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纳斯达克(NDAQ.US)2025年第一季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Despite increasing market uncertainty, Nasdaq reported strong Q1 financial and operational performance, with double-digit growth across all divisions, driven by robust revenue performance and effective expense management. Key milestones include significant growth in capital access platforms, financial technology, and market services, as well as strategic partnerships and product innovations aimed at navigating market complexity and enhancing efficiency. Notably, Nasdaq's collaboration with AWS supports market modernization, while the Verifin and AxiomSL segments experienced notable client growth and expansions, leveraging AI for enhanced operations and compliance.
会议速览
Nasdaq's First Quarter Financial Results and Strategic Progress
Nasdaq reports double-digit growth across all divisions, achieving net revenues of $1.1 billion, with strong performances in capital access platforms, financial technology, and market services. Strategic priorities include expanding efficiency programs, deleveraging, share repurchases, and surpassing $100 million in run-rate revenue from cross-sales. Operational highlights focus on product innovation and solutions for managing market complexity and volatility.
Nasdaq's First Quarter Performance and Strategic Initiatives
In the first quarter, Nasdaq welcomed 45 operating companies, raising $5 billion, and achieved an 82% win rate for eligible listings. Notable switches included Shopify, Thompson Reuters, and Domino's Pizza, contributing to crossing the $3 trillion threshold in combined market value for listing transfers. The company launched a new research and advocacy program to engage with the US administration on policy recommendations. Nasdaq's data business saw growth from new sales, upgrades, and higher usage, while the index business achieved record revenue growth. The financial technology division signed new clients and upsells, addressing challenges faced by financial institutions and market operators. An enhanced partnership with AWS aims to modernize the global financial ecosystem, starting with market operator clientele. Nasdaq's financial crime management technology, VeriFin, experienced robust demand and added 35 new SMB clients, with progress on AI-enhanced product functionality.
Nasdaq's Capital Markets Technology Subdivision Advances International Strategy and Delivers Strong Q1 Results
The Capital Markets Technology Subdivision advanced its international strategy, modernizing capital markets infrastructure in emerging economies and achieving 17 upsells. Notable deals include an upsell with an Asian exchange and a cross-sell with nuon, showcasing Nasdaq's role as a trusted partner. The first quarter saw significant momentum across the client base, with Calypso delivering multiple upsells. Despite volatile market conditions, Nasdaq delivered double-digit growth, record net revenues, and volumes in the US and European markets. The US market generated record net revenues for options and cash equations, with an increase in on-exchange market share. In Europe, strong results were seen in cash equations and equity derivatives. The second quarter began with unprecedented levels of message traffic and volumes, with Nasdaq's markets performing exceptionally well under enormous volumes and message traffic.
Nasdaq's Resilient Growth Amidst Global Economic Uncertainty
Despite short-term volatility and uncertainty impacting global GDP growth expectations, Nasdaq reports strong first-quarter performance with net revenue up 12.5%, driven by new clients, product innovation, and market services execution. The company highlights its role as a trusted partner for capital formation and risk management, emphasizing resilient growth across its diversified business segments.
Nasdaq's Q1 Financial Performance and Capital Strategy Update
Nasdaq reported strong Q1 results with double-digit revenue growth across all divisions and record net revenues, driven by increased market volumes and higher market share. The company saw solid demand for FinTech solutions and made progress in deleveraging, expanding the dividend, and repurchasing shares, while maintaining a focus on organic growth and capital allocation strategies.
Resilience and Growth in Index Business Amid Market Downturns
Despite a significant decline in market values, the index business experienced growth, demonstrating its resilience. Key strategies include diversifying product offerings beyond the Nasdaq 100, expanding international and institutional clientele, and leveraging multiple performance drivers such as new product launches, inflows, derivatives volumes, and data revenue. These approaches ensure continued performance even in volatile market conditions.
Nasdaq's Strategic Expansion into Texas: Balancing Local Presence and Global Access
Nasdaq plans to open a regional headquarters in Dallas, Texas, to better serve its 700 clients in the state, including 200 listed companies, aiming to provide both local support and access to global capital flows.
Company's Focus on Organic Growth Amidst Deleveraging and M&A Considerations
Despite the potential for compelling valuation opportunities due to macro uncertainty, the company is prioritizing organic growth and deleveraging over pursuing M&A deals. The focus remains on delivering for clients, driving organic growth, and meeting shareholder commitments from previous acquisitions, with a commitment to share buybacks and increasing dividends.
Impact of Macro Headwinds on Sales Cycles and Revenue Guidance in Financial Technology
Despite macro headwinds causing delays in customer decision-making, the company maintains its revenue guidance ranges, particularly in financial technology, due to specific observed dynamics providing confidence in meeting year-end targets.
Robust Growth and Strategic Diversification in FinTech Businesses
The speaker highlights robust sales growth, particularly within the SMB sector, and discusses advancements in financial crime management technology and market surveillance products. They also mention the expansion of partnerships, such as with AWS, to drive modernization and the strategic importance of their offerings, including collateral management, in managing market risks and regulatory needs. Despite facing some decision-making delays in larger companies, the overall demand and strategic nature of their FinTech solutions are keeping the business strong amidst uncertain times.
Leveraging AI for Enhanced Value and Global Expansion in Business Solutions
The company emphasizes the added value and ROI delivered to clients through embedded AI features, enhancing workflow automation and efficiency. Growth is particularly strong in the SMB sector, with increasing traction in Tier I and Tier II clients, highlighting the success of a 'land and expand' strategy. While sales cycles are lengthy, particularly in global expansions, there's high demand and constructive engagement in new markets, setting the stage for future growth contributions.
Impact of Strategic Renewals and AWS Partnership on FinTech Division Growth
The company discusses the effect of strategic renewals on capital markets technology growth, noting delays in sales approval processes. They also address the enhanced partnership with AWS, exploring implications for infrastructure users' migration, changes in marketplace technology revenues, sales cycles, and the expansion of the addressable market.
Modernizing Market Infrastructure for Enhanced Scalability, Security, and Adaptability
The dialogue discusses the partnership between a market infrastructure provider and AWS to address challenges such as scalability, data organization, resilience, and adaptability for market infrastructure providers worldwide. Key objectives include enhancing scalability to accommodate growing market volumes, integrating AI capabilities for growth, maintaining secure infrastructure, and standardizing technology for streamlined connectivity and adaptability. The partnership aims to create a hybrid cloud solution that meets data sovereignty and regulatory requirements while offering benefits like cloud security, scalability, and modern data capabilities. This collaboration is expected to foster a more interconnected global market ecosystem and evolve the service offering from deployed software solutions to managed services. The implementation involves major decisions and regulatory approvals, with initial engagements already underway with exchanges in Johannesburg and Mexico, and plans to integrate Nordic markets subject to approval.
Global Regulatory Changes and Crypto Market Growth's Impact on Axiom
The discussion highlights the global nature of Axiom's business and its ability to manage thousands of regulatory changes annually, offsetting potential headwinds from US regulatory indecision. There's an emphasis on the potential for crypto market growth to serve as an incremental growth driver for regulatory technology (Regtech) and other services, despite the changing administration and a possibly higher regulatory backdrop on crypto. The speaker notes the consistent engagement with clients for regulatory readiness and the interesting opportunities presented by a new regulatory paradigm for crypto, including surveillance, collateral management, and tokenized capabilities.
Capital Markets Performance and Growth Drivers in Q1
The company experienced respectable growth in Arr additions, driven by trends in market modernization and connectivity services. Despite some clients taking longer to make decisions, the pipeline for both Calypso and market technology businesses remains robust.
Update on IPO Environment and Global Listing Preferences
The dialogue discusses the current IPO environment, noting a doubled number of IPOs in the first quarter compared to the previous year but caution due to market volatility. Companies are observed to be patient for the right market conditions, with a hope for more certainty in the second half of the year. Additionally, there's no significant shift in global companies' preference for listing in US markets versus foreign exchanges, highlighting the unique value propositions of each market.
要点回答
Q:What was the impact of Nasdaq's strategic priorities and operational highlights on the first quarter financial results?
A:Nasdaq's strategic priorities and operational highlights positively impacted the first quarter financial results by driving double-digit growth across all divisions, with net revenues of $1 billion, a 11% growth in solutions revenues to $947 million, and a 9% year-over-year increase in Arr to $2.8 billion. Additionally, first quarter operating income rose 17%, and EPS grew, benefiting from strong revenue performance and expense management. Nasdaq also achieved its target of $100 million in net synergies from the Adenta transaction and remained on track to surpass $100 million in run-rate revenue from cross sales by the end of the quarter.
Q:How did Nasdaq's capital access platforms perform in the first quarter?
A:Nasdaq's capital access platforms performed well in the first quarter, with script Arr growth and Ed revenue growth driven by continued strength in net inflows and new product innovation in the index business. The solutions became increasingly important during the periods of uncertainty and volatility, signifying their significance in the market.
Q:What progress has Nasdaq made on strategic initiatives and operational highlights?
A:Nasdaq has made significant progress on strategic initiatives, having expanded its efficiency program to target an additional $600 million inclusive of the original synergy program, with over $100 million achieved as of the end of the first quarter. The company's strong free cash flow of $674 million supported continued deleveraging and share repurchases. Nasdaq remains on track to surpass $100 million in run-rate revenue from cross sales by the end of the quarter, having already delivered $285 million in cross sales since the Adenta acquisition.
Q:What were the notable accomplishments within Nasdaq's data and listing segment?
A:Nasdaq's data and listing segment accomplished the addition of 45 operating companies, raising approximately $5 billion in total proceeds during the first quarter. Nasdaq had an 82% win rate for Nasdaq-eligible operating companies, featuring three of the top five largest IPOs in the quarter. The company also sustained listing transfers momentum with several marquee switches and celebrated the 500th switch, crossing the $3 trillion threshold in combined market value for listing transfers to Nasdaq since the launch of its Switch program in 2016.
Q:How is Nasdaq's index franchise positioned for growth?
A:Nasdaq's index franchise is well-positioned for growth with multiple vectors, including new product innovation, international diversification, and institutional client expansion. The franchise delivered another outstanding quarter, achieving 11% revenue growth and a record average ETP AUM for the quarter. Net inflows remained robust, and there was a strong increase in derivatives volumes, reflecting the successful execution of the growth strategy.
Q:What is the purpose of the enhanced partnership with AWS, and what are its initial focuses?
A:The enhanced partnership with AWS aims to benefit both Nasdaq's market services and financial technology divisions by leveraging the learnings and expertise from Nasdaq's transition to the cloud. The initial focuses of the partnership are on serving market operator clients through packaged public cloud and hybrid cloud infrastructure, software, and services. This will enable market operators to modernize in a cost-effective manner while maintaining data sovereignty and the highest levels of performance, security, and resilience.
Q:What growth did Nasdaq's financial crime management technology see in the first quarter?
A:Nasdaq's financial crime management technology saw robust demand in the first quarter, with a new cross sell with a Tier Ii bank and the addition of 35 new SMB clients, representing a 25% increase in new client signings over the prior year quarter. The business has made progress on its land and expansion strategy, signing an expansion deal with an existing Tier Ii client, which helped achieve an approximate 25% reduction in sales cycle time when compared to the original contract.
Q:What are the highlights of Nasdaq's market technology business's international strategy?
A:Nasdaq's market technology business continued to advance its international strategy by modernizing capital markets infrastructure across emerging economies with 17 upsells. Notable achievements include an upsell with an Asian exchange, a cross sell with nuon, and the consolidation of marketplaces across Peru, Chile, and Colombia. The nuon deal signifies Nasdaq's role as a trusted partner, with an existing client expanding to Lyft solutions.
Q:What performance metrics did Nasdaq achieve in the US and European markets?
A:Nasdaq achieved double-digit growth with record net revenues and volumes in the US and European markets. In the US, record net revenues were generated for US options and cash equities, and Nasdaq increased its on-exchange market share in US cash equities. These results reflect the robust performance of Nasdaq's systems, consistent investments, the strength of closing cross, superior liquidity, and client trust in Europe.
Q:What record levels of message traffic and trading days were experienced by Nasdaq during the second quarter?
A:During the second quarter, Nasdaq experienced unprecedented levels of message traffic and trading days. The US cash equities market had the highest trading days in industry history, with Nasdaq itself having its most active day ever on April 13, exceeding 9 billion messages. European cash equities also saw record message traffic days in the first weeks of April. Nasdaq successfully managed these enormous volumes and high inbound and outbound message traffic.
Q:What impact are current macro environment and policy shifts having on global GDP growth expectations?
A:Current macroeconomic conditions, including policy shifts and potential tariffs, have introduced significant short-term volatility. This uncertainty is weighing on global GDP growth expectations entering the second quarter, resulting in modest impacts on corporate decision-making, although without a meaningful change in overall demand.
Q:How does Nasdaq support clients during market volatility?
A:Nasdaq supports clients during market volatility by providing global markets that enable capital formation and ensuring investors have execution certainty. The company helps corporate issuers access funding while offering banks, brokers, and investors transparent and efficient risk management tools. Nasdaq's local and global presence allows it to understand specific client dynamics and solve their problems effectively.
Q:What were the financial results of Nasdaq in the first quarter?
A:Nasdaq's financial results in the first quarter were strong, with a 12.5% increase in net revenue to $1.2 billion, up 11% in solutions revenue to $947 million, and an operating margin of 25% with an EBITDA margin of 38%. This led to a net income of $456 million and diluted EPS of 79 cents, up 24% from the prior year.
Q:What were the main drivers of Nasdaq's revenue growth in the first quarter?
A:The main drivers of Nasdaq's revenue growth in the first quarter were new and existing client solutions, product innovation, and excellent market services execution in volatile markets. Factors contributing to revenue growth included higher valuations in Nasdaq indices and increased volumes across index derivatives and market services. Specifically, there was a 9% growth in AR, with notable contributions from capital access platforms and index revenue.
Q:What revenue growth is expected for the Capital Access Platforms and Financial Technology Divisions in the full year?
A:For the full year, Capital Access Platforms are expected to deliver 6% revenue growth within the medium-term growth outlook range of 6% to 8%. Subdivision revenue growth for Financial Technology is anticipated to be consistent with prior comments, with continued growth expected in Financial Management, Technology revenue, and AR.
Q:How is Nasdaq positioned to handle the uncertainty in the global macro and regulatory environment?
A:Nasdaq remains confident in its ability to deliver full-year growth within the medium-term outlook for both divisions, with Financial Technology facing uncertainty due to the global macro and regulatory environment causing delays in large decisions and client readiness. Despite a difficult growth comparison due to prior strategic renewal, there is strong demand for Nasdaq's FinTech solutions evidenced by a solid script pipeline and continued client engagement.
Q:What were the highlights of Nasdaq's Market Services Division's performance in the first quarter?
A:Nasdaq's Market Services Division recorded record net revenue of $450 million, up 6%, driven by increased market-wide volumes across asset classes, higher capture in US cash equities and European equity derivatives, and greater market share in available on-exchange trading volumes. Nasdaq's trading businesses performed well during significant market activity, reaching a record of over 10 billion messages in a single day. The operating margin was 46%, up 6 vector points, reflecting strong operating leverage.
Q:What is the projected expense growth for the upcoming quarter, and what is the non-GAAP tax rate guidance?
A:The projected expense growth for the upcoming quarter is expected to be slightly higher than the first quarter due to the timing of the annual compensation cycle. The non-GAAP tax rate guidance is maintained at 24.5 percent.
Q:How much free cash flow was generated in the first quarter, and what actions were taken regarding dividends and share repurchases?
A:Nasdaq generated free cash flow of $674 million in the first quarter. This high level of cash flow supported deleveraging, dividend payments, and share repurchases. A quarterly dividend was paid in the quarter, and a quarterly dividend increase was announced. The company repurchased $2 million in notional value of debt and $108 million of its common stock, and it has since completed employee-related repurchases in April.
Q:What was the effect of the company's deleveraging efforts on its credit rating, and what are the expectations for the next quarter?
A:The company's focused deleveraging efforts resulted in a gross leverage ratio of 3.6 times at the end of 2024, which was down from 4.0 times at the end of the previous year. The company received a one-notch upgrade to its credit rating by Moody's to Baa1. The company expects to reach a script 4.0 gross leverage ratio in the next quarter depending on foreign exchange rates.
Q:What is the significance of the index business's growth and the diversification of products mentioned?
A:The index business's growth demonstrates its resilience, especially given the market downturn, and reflects the success of the strategy to bring new products to market and expand the index franchise beyond Nasdaq's core business. Diversification is highlighted by the fact that 50% of the inflows in the quarter were from non-Nasdaq 100 products, indicating the continued expansion and success of the business.
Q:What are the key levers in the index business and how does the business's multiple sources of performance and drivers contribute to its resilience?
A:The key levers in the index business include market values, new product launches and inflows, derivatives volumes, and data revenue. The business's resilience is attributed to having multiple sources of performance and drivers, which allows it to maintain performance despite fluctuations in market values.
Q:What is the purpose of Nasdaq's new office in Dallas, Texas, and how will it serve the company's clients in the region?
A:The purpose of the new office in Dallas, Texas, is to serve Nasdaq's 700 clients in Texas, including banks, brokers, investors, and corporate clients. The office will provide a local presence to serve the needs of the clientele and support the company's listing clients. It aims to balance local support with global access to capital flows, aligning with the clients' requirements for both.
Q:What is the company's focus regarding organic growth and M&A activity, and what are the earnings accretion targets when pursuing deals?
A:The company is focusing on organic growth rather than evaluating deals. They are committed to continuing to drive returns and accretive growth, as well as share buybacks and increasing dividends. The team's focus is on delivering for clients and driving organic growth, and they have not been evaluating M&A deals.
Q:What factors are causing delays in customer decision-making, yet how does the company expect to meet its revenue guidance ranges?
A:Macro headwinds are driving delays in customer decision-making. Despite this, the company is having robust conversations with clients, showing acceleration in sales to the SMB clientele, and maintaining a strong pipeline in Financial Crime Management Technology. The business feels very robust and healthy. The company's diversified approach across various markets and clients provides confidence that they will be able to meet the revenue guidance ranges laid out at the beginning of the year.
Q:What is the current status of the sales cycle environment in Financial Crime Management Technology?
A:The sales cycle environment in Financial Crime Management Technology is robust and has seen an acceleration of sales to the SMB clientele in the first quarter of the year. There are no changes in client engagement patterns, and the company is making progress in driving towards and concluding deals. This indicates a healthy and robust business within the regtech business, particularly with high demand for surveillance products.
Q:How are changes in regulatory requirements impacting the implementation of Axiom SL and what is the effect on the company's opportunities?
A:Changes in regulatory requirements have impacted the implementation of Axiom SL as clients are adjusting the speed and scope of technology implementation. However, the company continues to see opportunities and maintains a healthy pipeline for capital markets tech, especially regarding market modernization trends. The Axiom SL business has been bolstered by the scalability of the platform and a strong modernization trend, supported by an expansion of the AWS partnership.
Q:What challenges are clients facing with decision-making processes, particularly in Calypso, and how does the company perceive the overall demand?
A:In Calypso, some decisions are requiring higher approval levels within companies, causing delays. Nonetheless, the overall demand within Calypso remains strong, and the company's offerings, such as the collateral management module, are in high demand due to their importance in risk management.
Q:What is the impact of the Verifin and growth algorithm's expansion on the business, especially in terms of client feedback and pricing?
A:The AI features in the Verifin and growth algorithm are enhancing the value of the platform to clients. Although not charged separately, these features increase the value and ROI for clients, and their benefits are communicated during contract renewals. The business has a strong track record in the SMB space and is gaining strength with Tier II and II clients. The company is actively engaging in Europe and seeing prospects sign up for POCs to demonstrate the solution's differentiation. Global expansion is expected to contribute to growth in future years.
Q:What challenges are being faced in Europe and what is the potential contribution from global expansion in the future?
A:In Europe, the company is engaging positively with clients and prospects, and some have signed up for POCs to test the solution. There is a strong interest in finding a suitable solution to address their needs. While sales cycles are long, the company does not anticipate significant contribution from global expansion this year, with the hope of starting to show contribution next year and becoming another lever of growth over time.
Q:How should the impact of delayed sales on revenues in Edqm be thought about, and what is the expected growth trajectory?
A:The company does not provide specific outlook by quarter but notes a strong growth in capital markets technology, particularly Eclipse, last year due to strategic renewal. This creates a challenging comp for the current year. Sales are taking longer as larger decisions are being made at higher levels within clients' organizations. This is expected to impact growth in the first quarter. Despite this, the company remains confident in its medium-term outlook and the continued growth of the FinTech division.
Q:What are the implications of the new AWS partnership for the composition of marketplace technology revenues, sales cycle lengths, and the overall revenue target?
A:The new AWS partnership is a long-term relationship aimed at helping market infrastructure providers address challenges in scalability, data organization for AI capabilities, hyper-resilient and secure infrastructure, adaptability, and standardization. This partnership will contribute to providing infrastructure capabilities and support for modernization. However, the specific implications on the composition of marketplace technology revenues, sales cycle lengths, and the overall revenue target were not detailed in the provided text.
Q:What is the purpose of the interwoven market ecosystem?
A:The purpose of the interwoven market ecosystem is to allow for more efficient and faster capital flows across markets. This is expected to create a more connected and integrated market system over time.
Q:What does the partnership with AWS entail in terms of geographic expansion?
A:The partnership with AWS involves moving the Nordic markets into the new infrastructure, pending regulatory approval, as a first market to adopt the new construct.
Q:What drove the low end of the guide to increase after the first quarter?
A:The low end of the guide was driven up by stronger-than-anticipated first quarter revenue and a continued strong focus on expenses, despite the recognition of a small additional expense piece related to some regulatory changes and client requirements.
Q:How is the company dealing with potential changes to regulations, specifically Basel III?
A:The company is dealing with potential changes to regulations, such as Basel III, by processing thousands of regulatory changes annually and being broad and diversified across more than 100 regulators. Some client requirements related to this regulation have been pushed out due to indecision on its end, but the company remains focused on preparing clients for these changes globally.
Q:What growth opportunities does the company see in the crypto market?
A:The company sees growth opportunities in the crypto market through market tech such as trading, clearing, settlement technology, surveillance, and the potential for banks to make crypto bankable, which would create opportunities for verifin and collateral management efficiencies with tokenized capabilities.
Q:How did the first quarter perform in terms of capital markets and what were the key growth drivers?
A:The first quarter in capital markets performed better than expected, with respectable revenue additions from Edqm. Growth drivers included the modernization of markets, connectivity services demand, expanded data centers to meet latent client demand, and robust pipelines for future Calypso and market tech business deals.
Q:What is the current state of IPOs and the global listing environment?
A:The current state of IPOs shows a doubling of the number of IPOs in the first quarter compared to the prior year, with large deals being particularly impacted. Companies are currently preparing for potential listing, waiting for more certainty in the market environment. Global companies continue to understand the value of the US market for long-term market value maximization, although decisions on global listing strategies are left to the companies based on market conditions and investor bases over the long term.
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