好市多公司 (COST.US) 2026财年第二季度业绩电话会
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会议摘要
Achieved $2.035B net income, 9.1% net sales growth, and 7.4% comparable sales rise. Tariffs mitigated, digital sales surged 22.6%, and new warehouses opened. Membership grew, renewal rates adjusted for online trends. Gross margin improved by 17bps, SG&A up 13bps, and CapEx $6.5B for FY. Digital initiatives and international expansion emphasized, with inflation managed through deflation in key categories and supply chain stability.
会议速览
Costco's CFO discusses Q2 2026 financial results and February sales, emphasizing the company's proactive approach to mitigating tariff impacts through strategic sourcing and pricing. The dialogue highlights Costco's commitment to member value amidst global trade challenges.
Focuses on reducing prices for members, leveraging digital advancements, and expanding warehouse operations. Highlights efforts in returning value through price reductions, improving digital experiences, and strategic growth in real estate and operations. Engages with AI advancements to maintain competitiveness and member satisfaction.
Ed reported robust Q2 FY26 financials with net income of $2.035 billion, net sales of $68.24 billion, a 9.1% increase year-over-year. Comparable sales rose 7.4%, adjusted for FX and gas price deflation. Membership fee income grew 13.6%, driven by membership base expansion and executive upgrades. Core on core margins improved by 22 basis points, reflecting broad-based gains in non-food, food, and sundries, and fresh categories.
Q2 gross margin increased by 19 bps, excluding gas deflation, driven by pharmacy and gas profitability, offset by LIFO charges. SGNA rate worsened by 13 bps, year-over-year, despite operator productivity gains. Capital expenditure reached $1.29 billion, with $6.5 billion estimated for the year, supporting new warehouses and digital enhancements. Lunar New Year and Valentine's Day promotions bolstered sales across fresh foods and non-food categories.
The company experienced robust sales growth, particularly in Meat, Bakery, and Non-Foods sectors, with notable introductions of new products. Despite inflationary pressures and potential supply chain disruptions, the company maintained a strong inventory position. Digital sales and personalized experiences also saw significant growth, driving overall performance.
US sales increased by 6% adjusted for gas deflation and FX, Canada by 9.3%, and other international by 10.9%, leading to a total comp sales growth of 7% adjusted. Digitally enabled sales rose 20.8% adjusted for FX. Lunar and Chinese New Year shifts positively impacted February sales by 4% for other international and 0.5% for total company, excluding gas and FX.
Global sales grew by 3%, with notable increases in Canada and other international markets. Gas price deflation negatively impacted sales, while food and sundries, pharmacy, and optical were top performers. Regional highlights included strong sales in the US Midwest, Northwest, Southeast, and international markets like China, Taiwan, and Korea.
The dialogue discusses the effects of weather conditions and gold price changes on sales during January and February. It reassures that while weather led to some volatility, notably impacting traffic visits, there wasn't a major effect on overall sales. Regarding gold, the conversation highlights that despite price spikes and dips, the company maintained consistent sales growth by focusing on quality, value, and newness, aligning with consumer preferences.
Discussion on the potential savings from implementing vendor innovations, questioning the extent of these savings and their reinvestment in store wages and labor, highlighting the expected outcomes of this financial strategy.
Costco has seen significant benefits from digital improvements, enhancing pharmacy traffic, maintaining staffing, and improving member experience. Investments in technology and business continue to yield positive returns, with members responding well to increased traffic and sales.
A discussion on ongoing investments in expanding, relocating, and upgrading warehouse facilities to enhance sales and foster global business expansion.
Discussion on inventory management strategies, upcoming seasonal assortment changes, and the impact of rising gas prices on club traffic.
The speaker expresses confidence in the current supply chain, product lineup, and production shipments for the upcoming spring and summer seasons. They also anticipate a positive outlook for the fall, noting careful monitoring of potential disruptions from the Middle East. The team is satisfied with their sourcing moves and timing, indicating a return to traditional practices and a balanced approach to SKU counts.
Discusses how gas prices influence customer shopping patterns, with higher prices enhancing the appeal of a competitive gas station offer, potentially leading to increased customer loyalty and cross-shopping at warehouse facilities.
Discussion on competitive openings' impact on membership and strategies to enhance customer engagement, emphasizing value and pricing to maintain market position.
The dialogue discusses Canada's successful retail expansion with 114 buildings, high volume per location, and plans for further growth. It also highlights international market expansion, particularly in Asia and Europe, aiming for balanced global presence.
Discussion revolves around new real estate opportunities enabling market entry and potential impact on annual unit openings domestically.
Costco is exploring innovative models, like utilizing parking decks, to expand in densely populated urban areas. Drawing from successful strategies in Asia and Europe, the company aims to open 30 warehouses annually over the next decade, with a focus on both domestic and international markets.
Discussed the company's gross margin improvement, adjusting for gas deflation and legal settlement gains, highlighting effective cost management and value delivery. The outlook for the back half of the year suggests challenges in comparison but emphasizes the team's ability to maintain strong financial outcomes.
The dialogue discusses multiple factors contributing to margin growth, including deflationary items, supply chain efficiencies, and Kirkland's signature penetration. Offsets include higher rewards and credit card income, with pharmacy and eCommerce growth diluting core margin impacts. The forward outlook emphasizes fluctuating elements and avoids fixation on individual margin components.
Discusses maintaining stable gross margins, slightly improving them for long-term business health, and reinvesting benefits into member value to drive sales growth.
Discussed membership growth factors including benefits impact, new warehouse openings, and long-term growth trends, highlighting opportunities for continued expansion through new benefits, mature warehouses, and international markets.
The dialogue discusses the impact of increasing digital members on renewal rates, noting a slight decline due to lower renewal rates among digital sign-ups. Efforts in digital engagement and auto-renewal programs are highlighted as strategies to improve retention, with expectations for continued, albeit slower, decline in renewal rates reaching a maturation point.
The dialogue covers a discussion on reduced inflation rates in the second quarter, specifically highlighting deflation in produce and eggs within the fresh and food sundries sectors. It contrasts this with inflationary trends in beef and candy, noting modest inflation increases in non-foods. The impact of inflation on the basket is dissected into price changes and mix changes, emphasizing that mix changes and unit growth significantly contribute to overall growth despite minor price inflation.
Gold bars have unexpectedly enhanced business by driving brand interest, website traffic, and cross-selling opportunities online, delivering value to members and elevating other business aspects.
The dialogue highlights Costco's strategies in digital advertising, emphasizing personalized communication and retail media opportunities. It also explores the integration of AI to enhance member value and employee productivity, alongside expanding marketplace services to deepen member loyalty. Costco remains focused on leveraging technology to improve core operations rather than pursuing non-essential innovations.
Discussed cash management strategies, emphasizing investment in business growth over special dividends, highlighting investments in warehouses, digital, and e-commerce expansion, with cash flow growth continuing despite increased capital outlays.
The dialogue discusses the company's approach to maintaining regular dividends, managing cash balances, and considering special dividends for excess cash, all while preserving flexibility for future investments.
Discussed pharmacy success with AI tools and digital enhancements, noting a small impact from Medicare pricing changes. Also, explored media advertising as a meaningful and growing component of strategy.
The discussion highlights the significance of retail media as a growth opportunity, emphasizing the focus on enhancing member value through improved ad spend returns and driving top line sales, rather than altering margin profiles significantly.
The company reassures investors about its China strategy, emphasizing a customary approach of learning and adapting to the market for steady growth, confident in its ability to compete with local rivals, and seeing opportunities for future expansion similar to past successes in other international markets.
要点回答
Q:What are the strategies being implemented by Costco to manage the impact of tariffs?
A:Costco's strategies to manage the impact of tariffs include moving the country of production when it makes sense, consolidating buying efforts globally to lower the cost of goods, leaning in on Kirkland signature where they have control of the supply chain, and sourcing more items domestically.
Q:What is the process and uncertainty regarding the IIPA tariff refunds at Costco?
A:It is not clear what the process will be, what refunds, if any, will be received, and when they will happen. The complexity of the tariffs and multiple changes over the past year also make it challenging to track the exact impact.
Q:What are the recent achievements and future plans related to Costco's warehouse network?
A:Since the last call, Costco opened four warehouses, including one relocation in the U.S., 1 net new U.S. location, and two additional Canadian business centers. This brings the total warehouse count to 924 worldwide. They expect 28 net new openings in fiscal year 26 and are targeting 30 plus new openings per year in the coming years.
Q:How is Costco enhancing its digital services to improve the shopping experience?
A:Costco is making strides with its roadmap to deliver a more seamless experience. They are achieving improvements in the speed of checkout and employee productivity, piloting automated pay stations, rolling out new personalization capabilities, and have seen positive member feedback on these digital enhancements.
Q:What were the financial results and growth metrics for Costco's second quarter?
A:For the second quarter, net income was $2.035 billion, or $4.58 per diluted share, an increase of nearly 14% from the prior year. Net sales were $68.24 billion, an increase of 9.1% from the second quarter of 2025. Comparable sales increased 7.4%, adjusted for gas price deflation and foreign exchange. Digital enabled comparable sales grew by 22.6% or 21.7% adjusted for foreign exchange. Traffic or shopping frequency increased 3.1% worldwide, and the average transaction or ticket was up 4.2%.
Q:What was the impact of foreign exchange and gas price deflation on Costco's sales in the second quarter?
A:Foreign exchange positively impacted sales by approximately 1.4%, while gas price deflation negatively impacted sales by approximately 0.7%.
Q:What are the recent trends in renewal rates for Costco's memberships?
A:The renewal rate at the end of the second quarter for the U.S. and Canada was 92.1%, down 10 basis points from the prior quarter. The worldwide renewal rate was 89.7%, unchanged from the prior quarter. The slight decline in the U.S. and Canada renewal rate reflects the growth of new online members, who tend to renew at a slightly lower rate than warehouse signups.
Q:How did gross margins and supply chain performance change in Costco's second quarter?
A:Gross margin was higher by 19 basis points, or 17 basis points excluding gas deflation, driven by higher gas profitability and strong growth in pharmacy. Core on core margins were higher by 22 basis points, with non-foods, food and sundries, and fresh all showing improvement. The increase in core on core margins was broad-based, influenced by mix changes and higher 2% executive rewards.
Q:What was the LIFO impact and legal settlement on Costco's gross margin?
A:LIFO negatively impacted the gross margin rate by 4 basis points with a $12 million LIFO charge in the current quarter compared to a $12 million credit in the prior year. The quarter's gross margin rate also included a non-recurring legal settlement, which had a positive impact of 5 basis points.
Q:How did the operating expenses and central expenses perform in Costco's second quarter?
A:The reported SG&A rate was higher year over year by 13 basis points, or 8 basis points excluding gas deflation, coming in at 9.19% compared to last year's 9.06%. The operations component of SG&A was higher or worse by 2 basis points but better or lower by 2 basis points. Central expenses were higher or worse by 4 basis points, or higher by 3 basis points excluding the impact of gas deflation. This quarter's SG&A also included an increase in general liability reserves to reflect higher expected future costs for prior year claims not yet settled, which negatively impacted the rate by 6 basis points.
Q:What was the tax rate in Q2 and how does it compare to the previous year?
A:The tax rate in Q2 was 25.2%, compared to 26.2% in Q2 last year.
Q:How did fresh and non-foods comparable sales perform in the quarter?
A:Fresh comparable sales were up low double digits, led by Meat and Bakery. Non-foods comp sales were up high single digits, with top-performing departments including jewelry, tires, major appliances, health and beauty, and small electrics.
Q:What is the expected trend for food and sundries sales and what is the current market position?
A:Comps for food and sundries grew mid single digits, led by candy and packaged foods, while egg price deflation is a headwind. Sales in eggs have been impacted positively by the strong value proposition.
Q:How does the Kirkland's Signature program perform and what new items were launched in Q2?
A:Kirkland's Signature remains a top focus, offering 15% to 20% value compared to national brands. In Q2, about 30 new KS items were launched, including crispy wings, black and salmon, and apparel items.
Q:What were the performance results for ancillary businesses and digital initiatives in the quarter?
A:Pharmacy and Food Court experienced double-digit comparable sales growth, while optical and hearing had high single-digit growth. Digital site traffic was up 32%, and app traffic up 45%, with several categories showing double-digit year-over-year sales growth. The same-day delivery service through Instacart, Uber Eats, and DoorDash continued to grow faster than overall digital sales.
Q:What was the impact of weather and foreign exchange on sales?
A:Weather dynamics created some volatility in the first two months of the year but no major impact was seen in total sales results. February traffic visits were lighter due to weather-related warehouse closings in the northeast. The impact on sales was not significant enough to warrant adjustment in results.
Q:What trends are members focusing on, and what are the results of the company's sales?
A:Members are very focused on quality and value, as well as on the newness and excitement of new items. The company has been able to deliver on these preferences consistently, resulting in strong sales performance each month, with an average of 6-7% growth, when excluding the impact of calendar shifts and short-term promotions.
Q:What innovations are being implemented or tested to improve the vendor experience and business efficiency?
A:The company has been implementing and testing various innovations to improve the vendor experience and increase business efficiency, including prepaying cards or lines for associates and investing back in areas like store wages and labor price. The company aims to see if these innovations result in savings that can be reinvested in the business.
Q:How have digital enhancements affected the business and member experience?
A:Digital enhancements both online and in the warehouse have been very beneficial, with particular mention of improvements in the pharmacy business leading to increased traffic and better handling of new growth volume without needing additional staff. These improvements have improved the member experience and increased throughput.
Q:What is the company's approach to investing in the business and its impact on members?
A:The company continues to invest in the business, including employees, pricing, and overall operations, and is seeing the same return from members as it reinvests in the business. The investments have been positively received by members, resulting in increased traffic and sales.
Q:What is the company's strategy regarding expansion, and what projects are currently being undertaken?
A:The company's strategy includes expanding buildings, relocating, and upgrading the interiors of old warehouses. This ongoing investment is aimed at driving top-line sales and growing the business globally.
Q:What changes are anticipated in the inventory assortment for spring and summer, and how will rising gas prices affect members?
A:The company is anticipating a shift back to more traditional assortment practices in spring and summer, with a balanced supply chain and no disruptions from recent undertakings or the Middle East. Historically, rising gas prices lead to a stronger value proposition for the company, as members may shop at both the gas station and the warehouse due to the perceived value.
Q:What are the competitive impacts from nearby openings by competitors, and how does the company plan to maintain membership?
A:Competitive openings are not expected to have a negative impact on the company's membership base. New openings in existing markets will not result in the typical big swells seen with new market entries, but will rather lead to increased frequency and visits from members. The company remains confident in its ability to maintain membership and is focusing on value and quality across all operations.
Q:How does the company intend to showcase its values and pricing internationally, and what is the outlook for growth?
A:Internationally, the company plans to showcase its values and pricing by expanding in markets with strong performance, such as Asia and Europe. The company expects a balance between locations outside North America and domestically, and anticipates good growth and expansion opportunities over the coming years.
Q:What opportunities exist for real estate and market entry, and how will this affect the number of units opened?
A:The company is exploring new real estate opportunities that allow it to enter markets it previously could not. It is being more creative with the use of parking decks and unique models, such as residents above its locations in urban areas, to continue expanding into strong markets like Los Angeles and New York. This will influence the number of units opened domestically in the future.
Q:What factors have impacted the renewal rates and what are the company's expectations for future renewal rates?
A:The renewal rates have been impacted by the maturation of online members and initiatives around contacting and engaging with digital members through digital communications and retention strategies. Despite an expected decline due to the influx of digital members, the global and US renewal rates were flat and only down 10 basis points, respectively. The company expects a continued slow-down in the renewal rate reaching a maturation point, with a focus on retention programs that have shown positive adjustments and trajectory.
Q:What is the company's stance on auto-renewal and how is it affecting membership renewal rates?
A:The company believes that auto-renewal is beneficial for members from a convenience standpoint and is helping with membership renewal rates. The auto-renewal program has been promoted within the company, and it is believed that it has a positive effect on renewal rates.
Q:How is the company managing the impact of inflation on its business, and what are the expectations for future inflation rates?
A:The company has seen lower inflation in the second quarter, trending towards low single digits, though this is subject to change given global events. Fresh produce and food and sundries have driven lower overall inflation, with some areas showing deflation, particularly in produce and eggs. Beef and candy have remained inflationary due to commodity impacts. The company is focused on monitoring the situation in the Middle East and the impact on inflation, as well as the effect of LIFO (Last In, First Out) and tariffs on non-foods. The company's view on inflation includes both price increases and mix changes in the basket, with the latter being a significant part of the growth. Inflation is expected to remain in the low single digits for non-foods, influenced by continued low interest rates and some commodity price increases.
Q:What does the company consider when defining the impact of inflation on its products?
A:The company considers both the actual price increases and the mix changes when defining the impact of inflation on its products. The units in the basket are growing, and the company does not specifically analyze each component but looks at the overall impact. The inflation attributed to price increases would only be a fraction of the total, with mix changes and increasing units being a meaningful part of the growth.
Q:How is the company responding to the opportunities presented by digital advertising and AI?
A:The company is focusing on building internal capabilities around delivering personalized and relevant communication to members, resulting in positive responses and increased visits or items in the basket. They are still in the early stages of retail media and are testing programs with suppliers on digital TV and targeted media amplifications. The company is also exploring opportunities to offer more value to members through services and partnerships, such as installation services and unique offerings like Costco Travel. For AI, the company is assessing where it can enhance performance in relation to its core mission of providing a high value to members and employees, without chasing non-core initiatives. The company is encouraged by the work done so far and is focusing on using AI to improve for members and support employees.
Q:Is the company considering changes to its payout strategy given the increase in cash reserves?
A:The company's financial strategy regarding payouts has not changed significantly despite the build-up of cash reserves. The possibility of a special dividend or more frequent payouts in the next few quarters is currently under consideration, although no definitive plans have been announced.
Q:What are the company's main priorities in terms of investment and business growth?
A:The company's main priorities involve investing in new warehouses, improving the member experience in existing warehouses, expanding the network of depots to support warehouse operations and e-commerce growth, investing in digital initiatives, and continuing to generate strong free cash flow.
Q:What is the rationale behind the company's dividend and stock buyback strategy?
A:The rationale behind the company's dividend and stock buyback strategy is to demonstrate confidence in future company growth, avoid dilution from executive stock grants, and ensure that any excess cash is used effectively, possibly through a special dividend, while maintaining financial flexibility for future capital expenditures.
Q:How does the company assess the feasibility of a special dividend, and what are the current plans regarding it?
A:The feasibility of a special dividend is assessed based on the company's cash balances and the potential yield compared to past special dividends. However, at the current time, the company has no plans to declare a special dividend.
Q:What is the impact of the pharmacy category's changes, including maximum fair pricing, on the company's operations?
A:The company has had success in its pharmacy business, with growth in this area outpacing total sales, although there will be a small impact due to changes in Medicare pricing. This is not considered a material headwind for top line sales results at the current time.
Q:How does the company plan to leverage retail media and advertising to benefit members and drive sales?
A:The company views retail media as a significant opportunity to capture value and help suppliers improve the return on their ad spend. The focus is on delivering more value to members, which in turn drives top line sales rather than significant changes to the margin profile.
Q:What is the company's approach to expanding internationally, particularly in China, and what are their expectations for future growth in the country?
A:The company's approach to expanding internationally includes entering new countries by opening warehouses, learning about the local culture and business practices, and then achieving a good steady growth pattern. In China, the company sees great opportunities and is pleased with the business growth. They expect to continue growing in line with their worldwide strategy, building on the growth in Japan, Korea, and Europe.

Costco Wholesale Corp.
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