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高盛集团 (GS.US) 2025年第四季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Goldman Sachs showcases robust financial performance, emphasizing growth in wealth management and investment banking. The firm is recalibrating its business mix towards higher-margin areas, setting ambitious targets for asset wealth management. Initiatives include leveraging AI for efficiency, maintaining prudent capital management, and increasing shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases. The strategy aims for sustainable growth, resilience, and excellence in client service, projecting a positive outlook for 2026 with a focus on corporate activity and sponsor deal flow.
会议速览
Goldman Sachs' Q4 2025 Earnings: Record Revenues, Enhanced Returns, and Strategic Focus
The dialogue highlights Goldman Sachs' strong Q4 2025 earnings, featuring record revenues, improved returns, and strategic enhancements. Key points include a 60% increase in firm-wide revenues, 144% growth in EPS, and a 500 basis point improvement in returns since 2020. The firm's success is attributed to its interconnected global franchises, with notable achievements in investment banking, asset wealth management, and risk profile improvements. Future prospects are optimistic, driven by high client engagement, AI investment opportunities, and a robust sponsor franchise.
Expanding Financial Services and Asset Management Growth Strategies
The dialogue outlines strategic initiatives to enhance financing, origination, and asset management services, emphasizing growth through diversified offerings, targeted acquisitions, and expanding client bases in wealth management and alternative investments.
Goldman Sachs Enhances Capital Management, Focuses on AI and Client Service
Announces increased quarterly dividend, outlines AI-driven operating model, and emphasizes client service through talent investment, achieving strong financial results and strategic growth.
Record Revenues and Strategic Growth Across Segments Highlight Financial Performance
The presentation detailed record revenues of $41.5 billion for Global Banking and Markets, driven by investment banking, equities, and asset wealth management. Notable achievements include a $3.6 trillion record in assets under supervision, a 24% increase in annual incentive fees, and a 15% rise in intermediation revenues. The company maintained leadership in M&A, leverage lending, and achieved a 12.5% segment RoE, while expenses were managed with a 31.8% compensation ratio net of provisions.
Goldman Sachs' Strategic Focus on Efficiency and Capital Returns in a Dynamic Business Environment
Goldman Sachs emphasizes efficiency and productivity, anticipates a lower tax rate in 2026, and returns significant capital to shareholders. The firm remains vigilant on economic, policy, and geopolitical risks, maintaining disciplined risk management. It projects optimism for growth, leveraging strong client connections and strategic priorities.
Strategies for Scaling Wealth Management Services
Discussion focuses on expanding ultra high net worth services globally, leveraging technology, and broadening market coverage to enhance wealth management offerings.
Investing in Third-Party Wealth Channels for Broad Access to Wealth and Scaling
The company concludes that partnering with third-party wealth channels, leveraging their strong product manufacturing and brand, will effectively scale their wealth management services. They plan to maintain a focus on full-service wealth management through Ultra, targeting a 5% long-term growth in fee-based wealth assets. Amidst a generational wealth transfer, they are confident in their differentiated offering and its potential for growth.
Significantly Raising the Floor for Firm's Returns Amidst Diversification and Growth
The firm's returns have been uplifted significantly, with a new baseline for mid-teens returns through the cycle, achieved through diversification, growth of durable revenues, and expansion of the global banking franchise, positioning it better for challenging environments.
Goldman Sachs' Strategic Reorientation Amid Regulatory Changes and Capital Deployment
Discussion revolves around Goldman Sachs' strategic adjustments post-regulatory changes, aiming for higher returns and margin improvements in asset wealth management. The firm emphasizes continued efforts to enhance shareholder value through operational efficiencies and potential future growth investments, while maintaining a cautious stance on transformative mergers and acquisitions.
High Bar for Transformative M&A in Asset Wealth Management
Discusses the challenges and criteria for significant acquisitions, emphasizing the uniqueness of Goldman Sachs and the difficulty in finding suitable targets that align with the firm's culture and strategic goals, setting a high standard for transformative mergers and acquisitions in the asset wealth management sector.
Investment Optimism: Predicting Capital Markets' Future Upside and M&A Activities
The discussion revolves around forecasting the capital market cycle, with emphasis on the potential for surpassing 2021's performance by 2026. Factors like fiscal and monetary policies, deregulatory stimulus, and global economic conditions are highlighted as supportive for M&A and capital markets activity, though risks from unforeseen events are acknowledged.
Strategic Capital Deployment and Buyback Opportunities in Investment Banking
Discusses industry-wide trends in investment banking, highlighting Goldman Sachs' strategic focus on client-centric activities and long-term shareholder value through capital deployment, including buybacks, amidst excess capital and organic growth opportunities.
Alignment of Issuance Activities with Equity and Fixed Income Revenues
Discussion on how primary market issuance impacts equity and fixed income revenues, highlighting increased capital markets activity and opportunities for intermediation, as well as the current high backlog indicating strong market conditions.
Backlog Growth Highlights Strong Performance and Future Confidence
The dialogue emphasizes the significance of the company's high backlog, achieved through advisory, debt, and equity underwriting activities. It reflects strong Q4 and full-year 2025 results, signaling confidence in future performance and potential to catalyze additional activities across the firm.
Apple Card Transition & Savings Program Continuity
Discusses the anticipated financial impact of the Apple Card's exit, highlights the seamless continuation of the Apple Savings program, and outlines the strategic focus on transitioning card services over the next 24 months, with no immediate plans for the savings plan's future discussed.
Analyzing Efficiency Ratio and Operating Leverage: Full Year vs. Quarterly Results
The discussion focuses on the efficiency ratio's year-over-year impact, emphasizing the need to consider full-year performance rather than quarterly figures. The firm demonstrates significant operating leverage with reported revenue, pre-tax, and EPS growth, attributing the apparent negative impact to accounting adjustments and revenue reductions.
Goldman Sachs Embraces AI for Enhanced Productivity and Efficiency
Executives discuss leveraging AI to boost productivity, streamline operations, and drive growth in core businesses, aiming for significant efficiency gains and revenue increases over the decade.
Revamping Processes for Enhanced Efficiency and Growth Investment
The dialogue centers around the firm's strategic initiative to streamline operations and free up resources for growth areas, emphasizing the acceleration of productivity through technology and the focus on six key processes. The commitment to transparency and progress tracking is highlighted, with a vision to enhance revenue per employee over the next five years, reflecting a journey of continuous improvement spanning decades.
Exploring Emerging Opportunities in Market Structure and Tokenization for Strategic Investment
The dialogue highlights the firm's strategic evaluation of emerging opportunities in market structure and tokenization, emphasizing the importance of understanding regulatory frameworks and identifying potential business expansions or partnerships. It underscores the firm's proactive approach towards innovation, particularly in areas like prediction markets and tokenization, while acknowledging the pace of change may be slower than anticipated.
Expanding Financing Opportunities and Risk Management Strategies
Discusses the growth potential of financing opportunities, approaching 40% of industry peers, and strategies for managing risks associated with potential market drawdowns or deleveraging events.
Evolution of Capital Solutions Group: Balancing Asset Management and Origination for Client Growth
The Capital Solutions Group discusses transitioning from underweighting to a balanced market position, leveraging asset management and origination capabilities. The focus is on client access to origination flows, risk management, and off-balance sheet growth opportunities, highlighting future evolution in client service strategies.
2026 Expense Growth and Private Banking Outlook Amidst Rate Changes
Discussion covers GS 3.0 expense management, focusing on controlling noncomp growth versus 2025, emphasizing transaction-based costs and market development. Also, outlook for private banking and lending in 2026, considering declining rates, demand, and revenue from deposits.
Strategic Growth in Lending and Deposit Activities Amid Nim Compression Expectations for 2026
Discussed deliberate planning for 2026, focusing on growing lending activities and deposit levels despite potential Nim compression due to rate cycle expectations. Highlighted progress in lending penetration and the importance of unlocking incremental growth in the wealth channel, while flagging the relevance of previous loan impairments and exceptional revenue levels as key comparisons.
Wealth Management's Asset Flow Target Achievement: Balancing Existing Advisor/Customer Engagement and New Advisor Recruitment
Discussed factors contributing to exceeding 5% long-term asset flow target, emphasizing strategies for leveraging existing advisor-customer relationships and new advisor hiring efforts.
Strategies for Wealth Management Growth: Advisor Expansion and Technology Investment
The firm sees wealth management as a significant growth opportunity, emphasizing advisor expansion, technology investment, and alternative investment penetration. They aim to increase market share, improve digital experiences, and enhance profitability through strategic advisor billing, all while maintaining focus on revenue growth and execution.
Analysis of IPO Market Dynamics: Valuation Challenges and Future Prospects
The dialogue explores the factors influencing the IPO market, noting that despite past valuation challenges, current market conditions suggest increased activity. The discussion highlights the trend of companies staying private longer, leading to a surge in large-scale IPOs. This shift is attributed to sponsors unlocking funds and a momentum that could be constructive if the market environment remains favorable.
Ceo's Capitalizing on Favorable M&A Climate Amidst Regulatory Changes
The dialogue discusses how CEO's are taking advantage of a more supportive regulatory environment for mergers and acquisitions, focusing on strategic consolidation to enhance competitive positioning, anticipating potential shifts in administration policies.
Redeploying Capital from Regulatory Compliance to Growth and Resiliency
Discussion highlights the potential to reallocate resources previously spent on regulatory compliance towards growth and enhancing firm resiliency, emphasizing the shift in focus from secondary activities to core business objectives.
Analyzing Capital Growth Shifts: Stress Capital Buffers, Basel III, and GSI Recalibration
The dialogue explores changes in bank capital growth over the last decade, focusing on stress capital buffers, Basel III expectations, and GSI recalibration. It highlights the transition from opaque CCAR processes to more transparency, the neutral impact of Basel III, and the recalibration of GSI growth, offering insights into quantifying these shifts.
Future Revenue Mix Projections: Asset Wealth Management Growth and Market Perception
The dialogue forecasts a gradual shift in revenue mix towards asset wealth management, emphasizing growth and market perception. Despite the dominance of global banking, disciplined organic and inorganic growth strategies are prioritized to accelerate the transition. The firm aims to enhance its market standing through strategic investments, focusing on achieving a more balanced and diversified revenue stream.
Clarification on Investment Banking Fees Projection for 2026
A clarification is sought on whether the projection of investment banking fees reaching 2021 levels by 2026 includes all segments or specific ones, and its implications on Roes for GBM and the firm as a whole.
Exploring Advisory Volumes: A Correlation to Fees in Three Case Studies
Discusses the relationship between advisory volumes and fees, highlighting a chart analyzing three distinct scenarios for advisory volumes, separate from equity and capital markets considerations.
Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Volumes Forecast for 2026
Equity capital markets in 2026 are expected to be below the 2021 peak but higher than current levels. Advisory volumes, linked to broader industry activity, are anticipated to grow, creating a positive feedback loop.
要点回答
Q:What were the financial performance results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025?
A:In the fourth quarter of 2025, Goldman Sachs reported earnings per share of $14.1, an return on equity (ROE) of 16%, and a return on tangible equity (ROTE) of 17.1%. For the full year, the firm delivered earnings per share of $51.32, a 32% increase over the prior year, with an ROE of 15% and ROTE of 16%.
Q:What strategic and financial progress has been made since the firm's first Investor Day in 2020?
A:Since the firm's first Investor Day in 2020, Goldman Sachs has grown firm-wide revenues by roughly 60%, increased EPS by 144%, improved returns by 500 basis points, and delivered a total shareholder return of over 340%, surpassing its peer group. The firm has also materially improved its risk profile, reduced historical principal investments by over 90%, and enhanced the resilience of its earnings.
Q:How has Goldman Sachs performed in its core businesses as of the recent update?
A:Goldman Sachs has maintained strong performance across its core businesses, with a leading global banking and markets position, particularly as the top M&A advisor and leading Equities franchise. The firm has gained wallet share, increased more durable fixed income and equity financing revenues, set records in asset wealth management, and raised significant capital in alternatives. Additionally, the firm's investment banking has been advised to handle substantial M&A transactions.
Q:What growth opportunities are outlined for the firm's asset and wealth management business?
A:Growth opportunities for the firm's asset and wealth management business include expanding client bases through increased advisors and content specialists, enhancing loan product offerings, broadening alternative investment opportunities, and continuing to elevate the client experience with digital offerings and thought leadership. New targets include a pretax margin of 30% in AWM, and a long-term fee-based net inflow of 5% annually. In asset wealth management alternatives and solutions, the firm plans to scale its platform, potentially raising between $75 and $100 billion annually, with a goal of reaching $750 billion in alternative assets under supervision by 2030.
Q:What recent strategic partnerships and acquisitions has Goldman Sachs made to enhance its asset wealth management business?
A:Goldman Sachs has entered into a strategic partnership with Fidelity Investments for retirement and wealth solutions and has announced several acquisitions: a venture capital platform to bolster its second investing franchise, and Innovate, which significantly scales the business in active ETFs and outcome-based ETFs. These partnerships and acquisitions are aimed at enhancing and diversifying the firm's capabilities in the asset and wealth management sector.
Q:What is Goldman Sachs' approach to capital management?
A:Goldman Sachs' approach to capital management involves investing in client franchises at attractive returns, sustainably growing the dividend, and returning excess capital to shareholders through buybacks. The firm is focused on deploying capital across its franchise, particularly in areas like acquisition financing and increasing lending to ultra-high net worth clients. The firm also has the capacity to return more capital to shareholders, as evidenced by the recent increase in the quarterly dividend and substantial remaining buyback capacity.
Q:What is one Goldman Sachs 3.0, and what is its purpose?
A:One Goldman Sachs 3.0 is the firm's new operating model that utilizes artificial intelligence to re-engineer processes and improve efficiency. The initiative is designed to drive accountability and will be updated with additional details over time.
Q:What are the characteristics of the talent attracted by Goldman Sachs, and what is the company's perspective on talent retention?
A:Goldman Sachs is an aspirational brand that attracts quality talent. In 2025, the firm received over 1.1 million experienced hire applications, indicating its ability to draw a large number of skilled professionals. In its summer internship program, the firm maintained a selection rate of less than 1%. Many of these individuals go on to have long careers at the firm, evidenced by the fact that roughly 45% of its partners began as campus hires. Additionally, many alumni have become important clients or have assumed CE suite roles at companies with significant market caps or assets under management.
Q:What are Goldman Sachs's financial and strategic priorities, and what recent achievements have been made?
A:Goldman Sachs has outlined firm-wide through-the-cycle targets and is confident in its ability to continue delivering on these strategic priorities. In the near term, the firm believes it is well-positioned to exceed its return targets, supported by a number one M&A advisory position, robust global banking and markets franchise, and a scaled asset wealth management business with higher margin and return targets. Notable achievements include record revenues of $13.5 billion in the fourth quarter and earnings per share of $14.1, as well as full-year earnings per share growth of 27% over the previous year.
Q:What is the status of the firm's strategic focus, and how is it reflected in the latest financial results?
A:Goldman Sachs is in the process of narrowing its strategic focus and has made corresponding minor organizational changes, which are reflected in updated segments within the financial results. These changes are part of the firm's One Goldman Sachs 3.0 initiative aimed at enhancing productivity and efficiency. The firm's fourth-quarter and full-year financial results reflect a record year for its global banking and markets segment, with robust performance across various advisory, debt, and equity underwriting activities. The firm's investment banking backlog also rose, driven primarily by advisory services. The results underscore the firm's deep client connectivity and the positive investment banking environment outlook for 2026.
Q:What were the financial results for the fourth quarter and the full year, and how did they compare to the previous year?
A:In the fourth quarter, Goldman Sachs generated revenues of $13.5 billion, with earnings per share of $14.1, an return on equity (ROE) of 16%, and a return on tangible equity (ROTE) of 17.1%. For the full year, earnings per share reached $51.32, a 27% increase over the prior year, with an ROE of 15% and an ROTE of 16%. The company's net income benefitted from a portfolio transition, notably a $2.3 billion revenue reduction from the Apple Card portfolio transition being more than offset by a $2.5 billion reserve release upon moving the portfolio to held for sale. Despite the transition and strategic organizational changes, the firm's financial performance showed year-over-year improvement.
Q:What is Goldman Sachs's approach to wealth management, and what are the firm's plans for scaling its wealth business?
A:Goldman Sachs plans to scale its wealth business by continuing to broaden its footprint and coverage in the ultra-high net worth sector, where the firm has a leading position in the United States and is looking to expand in Europe and Asia. The firm has decided to focus on full-service wealth management for ultra-high net worth clients, while exploring broader access to wealth through third-party channels. Investments are being made in third-party wealth capabilities, including partnerships with Rias and expanding the firm's product distribution reach using its diverse and complete product offering. This strategy aims to maintain focus on ultra-high net worth wealth while benefiting from broader market access.
Q:What is the firm's confidence in its return on equity (ROE) in different economic environments?
A:Goldman Sachs has raised the floor on its returns, meaning that it now operates with a goal to maintain mid-teens returns through the cycle. The firm believes it can position itself to exceed these targets in the near term, while acknowledging that there may be environments with headwinds. The firm's confidence stems from its strategic focus, investment in capabilities, and efforts to elevate returns. Although it does not predict the future, the firm believes it has materially uplifted its baseline and is well-positioned for different economic cycles.
Q:What is the new target for the asset wealth management business margin and what does it indicate about the firm's performance?
A:The new target for the asset wealth management business is to operate at a higher margin of 30%, which is expected to drive a higher return and elevate the overall performance of the firm.
Q:How has the regulatory environment changed to provide more capital flexibility for the firm?
A:The regulatory environment of the last five years has imposed costs and burdens on the firm that will no longer be an issue going forward, providing flexibility to invest in other growth initiatives.
Q:What is the firm's position on the potential for transformational M&A activity and how does it align with their values?
A:The firm recognizes the high bar for M&A activity but maintains that the bar is very high and cultural integration is crucial to maintaining Goldman Sachs' uniqueness. They feel good about the past successes but believe that the likelihood of finding transformational opportunities that align with their values is slim.
Q:How does the firm view the potential for future M&A and capital markets activity, and what factors could influence this?
A:The firm views the current setup as conducive to constructive M&A and capital markets activity in 2026, with potential for a very good year if no exogenous events negatively impact sentiment. They anticipate a constructive environment for the next few years due to a combination of fiscal, monetary, and deregulatory stimulus.
Q:What trends are noticed in investment banking activities, and how could these impact future results?
A:The firm notes that certain categories of investment banking activities have started to trend above the average level, while the IPO business and some debt activities are below average. These trends suggest there is still potential for further upside across capital markets activities as the cycle progresses.
Q:What is the firm's strategy regarding capital deployment, buybacks, and prioritization?
A:The firm's capital deployment strategy prioritizes reinvesting excess capital in their core businesses. They plan to continue using buybacks as an important tool to support shareholder returns, provided that it aligns with their goal to fuel the franchise and support client activity.
Q:How is the firm's backlog positioned, and what does it indicate about future results?
A:The firm's backlog is at a very high level, which is the highest in four years and among the highest ever. This high backlog indicates that the firm is confident in their ability to deliver strong results in the future, including replenishing the results from Q4 and for full-year 2025.
Q:What are the expectations for the Apple Card business after the closure of the deal, and what will happen with the savings program?
A:Following the closure of the deal, the firm expects a small pre-tax loss for the year in the segment, mainly due to the Apple Card business and the savings program. The savings program will continue as is for Apple Card users without interruption or change, and there are no current plans to transition it. The firm is focused on the transition of the card while maintaining service to existing customers.
Q:What is the effect of the efficiency ratio on Apple Card transition and full year results?
A:The efficiency ratio was negatively affected by the Apple Card transition, but when looking at the full year, it became clear that the firm delivered significant operating leverage. For the fourth quarter, there was a significant increase in operating expenses, but the year over year analysis showed the opposite.
Q:What is Goldman Sachs' strategy in relation to AI and how will it impact the firm's operations?
A:Goldman Sachs is focusing on using AI to drive productivity and efficiency in its two core businesses, rather than transforming the entire firm with AI. They plan to use technology to reimagine operating processes and create real efficiency. The firm aims to redeploy technology to free up capacity to invest in growth areas such as wealth management, which is currently constrained due to balancing returns.
Q:What specific processes is Goldman Sachs focusing on for efficiency improvements?
A:Goldman Sachs has identified six specific processes where they are focusing on deploying technology to improve efficiency. These processes require significant work and progress is being made, but full confidence in the information has not yet been achieved to publicly disclose them.
Q:How does Goldman Sachs plan to measure its progress with the new technology over time?
A:Goldman Sachs expects the technology to accelerate productivity gains, continuing a trend of increasing revenue per employee over the past 25 years. The firm is committed to providing more transparency on efficiency progress and the deployment of that progress into the business, although specific metrics for measuring progress over five years were not detailed.
Q:What are Goldman Sachs' views on emerging opportunities in market structure and tokenization?
A:Goldman Sachs has a significant presence in both tokenization and prediction markets, with teams actively engaged in understanding and assessing these emerging opportunities. They are focusing on stablecoins and the Clarity Act, as well as prediction markets and their potential integration with existing businesses, taking into account the regulatory structure as it develops.
Q:What is Goldman Sachs' approach to the growth of its financing business and managing risk?
A:Goldman Sachs has grown its financing business from being underweighted to closely weighted, and sees potential to incorporate this activity into its asset management business. They are risk conscious and see opportunities to manage and grow this business without being fully on balance sheet. The firm aims to discuss this topic more in the coming years.
Q:How does Goldman Sachs plan for the growth of its non-compensation expenses, and how does this relate to the firm's strategy?
A:Goldman Sachs maintains a tight focus on managing non-compensation expenses. They aim to balance transaction-based expenses with constrained non-transaction expenses, such as market development. The firm is particularly focused on growing their asset management business and views it as a strategic growth opportunity.
Q:What is Goldman Sachs' outlook for its private banking and lending business in 2026, particularly in a rate down cycle?
A:Goldman Sachs expects to grow lending activities and increase lending penetration in 2026. They anticipate growing overall deposit activity but also expect some net interest margin (NIM) compression due to expectations on the rate cycle.
Q:How did Goldman Sachs achieve above-target asset flows in wealth management, and what factors influenced this?
A:Goldman Sachs achieved above-target asset flows in wealth management in the fourth quarter, which were influenced by efforts with existing advisors and customers, as well as hiring more advisors to attract new customers.
Q:What are the firm's expectations for wealth management growth?
A:The firm believes wealth management presents a significant opportunity for growth and is making extra efforts to drive accountability and focus on this opportunity set. They plan to maintain the focus on this growth, which is a component of the overall revenue trajectory in the wealth business.
Q:What is the current market share of the firm's wealth management business in the United States, and how does it plan to grow?
A:The firm's share in the ultra-high net worth segment of the wealth management business in the United States is estimated to be mid single digits, which is considered leading. The firm acknowledges the business is highly fragmented with hundreds of competitors, but believes it has the potential to grow market share by adding advisors, expanding its footprint, and broadening the client base it touches.
Q:What specific targets has the firm set for the alternative investments opportunity set?
A:The firm has specific targets related to the alternative investments opportunity set. They recognize that given the average wealth of their clients, north of $75 million, it is appropriate and beneficial to advise a distribution of exposure to alternatives. There is an opportunity to further grow this with their existing clients.
Q:What factors does the firm believe will influence the IPO market this year?
A:The firm believes market conditions and an end to valuation challenges will influence the IPO market this year. They anticipate an increase in activity from sponsors and more large companies deciding to go public, which could lead to a significant number of IPOs and large companies entering the market. This confluence of factors is expected to be constructive provided the current market environment persists.
Q:How is the firm's M&A activity expected to be affected by the current political administration?
A:The firm suggests that the current political administration is more supportive of consolidation, which may influence M&A activity. They believe the regulatory environment for M&A has changed over the last four years but doesn't constitute a blank check for large-scale consolidation. CEOs are now more inclined to consider big, strategic, transformative M&A opportunities, leading to an upswing in M&A activity.
Q:What potential exists for human capital and consulting professional fees in the current regulatory environment?
A:In the current regulatory environment, there is an opportunity to redeploy human capital and consulting professional fees towards driving growth across the firm while still maintaining safety and soundness. The focus on safety and soundness of the banking system is resulting in a different formulation and mix of expenses that frees up capacity for redeployment.
Q:How does the firm expect the investment banking fee mix to evolve over the next few years?
A:The firm expects the investment banking fee mix to continue evolving with organic growth, particularly in asset wealth management. Although global banking markets have grown faster than expected, the firm aims to accelerate the shift in the mix through disciplined organic and inorganic growth strategies. They expect asset wealth management to continue to grow faster and shift the mix over time.
Q:What are the firm's expectations for advisory volumes and fees in 2026 compared to 2021?
A:The firm's base case view suggests that investment banking fees in 2026 could approach or close in on the levels seen in 2021, which were over $14 billion. However, the firm specifically refers to advisory volumes and fees, which are highly correlated. They expect equity capital markets levels to be meaningfully below the 2021 peak but higher than in 2022. Advisory volumes are expected to grow, leading to increased activity across the firm.
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