over 1,300 stores last year. However, it is worth noting that the coverage of the same-store sales for the entire store network is limited. Taking the example of over 1,300 stores, only about half are calculated as same-store sales, while the other half are not considered same-store. In the American market, although there are currently more than 300 stores, only 90 are considered same-store, accounting for 30%. Therefore, the reference value of same-store sales is relatively limited, and the growth of non-same-store store performance is equally important.
Q:How is the expected growth situation for overseas business this year? How is the single store output growth situation? And how do we view the application of domestic market experience in overseas markets?
A:This year, our overseas business has nearly doubled in growth, and the output per store has achieved low double-digit growth. We have learned from our successful experience in the domestic market that, despite facing fierce competition and many imitators, we still have confidence in achieving incremental development in overseas markets. Especially in the United States market as the world's largest consumer market and future overseas strategic highland, the performance of the new management team has been outstanding. From 2021 to 2024, the United States market achieved a four-year compound growth rate of 100%, leading the world in store output.
Q:What are the key focuses for the American market this year?
A:This year, the focus of work in the U.S. market is mainly on two aspects: channels and products. In terms of channels, the plan is to focus more on opening stores. This year, store openings will be concentrated in 24 states that account for 76% of the U.S. population. A cluster-based store opening strategy will be adopted to leverage economies of scale, optimize logistics distribution routes, reduce stockouts, enhance customer satisfaction, predict demand through centralized inventory management, reduce backlog, and improve inventory turnover. In terms of products, efforts will be made to strengthen fine management of shelves, establish special project teams for research and development, develop and optimize products based on U.S. market demand, while also creating regular hot-selling products. Utilizing IT capabilities and membership systems to identify high-demand products, optimizing supply chain networks, and conducting user profiling analysis for insights.
Q:What are some observations and strategies regarding IP licensing partnerships?
A:For IP authorization resources, as the market expands, better resource packages can be obtained through cooperation with globally renowned top IP, such as exclusive category authorization and rich image resources, which are crucial for expanding the IP market scale. In addition, IP product design and quality are key factors influencing consumer purchases. MINISO has strong IP conversion capabilities, based on the experience base of 8,000 global stores and efficient supply chain management capabilities, which can convert various IP resources. At the same time, it is also actively promoting its own IP, and the newly launched gift bear IP is expected to achieve sales of 4 to 5 billion this year.
Q:In the business of being a minister, how to understand the experience of treasure hunting, and whether it is necessary to rely on the conversion of own-brand products?
A:The treasure hunt-style experience means we focus on customer needs and provide them with products they like. In the process of natural traffic conversion, we are not limited to our own brand products. For example, in the toy category, although the number of families, especially children, in the mall is increasing, resulting in a high demand for toys, the national stable supply is insufficient. MINISO can utilize the existing capabilities of toy suppliers to introduce their products into our channels, achieve the conversion of natural traffic, and also provide our own brand products to meet the needs of some consumers who enter the store with specific purchasing intentions.
Q:If the third-party products purchased, such as toys, have poor sales, can Miniso return them or should they just absorb the inventory?
A:For products with poor sales from procurement, we have tried returning them. With the capability of more than 4,000 stores nationwide, we can absorb this inventory. When procuring externally, we choose categories with lower risks and use data insights to accurately grasp the market. Each purchase is small in quantity and will be carried out in batches in a rhythmic manner.
Q:Regarding the store expansion plan, has the opening target of Chinese stores changed? When will the net addition of stores resume? How is the situation of new store openings in the first quarter?
A:We are currently upgrading our channels in China, no longer simply pursuing an increase in the number of stores, but paying more attention to quality and the long-term development of the brand. The annual store opening guidance is 200 to 300, but this number is subject to dynamic adjustments, it may exceed expectations or may not reach targets. Even if the number of store openings does not meet the target, domestic scale is still expected to achieve double-digit growth. In addition, closing stores does not help with same-store sales, and a store that is completely closed does not count as a same-store sale; operating stores must remain in operation within the specified time. Same-store improvements this quarter are mainly dependent on the operation of existing stores and optimizing product strategies.
Q:If sales in China reach the target, can it be considered same-store driven or new store driven?
A:The main premise is to ensure income growth in scale and high quality. In the current and future year, it is hoped that the scale growth in China will come more from the same store, but new store contributions are not ruled out.
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