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小鹏汽车-W(09868.HK,XPEV.US)2025年第一季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
XPE Inc. reported a 141.5% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q1 2025, with vehicle sales revenue up 159.2%. Deliveries reached 94,008 units, a 331% increase, setting a new quarterly record. The company leads in AI-driven tech innovation for autonomous driving, smart cabins, and embodied intelligent robots, achieving a record-high gross margin of 15.6%. XPE Inc. is rapidly expanding globally, becoming China's top exporter of mid to high-end new energy vehicles, with over 370% year-over-year growth in overseas sales.
会议速览
XPE Inc. Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call
XPE Inc. held its first quarter 2025 earnings conference call, discussing financial and operating results, with management providing prepared remarks followed by a Q&A session.
Xpeng's Revolutionary Q1 2025 Performance and AI-Powered Growth
Xpeng reports record-breaking Q1 deliveries, a 331% YoY increase, and improved gross margins, attributing success to AI-driven tech innovation and sustainable growth strategies. The company highlights significant advancements in AI-powered vehicles and humanoid robots, aiming to democratize advanced technology.
X's Global Expansion and New Product Launches in 2025
A company plans to launch competitive products including an SUV and a luxury sports coupe in Q3 and Q4 of 2025, respectively, while also focusing on global expansion, particularly in overseas markets like Europe and Southeast Asia, aiming to become a leading exporter of mid to high-end new energy vehicles.
XPC ISS AI Development 2025 Update: Advancements in Autonomous Driving Technology
As of May 22, 2025, the update highlights the full-scale implementation of the Physical World Foundation model in AI-powered vehicles, showcasing advancements in autonomous driving technology. Key developments include the launch of XPG ISS, the successful in-house development of a comprehensive RD system, and the pioneering use of urban smart driving without reliance on LiDAR. Significant improvements in visual perception models, enhanced safety, and driving experience under various conditions are noted, positioning the company for global rollout and the evolution from AI cars to advanced intelligent robots.
Ex-Bank's Leap in AI-Powered Vehicles and Robotics Fuels Record Growth
On May 22, 2025, Ex-Bank unveils significant advancements in AI-powered vehicles and humanoid robots, projecting record-breaking growth with expected vehicle deliveries between 102,000 to 108,000 units and revenue of 17.5 billion to 18.7 billion RMB for Q2. Leveraging large cloud-based foundation models and a 10,000th GPU AI computing cluster, Ex-Bank's AI vehicles aim to outperform human drivers, laying groundwork for L3-L4 autonomy. Additionally, the company's fourth-generation robot, powered by Turing chips, signals a major leap in China's robotics industry, targeting industry-leading humanoid robots for commercial use by 2026.
First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Overview
The VP of Finance discussed the company's financial performance for Q1 2025, highlighting a 141.5% year-over-year increase in total revenues, driven by higher vehicle deliveries and increased service revenues. Gross margin improved due to cost reduction and increased sales volume, despite inventory provisions and losses on purchase commitments. R&D and SG&A expenses increased year-over-year due to new vehicle model development and higher sales volume, respectively. The company reported a reduced loss from operations and net loss compared to the previous year, with a strong cash position as of March 31, 2025.
XP's Strategy for Increased Sales and Product Pipeline Expansion
Despite a low season, the company has maintained a steady monthly run rate, anticipating significant sales jumps in the following quarters with new model launches, AI advancements, and an electric drive system upgrade.
Strategies for Export Business Growth Amid Tariff Challenges
The company focuses on expanding its export business in Europe, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, targeting triple-digit growth. Despite tariff impacts, strategies include collaboration with partners, product mix adjustments, and potential local investments.
Development and Impact of Touring Chip on Autonomous Driving Technology
The company discusses the successful development of its touring chip, set to enhance autonomous driving capabilities and AI computing power significantly. Plans include mass production in the third quarter of 2025, aiming to democratize high-end technology and improve user experience with advanced autonomous driving features and smart cockpits.
Anticipation for Mona Series: Penetration and Market Impact
The speaker expresses high hopes for the Mona Ma release, targeting a market segment lacking high-performance models, aiming for significant market penetration. The Mona series, designed for young consumers, is expected to showcase its full potential by 2026, promising industry impact.
2025 R&D Investment Focus on AI and Vehicle Portfolio Expansion
The company plans to allocate a significant portion of its increased R&D budget, from 6.5 billion in 2024 to 8.5 billion in 2025, towards AI-related areas including computational cloud capabilities, autonomous driving, humanoid robots, and smart cockpits with multi-language voice command functions. Additional investments will also be made in expanding the vehicle product portfolio.
First Quarter Financial Updates: Regulatory Subsidies, Tax Rebates, and FX Movements
The company received regulatory subsidies and tax rebates in the first quarter, with revenue recognition based on cash receipts. FX gains were primarily due to European business and euro strength, which is being monitored and managed.
Xpeng's Strategy for Enhancing Gross Margins in 2025
In a discussion on May 22, 2025, a representative from Xpeng outlines plans to improve gross margins through product mix optimization, cost reduction, and achieving economies of scale. The focus is on introducing new models, increasing average sales price, and supply chain optimization to target a high teens gross margin by the fourth quarter, aiming for profitability.
Leveraging Autonomous Driving Tech for Humanoid Robotics: XP Motors' Strategy
XP Motors discusses integrating autonomous driving technologies into humanoid robot development, highlighting a 70% shared development source and aiming for mass production by 2026 with innovative, data-driven products.
Impact of Inventory Provisions and Model Changes on Vehicle Margins
The company experienced a negative impact on vehicle margins in Q1 due to inventory provisions and losses on purchase commitments for old models. However, the core margin is expected to improve with cost reduction, higher economy of scale, and product mix enhancement in the following quarters of 2025. The impact of model changes and purchase commitments is considered relatively small and not significant for future quarters.
Company X's Strategy for Premium Market Expansion in 2025-2026
Starting Q3 2025, Company X plans to launch high-priced models with enhanced capabilities in design, smart cockpit, and autonomous driving, targeting the RMB 100,000 to 400,000 market segment. The company aims to be among the top sellers in various market segments, leveraging improvements in vehicle powertrain, architecture, and craftsmanship. Additionally, Company X will introduce both BEV and dual-energy vehicles to cater to the premium market.
Navigating Competitive Dynamics in China's Automotive Market
Observations highlight increasing competition in China's automotive sector from both domestic and international brands, emphasizing the shift towards technological capability and integrated RD ecosystems as key competitive advantages.
Update on Partnership Progress and Milestones with Volkswagen
The partnership with Volkswagen is advancing rapidly, meeting all milestones with less than a year to the stop of some products. New models based on the G 9 platform and jointly developed architectures will hit the market early next year, with ongoing development and exploration of new opportunities.
要点回答
Q:What were the financial highlights of XPE's first quarter 2025?
A:XPE's first quarter 2025 financial highlights include deliveries of 94,008 units, a year-over-year increase of 331%, and a new quarterly record. The company secured the top position in sales among emerging electric vehicle (EV) brands both domestically and internationally. Vehicle gross margin improved for seven consecutive quarters, reaching a record high of 15.6% in Q1 2025, with a significant narrowing of net loss and positive free cash flow exceeding 20 billion RMB.
Q:What factors contributed to XPE's strong Q1 performance?
A:XPE's strong Q1 performance is attributed to systemic enhancements across the company's organization, product development, marketing, technology, and operations. A consistent commitment to AI-driven tech innovation and a focus on sustainable growth were also crucial factors. Notable achievements include the successful launch and delivery milestones of the Mona M 0 3 and the G 6 and G 9 models.
Q:How is XPE leading AI innovation in the automotive sector?
A:XPE is spearheading integrated AI innovations in various fields such as AI check, touring AI, assisted driving, smart cabins, touring tips, and robots, along with enterprise productivity tools. The company has made significant progress in Q2 towards its full transformation towards AI and is expected to achieve generational leadership in 2026. Through the extensive application of its physical world foundation model, touring chips, and vehicles, alongside global deployment of AI-powered vehicles and humanoid robots, XPE aims to lead three growth curves and achieve sustainable long-term high growth.
Q:What new products and technologies will XPE introduce in the coming months?
A:XPE's upcoming product and technology introductions include the Mona M 0 3 Max with touring AI assisted driving features, the G7 debut in June, the new generation P 7 in Q3, and the Kunpeng super-electric models in Q4, which will realize one vehicle dual energy options. These moves are expected to expand the company's reach to a wider consumer base both domestically and internationally, unlocking substantial sales growth potential.
Q:How is XPE's global expansion strategy contributing to its growth?
A:XPE's global expansion strategy is a key driver of its growth, with a focus on rapid overseas business development over the next few years. This strategy has already resulted in a year-over-year increase of more than 370,000 units in Q1 2025, solidifying XPE's position as China's leading exporter of mid to high-end new energy vehicles. The company has been opening new stores abroad, entering key markets such as the UK in Europe and Indonesia in Southeast Asia, and striving to enhance localized R&D, manufacturing, and services globally.
Q:What is the status of XPE's AI development and technology implementation?
A:XPE is actively implementing the full-scale deployment of the Physical World Foundation model in AI-powered vehicles as part of its XPG ISS initiative. The company has developed a comprehensive and sophisticated in-house R&D system with leading potential in the industry, including self-developed high-performance touring chips and other advanced solutions. This is strengthening XPE's strategy for advanced autonomous driving and establishing competitive barriers. The company is also pioneering urban smart driving without relying on LiDAR and is enhancing the safety and user experience through improved visual perception models and environmental perception capabilities. These innovations are expected to facilitate the global rollout of high-end autonomous driving and the transition from AI cars to advanced intelligent robots.
Q:What are the key achievements in AI chip development mentioned?
A:The company has successfully developed an AI chip that achieves three to seven times more effective energy efficiency than mainstream automotive chips. This chip is achieved through full-stack self-development and closed-loop integration of hardware, software, compilers, and model architectures, maximizing the synergistic effects between the chip and AI models.
Q:How is the AI model expected to evolve and what applications will it have?
A:The AI model is expected to evolve through reinforcement learning to outperform seasoned human drivers, laying the groundwork for L3 and L4 autonomy and autonomous driving. It will also serve as a universal model for all X banks physical AI terminals. Edge models are being created via knowledge distillation and pruning to fit vehicle computing power, leveraging the foundation model's capabilities for leading inference on devices.
Q:What is the advantage of the multi-modal model being developed by X-Band?
A:X-Band is developing a multi-modal model that operates entirely locally on touring chips, facilitating smarter voice interactions, a more personalized user experience, and smooth operation even in offload conditions, which significantly enhances safety and global scalability. This model will be China's first large model capable of fully localized multilingual interaction and VLA features in a cockpit.
Q:How is the investment in AI vehicles benefitting the robotics industry?
A:The investment in AI vehicles is providing advantages in humanoid robot research and development in China's robotics industry. For instance, the Turing chips used in the Iron, X-Band's fourth-generation robot, will be followed by a fifth-generation model, significantly enhancing on-device computing capabilities. These advancements are expected to surpass traditional industry technological approaches and serve as a new growth curve for X-Band's robots, aiming to launch industry leading humanoid robots for industrial and commercial applications in 2026.
Q:What are the company's expectations for vehicle deliveries and revenue in the second quarter?
A:The company expects total vehicle deliveries in the second quarter to range from 102,000 to 108,000 units, marking a year-over-year increase of 237.7% to 257.5%. The revenue is expected to be between 17.5 billion RMB to 18.7 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year growth of 115.7% to 130.5%. The company is optimistic about meeting its sales growth goal of more than doubling and achieving profitability in Q4 while generating substantial free cash flow for the entire year.
Q:What is the projected volume upside for the following quarters?
A:The projected volume upside for the following quarters is expected to be significant, as the company plans to launch new models more aggressively starting from Q3, which will generate more deliveries. Additionally, the AI capability and R&D efforts are anticipated to translate into AI performance that will maintain the company's leadership in the industry and widen the generational difference between them and their competitors. The introduction of the quantum electric drive system will also power their future vehicle lineup.
Q:What are the expected changes in the market due to new versions and how will it affect the company's future development?
A:For Q2, there are five upgraded versions or improvements expected, which may cause some changes in the market in the midterm or short term. These changes are expected to be very beneficial for the long-term development of the country and the company.
Q:Which new models are expected to be launched starting from Q3 and what is their significance?
A:Starting from Q3, the company plans to launch new models more aggressively, including the Mona Max by the end of this month, followed by G6, G7, and G7 in the next couple of months. These new launches are expected to be catalysts for further growth, and they represent products in higher price categories with better gross profit margins, which will introduce a favorable product mix, contributing to the overall product line.
Q:What is the latest guidance for the company's export business growth across different regions, and how is the company应对欧盟增加的关税?
A:The company has seen very strong international growth and is increasing efforts with investments and team focus. The continued focus will be on the European Middle East and Southeast Asia as core regions. Recently, the UK, Indonesia, and other markets have shown balanced overall growth or reached triple-digit growth year over year. The company is looking at expanding to additional markets, including Latin America and other regions currently without a focus. Regarding tariffs, the company is committed to building for the long term and is looking at ways to reduce the impact of tariffs through collaboration with partners, changes in product mix, and potential local investments.
Q:Will G7 be the first model to use the touring chip in the company's product portfolio, and will all future X branded EV models use touring chips?
A:G7 has already begun production in the second quarter and mass production is expected to increase in the third quarter. The company plans to leverage the touring chip's AI computing power, which is already 3 to 7 times that of mainstream AI chips. This chip will not only enhance the autonomous driving capability but also support other products. The company believes that it will be able to demonstrate its generational lead in autonomous driving in the near future and optimize user experience for consumers. Future X branded EV models will likely use touring chips, although this was not explicitly confirmed in the transcript.
Q:What is X bank cars' target in democratizing high-end technology?
A:X bank cars' target is to democratize high-end technology and bring benefits to all people, aiming for everyone to have access to fancy technology as soon as possible.
Q:What is the strategy for the mobile series and what percentage share is the target for monos?
A:The strategy for the mobile series is to be announced, and the target percentage share of monos is also pending, pending further details and market outcomes.
Q:What is the market segment that the new touring chip is expected to impact?
A:The new touring chip is expected to impact the market segment of 150,000 RMB, where there are no real implementations of N to N large models or computing power of 500 tops and above.
Q:What is the expected impact of the Mona series on the industry?
A:The expected impact of the Mona series on the industry is to cater to young consumers with a need for cool and beautiful designs, emotional value, and connection, which the company believes will be impactful across the industry.
Q:How much of the RD expense is expected to be allocated to AI related areas in 2025?
A:The exact percentage or amount of the increase in RD expense allocated to AI related areas in 2025 was not clearly stated, but it is mentioned that a good amount of the increased expenses will be spent on AI-related activities to improve computational capability on a cloud basis for both AI vehicle autonomous driving training and humanoid robot line.
Q:What were the effects of regulatory subsidies and tax rebates in the first quarter?
A:In the first quarter, the company received regulatory subsidies and tax rebates, resulting in revenue recognition based on cash receipts from those activities. However, it is uncertain whether these benefits will continue in subsequent quarters.
Q:What is the impact of currency fluctuations, specifically the strength of the euro, in the first quarter and recent months?
A:The impact of currency fluctuations in the first quarter, driven by the strength of the euro, resulted in an FX gain. However, this has weakened in recent months of April and May, and the company continues to monitor its exposure to currency risk to avoid unexpected impacts in the future.
Q:Can guidance for the second quarter's gross margin be provided?
A:Yes, guidance for the second quarter's gross margin can be provided. The company expects to further improve vehicle margins through better product mix, continued cost reduction efforts, and supply chain optimization. They predict the average sales price will increase in subsequent quarters, leading to a total company gross margin close to the high teens level by the end of the year, supporting profitability in the fourth quarter as communicated earlier.
Q:How are the existing self-driving technologies planned to be leveraged in robotics, and what are the specific goals for mass production of humanoid robots?
A:Leveraging existing self-driving technologies in robotics is planned by utilizing expertise and advancements in the field. However, specific goals for the mass production of humanoid robots were not detailed in the provided text.
Q:What is the relationship between the robotics development and the autonomous driving department within the company?
A:The robotics development operates as an independent center within the company but leverages the overall in-house full stack R&D capability. For instance, the EEA of robots is developed by the EEA team of the autonomous driving department of the car department, and the joints in the humanoid robots are developed by the powertrain team at XP Motors. The spinal cord and cerebellum of the humanoid robot are developed by both the robotics team and the autonomous driving intelligent driving team.
Q:What are the unique aspects of Xpeng compared to other humanoid robots or robotics companies?
A:Xpeng is distinct from other humanoid robots or robotics companies as it is data-driven, developing chips in-house, operating systems, and has full self-development and capability of hardware and software. Xpeng emphasizes a strong coupling capability, which guides its product development process, especially when creating new products such as humanoid robots. Xpeng aims to enter a stage of Over-the-Air (OTA) iteration by 2026 and expects to bring innovative products to the market that will look different from existing offerings.
Q:What impact did inventory provisions and purchase commitments have on vehicle margin in Q1, and how does the company expect the impact to evolve?
A:In Q1, vehicle margin was negatively impacted by inventory provisions and losses on purchase commitments related to old models. However, the impact of these provisions is recognized as relatively small and does not change the overall trend of margin improvement for the past seven consecutive months. The company does not expect purchase commitments related to model changes to be significant in the next couple of quarters. Looking ahead, vehicle margin is forecasted to experience steady growth in the following quarters due to continued cost reduction, higher economies of scale, and product mix improvement.
Q:How is Xpeng preparing for its move into higher price segments and what new capabilities can be expected in its products?
A:Xpeng is preparing for its move into higher price segments by launching more high-priced models in the second half of the year. The company has a targeted market segment ranging from 100,000 RMB to 400,000 RMB, and starting from Q3 in 2026, it expects to launch many new products with brand new capabilities not only in the exterior and design of the car but also in the smart cockpit and autonomous driving capability. These new offerings are expected to surprise and excite customers and showcase the company's technological prowess.
Q:How does the company view the competitive dynamics with the introduction of more localized and competitive products from foreign brands?
A:The company acknowledges the increasing aggression in competition from both domestic and international players, including Japanese brands entering the Chinese market with localized products at competitive prices. The company remains firm in its belief that technological capability will be increasingly important for success in the competition, with manufacturing capacity becoming less relevant. The transition of automakers from integrated R&D formats to more focused and integrated R&D ecosystems is also highlighted as a future trend. The company believes that this will enable it to strengthen its technological position and become more competitive, especially in the mid to long term.
Q:What are the latest updates on the partnership with VW, and how close are they to the production start of their joint products?
A:The collaboration with Volkswagen is advancing at a fast pace, meeting all milestones, and is currently less than one year away from the start of production for some of their products. Volkswagen has unveiled several models based on the G 9 platform and multiple models on the architecture developed jointly with Xpeng. These models are expected to enter the market starting from early next year.
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