戴尔 (DELL.US) 2026财年第三季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Dell Technologies Inc. reported record-breaking Q3 fiscal 2026 financial results, with a 11% revenue increase to $27 billion, driven by AI server orders reaching $12.3 billion and ISG, CSG growth. The company highlighted its competitive edge in AI, strong demand for modernized data centers, and a flexible financing ecosystem. Despite rising commodity costs, Dell anticipates continued growth, strong cash flow, and significant capital returns to shareholders, showcasing resilience and strategic agility in the technology sector.
会议速览
The announcement outlines the third quarter fiscal year 2026 financial results conference call for Dell Technologies, emphasizing the call's recording, copyright policy, and instructions for participating in the Q&A session. It highlights the use of non-GAAP financial measures, guidance coverage, and forward-looking statements, noting the reconciliation of these measures to GAAP and the risks associated with forward-looking statements.
A strong third quarter marked by record revenue and earnings per share, driven by exceptional AI server orders and expanding customer base. Robust cash flow and capital returns for shareholders underscore operational discipline and profitability improvements in AI and storage segments.
The dialogue highlights a record-breaking third quarter marked by double-digit demand growth in EMEA and North America, driven by AI infrastructure build-outs and traditional compute demand. Dell's AI competitive edge, robust storage portfolio, and durable PC refresh cycle contribute to strong revenue and profitability, supported by operational discipline and a global ecosystem.
The company achieved record Q3 revenue of $27 billion and EPS of $2.69, driven by AI server demand and ISG revenue growth. ISG revenue hit $14.1 billion, with servers and networking up 37%, and storage revenue stable. Operating income and margin rates improved, reflecting a mix shift to AI servers and cost efficiencies.
CSG's revenue increased by 3% to $12.5 billion, with commercial revenue growing 5% to $10.6 billion. Operating income was $0.7 billion, or 6% of revenue, with stable commercial profitability and improved consumer profitability. Cash flow from operations reached $200 billion, driven by profitability and working capital improvements. $1.6 billion was added to cash and investments sequentially, ending at $11.3 billion. Capital was returned to shareholders through stock repurchases and dividends, totaling $600 billion and $5.3 billion respectively.
Discussed record Q3 performance with $20.7 billion revenue, attributed to robust AI server orders and traditional server demand. Outlined Q4 revenue guidance of $31-$32 billion, projecting strong FY26 growth with revenue of $111.7 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $9.92, driven by AI business expansion, cost management, and strategic initiatives.
The dialogue discusses strategies for managing rising costs across product categories, emphasizing the importance of supply chain agility, market responsiveness, and leveraging a direct sales model to mitigate impacts on customers. It highlights the company's commitment to EPS growth targets despite headwinds, focusing on operational efficiency, scale, and capital return initiatives to navigate the challenging market conditions.
Discusses Dell's strategy in the AI server market, emphasizing their differentiation through complex deployment solutions, performance optimization, and ecosystem support, while noting a shift towards GB 300 in backlog and growth in sovereign and enterprise sectors, amidst Nvidia's increased involvement in the supply chain.
Discussed the sequential increase in AI server margins due to elimination of one-time costs, improved supply chain efficiency, and a favorable customer mix. The company anticipates sustaining margins in the mid-single digits, bolstered by product differentiation and a broad customer base, as part of its long-term value creation strategy.
The dialogue discusses a bullish perspective on the PC market's future, emphasizing the incomplete transition to Windows 11 and the potential for upgrading 500 million units. It highlights new factors like AI advancements, including AI PCs, smaller language models, and improvements in operating systems, as drivers for market growth. The outlook is for a flat market next year after a year of mid to high single-digit growth, with plans to take market share.
The dialogue discusses robust AI business growth, emphasizing strong demand and order backlog, while addressing financing hurdles for Neo Clouds. It highlights the company's confidence in market opportunities and its proactive approach to managing escalating costs through pricing adjustments and operational efficiencies, leveraging past experiences with supply chain challenges.
The dialogue discusses the significant margin improvement in ISU, attributed to premium demand growth, strong pricing discipline, and product-level enhancements. It also explores the anticipated P&L impact of AI server revenue, suggesting continued margin stability and potential growth driven by storage portfolio expansion.
The dialogue covers the increase in AI shipments and strategies focusing on Dell IP storage, alongside a discussion on the double-digit growth in demand for traditional servers. The speakers highlight the recovery in North America, international market performance, and the ongoing modernization of data centers, emphasizing the potential for continued growth in server upgrades and modernization efforts.
Discusses strategies for mitigating impacts of rising commodity costs, emphasizing the importance of honoring contracts, adjusting demand, and leveraging direct manufacturing and selling advantages to navigate scarcity and price effectively.
Dell emphasizes strategic shifts towards IP-based storage solutions, aiming for margin improvements and market agility. The company forecasts high single-digit growth in storage for Q4, bolstered by strong server demand and pricing discipline. AI revenue projections are driven by customer readiness, supply chain efficiency, and new orders, with a focus on delivering against the growing backlog and enhancing data platform capabilities.
A discussion on using purchase commitments as a metric for predicting future margins, especially in the AI server sector, with no significant changes noted in inventory management or procurement patterns impacting DRAM and NAND prices.
Discusses maintaining mid-single-digit operating margins despite AI server and PC market shifts, emphasizing competitive deals and profitability, and highlights successful market strategies leading to demand growth in consumer and international segments.
The company achieved record revenue and EPS, bolstered by exceptional AI momentum with $30 billion orders. Improved profitability and strong cash generation enabled capital returns, positioning the firm for a strong year-end and long-term value creation.
要点回答
Q:What are the highlights of Dell Technologies' fiscal year 2026 third quarter financial results?
A:Dell Technologies' highlights for the third quarter include a record revenue of $27 billion, up 11% year over year, and an earnings per share (EPS) up to $2.69. The quarter set records for AI server orders and revenue. AI server demand remained strong, with $12.3 billion in orders booked in the quarter and year-to-date orders reaching $30 billion. The company also had strong growth in traditional servers and storage, and international and North American markets. Additionally, Dell Technologies ended the quarter with a record backlog of $18.4 billion and continued robust cash flow and capital returns for shareholders.
Q:What significant growth did Dell's AI business achieve in the third quarter?
A:Dell's AI business experienced significant growth, with AI server demand remaining exceptionally strong, leading to $12.3 billion in orders booked in the quarter and year-to-date orders reaching $30 billion. AI server revenue was $5.6 billion in the quarter, with a total of $15.6 billion year to date. The business ended the quarter with a record backlog of $18.4 billion and a growing diverse customer base, including expansion across major cloud providers, tier II cloud services providers, and sovereign states.
Q:How did Dell's traditional server and storage businesses perform in the third quarter?
A:Dell's traditional server business showed overall demand growth with a focus on high-performing compute configurations, recording double-digit growth. Storage revenue, although down 1% year over year, saw continued strong demand for Dell's IP portfolio, with all-flash arrays delivering double-digit growth and PowerStore achieving six consecutive quarters of double-digit growth. PowerStore demand has now grown for seven consecutive quarters with six quarters of double-digit growth.
Q:What was the performance of Dell's CSG segment in the third quarter?
A:Dell's CSG segment saw revenue increase by 3%, with commercial up 5%. International growth accelerated to double digits year over year, and North America also showed improvement. Demand for small and medium businesses remained strong with P&L and commercial demand growth over the past four consecutive quarters. Consumer revenue, however, declined, but the demand environment turned to growth as the company refocused on its role in the market. Commercial profitability was stable while consumer and education areas were competitive.
Q:What outlook does Dell have regarding commodity supply and pricing?
A:Dell is well positioned across its commodity basket with inflationary conditions in the quarter being deflationary. The outlook for Q4 is largely unchanged from the last quarter. The company is confident in its ability to secure supply and adjust pricing as needed, and it will continue to leverage its world-class supply chain to deliver the best outcomes for customers and shareholders.
Q:What was the overall impact of Dell's execution in the third quarter?
A:Dell's execution in the third quarter was strong, resulting in record revenue and EPS, along with strong cash generation and above-trend capital return. Total revenue increased 11% to $27 billion, and the company experienced robust growth across all segments with improved profitability in AI and storage. AI momentum remained exceptional with record orders, backlog, and a growing diverse customer base, supported by Dell's end-to-end capability in AI infrastructure.
Q:What are the drivers behind the ISG operating income growth?
A:The ISG operating income growth was primarily driven by higher revenue and a sequential improvement in the operating income rate to 12.4% of revenue. This improvement was due to the mix of AI servers, better AI server margins, and stronger profitability from storage.
Q:What were the changes in CSG revenue and operating income?
A:CSG revenue increased by 3% to $12.5 billion, with commercial revenue growing for five consecutive quarters at 5% to $10.6 billion, while consumer revenue declined script to $1.9 billion. CSG operating income was $0.7 billion or 6% of revenue, with commercial profitability stable and consumer profitability improving due to demand returning to growth.
Q:What were the highlights in terms of cash flow and balance sheet management?
A:The company had a strong cash quarter with cash flow from operations of $1.200 billion, ending the quarter with $11.3 billion in cash and investments, up $1.6 billion sequentially. The core leverage ratio is 1.6x, and the company returned $1.600 billion of capital to shareholders, including share purchases and dividend payments.
Q:What is the expected shipment volume of AI servers in the upcoming quarter?
A:The company expects to ship approximately 4 billion of AI servers in the upcoming quarter, which would bring full year shipments to over 2 billion, representing year-over-year growth.
Q:What is the projected growth rate for ISG and CSG combined in the upcoming quarter?
A:ISG and CG combined are expected to grow 34% at the midpoint, with ISG growing in the mid-teens and CSG growing in the low to mid-single digits.
Q:What are the expectations for operating income, diluted share count, and non GAAP tax rate?
A:Operating income is expected to be up sequentially, with a continued improvement in the operating income rate. The diluted share count is expected to be roughly 672 million shares, and the non GAAP tax rate is anticipated to be 18%. The diluted non GAAP EPS is expected to be $3.50 plus or minus 10 cents, up 31% at the midpoint.
Q:What is the preliminary outlook for the upcoming fiscal year?
A:The preliminary outlook for the upcoming fiscal year includes revenue growth supported by multiple levers, such as leveraging the go-to-market engine, improving gross profit, scaling operating expenses, and ongoing share repurchases. The company is highly confident in its ability to drive EPS growth and deliver strong results for the upcoming fiscal year.
Q:How is the company addressing the unprecedented cost increases and supply chain challenges?
A:The company is addressing these challenges by focusing on securing parts and managing the supply mix to minimize the impact on customers. They are leveraging their direct model to react to market signals quickly, price accordingly, and reprice when needed. The company's strategy includes adjusting configurations, managing availability, and optimizing the mix across various product categories.
Q:What is the context of the AI business growth and how does it relate to the financing issues at Neo Clouds?
A:The AI business growth is strong and has been fueled by the company's conviction and guidance increase from Ed to Ed Billion. Part of this growth is predicated on Neo Clouds' ability to procure financing, with a focus on opportunities within the Neo Clouds, sovereign entities, and enterprise sectors.
Q:What is the significance of the Q4 guidance and the year-over-year revenue growth?
A:The Q4 guidance of $9.4 billion signifies a $25 billion outlook for the full fiscal year 25, reflecting a 150% increase over the previous year. This growth indicates the strong demand for compute power and token generation, which is reflected in the company's 5/4 pipeline and the significant orders and backlog reported.
Q:How does the company plan to manage the increase in costs due to extraordinary times?
A:In response to the extraordinary times and the rise in input costs, the company has taken extraordinary actions to mitigate the impact. It has a direct relationship with partners involved in DRAM and bandwidth manufacturing, as well as capacity agreements, providing a stable foundation during these unprecedented situations. The company has the flexibility to reprice, adjust quotes, reconfigure products, and alter demand generation strategies to offset these cost pressures.
Q:What was the company's response during Covid and how is it applying that experience to the current situation?
A:During Covid, the company demonstrated its ability to navigate material shortages and increased costs, a skill that is being applied to the current situation. It has lessons learned from that time and is actively managing the situation with a sense of urgency, leveraging its strong supply chain and engaging in frequent pricing calls to achieve better outcomes.
Q:What factors drove the sequential improvement in ISG margins and how will Q4 AI server revenue impact the P&L?
A:The sequential improvement in ISG margins to 12.4% was driven by better operating margins due to a change in product mix, specifically the growth of the daylight storage portfolio and power store with double-digit growth. Pricing discipline and focus on product mix improvements also contributed. Q4 AI server revenue of $9.4 billion is expected to significantly impact the P&L, with gross margins likely to remain consistent with Q3 levels. The revenue is expected to grow slightly ahead of normal sequentials, which should result in an uptick in the utilization rate in Q4.
Q:What factors contribute to the double-digit demand growth in traditional servers?
A:The double-digit demand growth in traditional servers is attributed to data center modernization, consolidation, and the upgrade cycle of older generation servers.
Q:What opportunities exist for upgrading and modernizing older server models?
A:There is a significant opportunity to upgrade and modernize older server models, which constitute a substantial portion of the installed base that was shipped many years ago.
Q:What is the impact of commodity cost increases on your supply chain and pricing strategy?
A:The impact of commodity cost increases on the supply chain involves managing commodity scarcity and ensuring an adequate supply of parts. The company aims to procure necessary materials and price them accordingly. The supply chain team focuses on not running out of parts and adjusting prices commensurate with the value of the materials.
Q:What is the strategy for dealing with the scarcity of parts and how does it affect your ability to recover costs?
A:The strategy for dealing with the scarcity of parts includes adjusting demand rapidly, using various tools like reconfigurations, and maintaining the ability to price effectively in a large transactional business model. The company believes its direct manufacturer and direct seller model provides an advantage in navigating these challenges and working towards better outcomes for the company, shareholders, and customers.
Q:How does the company anticipate the storage business to perform in the upcoming fiscal year, especially considering commodity headwinds?
A:The company expects the storage business to achieve high single-digit growth in the fourth quarter, which is a positive sign. For the upcoming fiscal year, although there are commodity headwinds, the company's strategy to pivot towards Dell IP storage is paying off, with an increasing mix in revenue dollars and improving margins across the portfolio. The company is focusing on growth in the all-flash portion of the portfolio and the buyer base for Dell storage.
Q:What factors contributed to the raised forecast for AI revenue?
A:The raised forecast for AI revenue is attributed to factors including new orders and existing orders occurring earlier, a growing backlog, customer readiness, supply chain efficiency in obtaining materials, customer acceptance, and the successful execution of winning new opportunities across the Neo Cloud, sovereign, and enterprise customer bases.
Q:How have purchase commitments changed and what do they indicate about future margins?
A:Purchase commitments show no discernible change in pattern or in relation to inventory levels. Sequentially, inventory values have been reduced, indicating an adjustment. Year to date, inventory values are roughly flat despite a significant increase in demand. The company's normal supply chain procurement processes are in effect, and there is no indication of a change from the last quarter. These trends suggest that the company is managing inventory effectively and positioning itself for future profitability.
Q:What is the expected change in operating margins for the AI server business?
A:The AI server business is expected to maintain a consistent mid single-digit operating margin. While the exact mix of deals may cause some to be slightly lower or higher, the goal is to stay within the mid single digits. The company aims to win deals judiciously while managing profitability and ongoing activities. Dollar accretive deals are also emphasized, with cash flow being a forefront concern.
Q:Will the PC business share growth impact its operating margin?
A:The PC business is a scale business, and share growth is anticipated in non-premium segments. The company's recent focus on strengthening its position in commercial and education sectors, along with increased activity in the consumer business, is showing encouraging results. International growth has accelerated, and consumer demand has returned to growth for the first time in three years. The company plans to refine its cost position and product strategy to ensure growth without sacrificing profitability.
Q:What were the key achievements and future outlook as stated by the company?
A:The company achieved record results in revenue and EPS, showcasing disciplined execution and a strong business model. AI momentum is described as exceptional, with record orders in Q3 and $30 billion booked through the first three quarters of the year. The customer base and pipeline are expanding, positioning the company well to capitalize on increasing demand for AI solutions. Additionally, improved profitability and strong cash generation enabled capital return to shareholders, setting the company up for a strong finish to the year and long-term value creation.

Dell Technologies, Inc.
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